Stock daily read

What happened with PPC today?

Why it moved
Explains possible causes using the day’s news and filings
Moving with the market?
Uses market moves and trading volume to assess what drove the change
What to watch next
The next thing that could change the call, and what to look for

No read yet

Uses news and trading volume to explain the day’s move and how it relates to the market.

Investment outlook

PPC in three months: buy, wait or sell?

Stop guessing. Get the call, a three-month target price, the best and worst cases, and a source for every claim.

In the report
  • Buy / Wait / Sell rating
  • 3-month target price
  • Bear · Base · Bull
  • vs. the market

Company

Company overview

Pilgrims Pride Corporation supplies supermarkets, restaurants and food distributors with meat for resale or meal preparation. Retailers provide most of its revenue, followed by foodservice customers. The company makes feed, contracts with independent growers to raise livestock, and processes, packages and distributes the resulting meat. Its brands include Pilgrim’s, Just Bare and Moy Park.

The U.S. business supplies most of its sales, with Europe and Mexico providing the rest. Fresh products dominate sales in the U.S. and Mexico, while prepared foods account for most European sales. The European business also includes pork produced in the U.K., so the company is not solely a chicken processor.

Profitability depends heavily on the gap between feed costs and the prices customers pay for chicken and pork. Reliable supplies from growers and livestock producers keep its plants running. Its customers are broadly spread, but its largest U.S. buyers remain important, and large retailers and distributors can resist price increases or demand lower prices.

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Source: SEC filing

Red flags

Know what’s buried in PPC’s filings before you buy

The risk section is the longest, dullest part of the filing. This keeps only what can really hurt you: where it hits, how hard, when it plays out.

Sorted into
  • Happening now
  • Could go wrong
  • Built in

Moat

PPC says it has a moat. Does it hold up?

Every company claims an edge. Each one is checked against hard numbers like margins and returns: which hold, and which line gives way first.

Each edge rated
  • Strong
  • Moderate
  • Limited
  • Unproven

Related companies

  • Competition
  • Shared drivers
  • Supplier
  • Customer
  • Tyson Foods and Pilgrims Pride Corporation both raise and process chickens for retail and foodservice buyers, so chicken prices, poultry supply and feed costs matter to both. Watch Tyson’s Chicken segment operating income rather than its overall results for a closer read on conditions facing Pilgrim’s fresh, frozen and prepared chicken business.

  • JBS N.V. controls Pilgrims Pride Corporation and includes it as a reportable segment, so this is an ownership tie rather than an independent rivalry; both sell meat and prepared foods to retail and foodservice buyers. In JBS’s results, watch the Pilgrim’s Pride segment’s revenue and adjusted EBITDA from fresh and prepared chicken, not the group’s broader mix of meat businesses.

  • Hormel Foods competes with Pilgrims Pride Corporation for meat buyers through its Jennie-O turkey and branded pork products, while grain-feed costs affect both companies’ poultry operations.

  • Smithfield Foods competes with Pilgrims Pride Corporation in fresh pork and packaged meats sold to retail and foodservice buyers, though Smithfield produces mainly in the U.S. while Pilgrim’s pork business sits in Europe. Watch Smithfield’s bacon, sausage and deli-meat business for clues about competition facing Pilgrim’s prepared meats, rather than treating its U.S. pork results as a direct match.

Agenda

in 8 daysTue, Oct 27

  1. Time to be announced

    Smithfield Foods, Inc. earningsSFD

    Smithfield Foods’ report will show whether retail and foodservice buyers are still buying and accepting prices for bacon, sausage and deli meats, a useful comparison for Pilgrim’s prepared meats in Europe.

in 9 daysWed, Oct 28

  1. Time to be announced
    Major

    Pilgrims Pride Corporation earningsThis company

    Pilgrim’s Pride’s report will show whether sales of fresh chicken and prepared foods are still turning into operating profit as feed costs and meat prices change.

in 21 daysMon, Nov 9

  1. Time to be announced

    JBS N.V. earningsJBS

    JBS N.V.’s report will separately show Pilgrim’s Pride segment revenue and adjusted EBITDA, revealing how the chicken business it controls is performing.

in 28 daysMon, Nov 16

  1. Time to be announced

    Tyson Foods, Inc. earningsTSN

    Tyson Foods’ Chicken segment operating income will show how chicken supply and prices are affecting processors that, like Pilgrim’s, sell to retail and foodservice buyers.