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What happened with SFD today?

Why it moved
Explains possible causes using the day’s news and filings
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What to watch next
The next thing that could change the call, and what to look for

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SFD in three months: buy, wait or sell?

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Company

Company overview

Smithfield Foods’ main business is turning fresh meat into products such as bacon, sausages and deli meats, sold mostly in the United States. It sells under brands including Smithfield, Eckrich and Farmland, and also makes products carrying retailers’ own labels. These packaged meats generate most of its revenue and operating profit; retailers and foodservice customers pay Smithfield for the products they buy.

The company also raises hogs and buys them from independent farmers, then processes them into pork cuts and offal. Its own pork-processing operations supply most of the raw material for its packaged meats. It sells fresh pork separately to retailers, foodservice businesses and food manufacturers, both domestically and through exports.

Earnings depend on hog and feed costs, meat selling prices and whether Smithfield can pass higher costs on to customers. Walmart is its largest customer, and Smithfield generally lacks long-term sales commitments, even from major buyers. Food-safety rules govern production and sales. California and Massachusetts also restrict sales of certain pork unless the breeding animals meet specified housing standards; Massachusetts restricts shipments through the state as well.

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Source: SEC filing

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Related companies

  • Competition
  • Shared drivers
  • Supplier
  • Customer

Smithfield’s results hinge on packaged-meat demand and hog, pork and feed costs, but its approximately 87% owner WH Group is an important connection missing from this list.

  • Hormel Foods competes with Smithfield for retailers’ and foodservice buyers’ spending on branded pork and packaged meats. Its sales of brands such as Hormel Black Label and Applegate are worth watching for competition facing Smithfield’s packaged meats.

  • Tyson Foods competes with Smithfield by processing hogs and selling fresh pork and prepared meats to retailers, foodservice operators and manufacturers that use meat as an ingredient. Watch Tyson’s Pork and Prepared Foods operating results rather than its broader beef and chicken businesses for the closer comparison.

  • JBS N.V. competes directly with Smithfield through U.S. hog raising, pork processing and Swift Prepared Foods, selling meat and prepared foods to retailers and foodservice companies. Its Pork USA results offer a closer comparison for Smithfield than JBS’s global totals.

  • Kraft Heinz competes for shoppers’ purchases through Oscar Mayer packaged meats, up against Smithfield’s hot dogs, bacon and deli meats sold through retailers. Oscar Mayer’s performance is the relevant part to watch, rather than Kraft Heinz’s overall food and beverage sales.

  • Pilgrim’s Pride competes with Smithfield for retail and foodservice purchases of fresh and further-processed meats, including pork. Its chicken and pork sales to grocery chains, wholesale clubs and restaurants show the customer demand the two companies compete to serve.

  • Smithfield pays Nathan’s Famous Inc to use its brand on hot dogs and sausages sold through retail and foodservice channels, and has agreed to buy the company subject to closing conditions, including shareholder and CFIUS approval. Nathan’s receives 10.8% of net sales of packaged branded hot dogs and sausages through U.S. retail channels, subject to minimum annual royalties, making that royalty revenue a direct signal of Smithfield’s sales under the brand.

  • Smithfield depends on Walmart as a major buyer of packaged meats and fresh pork: Walmart, including Sam’s West, accounted for approximately 15% of Smithfield’s consolidated sales in fiscal 2025. Walmart resells products to shoppers through stores and online, so its purchasing of these meats is the customer relationship to watch.

Agenda

in 7 daysTue, Oct 27

  1. Time to be announced
    Major

    Smithfield Foods, Inc. earningsThis company

    Smithfield Foods relies on packaged-meat prices to offset pork costs, and this report will show whether sales volume is keeping up.

in 8 daysWed, Oct 28

  1. Time to be announced

    Pilgrims Pride Corporation earningsPPC

    Pilgrim’s Pride’s report will show how grocery and restaurant buyers are ordering fresh and processed meats, customers Smithfield Foods also competes to serve.

in 30 daysThu, Nov 19

  1. Time to be announced

    Walmart Inc. earningsWMT

    Walmart’s report will show how a buyer representing about 15% of Smithfield Foods’ fiscal 2025 sales is purchasing packaged meats and fresh pork.