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What happened with PTEN today?

Why it moved
Explains possible causes using the day’s news and filings
Moving with the market?
Uses market moves and trading volume to assess what drove the change
What to watch next
The next thing that could change the call, and what to look for

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Uses news and trading volume to explain the day’s move and how it relates to the market.

Investment outlook

PTEN in three months: buy, wait or sell?

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  • 3-month target price
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Company

Company overview

Patterson-UTI Energy serves oil and natural gas producers, with most of its business in the United States. Well completion generates most of its revenue: the company supplies crews, equipment and materials for hydraulic fracturing and related work that prepares wells for production. Customers generally pay per completed stage or at a fixed monthly rate, with charges for services and materials.

Drilling is its other major business. Patterson-UTI supplies and operates rigs, pays crew and maintenance costs, and usually charges customers a daily rate while a rig is working. It also helps steer wells through directional drilling. Its smaller Ulterra business makes drill bits and downhole tools, earning mainly from rentals rather than sales.

Demand depends on producers’ willingness and ability to fund drilling and completion, which reflects both current oil and gas prices and expectations for future prices. A small group of large customers supplies most revenue, including a substantial share from one unnamed customer. Customers can generally terminate drilling contracts on short notice, although termination payments may apply. Hydraulic fracturing also faces location and operating restrictions that can limit where and how the company works.

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Source: SEC filing

Red flags

Know what’s buried in PTEN’s filings before you buy

The risk section is the longest, dullest part of the filing. This keeps only what can really hurt you: where it hits, how hard, when it plays out.

Sorted into
  • Happening now
  • Could go wrong
  • Built in

Moat

PTEN says it has a moat. Does it hold up?

Every company claims an edge. Each one is checked against hard numbers like margins and returns: which hold, and which line gives way first.

Each edge rated
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  • Moderate
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Related companies

  • Competition
  • Shared drivers
  • Supplier
  • Customer

Patterson-UTI depends chiefly on U.S. producers’ drilling and completion budgets and service pricing; watch SLB too for competition in drilling technology and well services.

  • Liberty Energy and Patterson-UTI compete for producers’ completion spending through hydraulic fracturing, wireline, proppant delivery and natural-gas-supported services. Liberty’s North American completion revenue is a useful gauge of the shale activity and service pricing that matter to Patterson-UTI.

  • Helmerich & Payne and Patterson-UTI compete to supply U.S. oil and gas producers with high-specification land rigs and drilling technology. Watch H&P’s rigs working under contract: it says available rigs exceed demand in many markets, putting pressure on prices.

  • Halliburton competes with Patterson-UTI for oil and gas producers’ spending on stimulating wells, cementing and steering wellbores into position. Its Completion and Production and Drilling and Evaluation results offer a view of customer spending across those overlapping services.

  • ProFrac and Patterson-UTI compete for producers’ hydraulic-fracturing work, including jobs using natural-gas-powered and electric completion fleets. Watch ProFrac’s active fleet mix as Patterson-UTI expands equipment aimed at lower-emission, more cost-efficient completions.

  • ProPetro competes with Patterson-UTI for Permian producers’ hydraulic-fracturing, wireline and cementing work. Its dedicated fleets and crews often stay with customers for years, making its commentary on customers’ future completion activity worth watching.

  • Nabors and Patterson-UTI compete to operate rigs for U.S. oil and gas producers and supply equipment and services that steer wells. Both generally earn a daily rate for rig work; watch Nabors’ U.S. Drilling results for the activity and dayrate conditions Patterson-UTI also faces.

  • Precision Drilling and Patterson-UTI compete to provide U.S. oil and gas producers with high-specification land rigs, generally paid for by the day while in use. Focus on Precision’s U.S. rig activity rather than its Canadian completion business when gauging demand facing Patterson-UTI.

  • RPC and Patterson-UTI compete for U.S. oil and gas producers’ spending on well-site work and downhole equipment. RPC’s Technical Services revenue covers equipment, operating crews and materials used at wells, making it a useful view of the well-service spending they share.

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  • KLX Energy Services and Patterson-UTI compete to steer wells and provide related downhole services for onshore oil and gas producers across overlapping U.S. shale basins. Watch KLX’s directional-drilling and rental-tool business for demand for the drilling guidance and equipment Patterson-UTI also sells.

  • Nine Energy Service and Patterson-UTI compete for producers’ work preparing unconventional oil and gas wells for production. Nine’s North American completion business is the closer comparison; its completion-tool revenue also includes international sales.

  • Baker Hughes competes with Patterson-UTI to supply oil and gas producers with drilling and completion products and services, but also has substantial industrial-energy businesses. Watch its Oilfield Services & Equipment results rather than group-wide revenue for the closer read on Patterson-UTI’s markets.

Agenda

tomorrowWed, Oct 21

  1. Time to be announced

    Liberty Energy Inc. earningsLBRT

    Liberty Energy's North American completion business shows how producers' spending and prices for services such as fracturing are changing in a market Patterson-UTI also serves.

  2. 10:30 AMET

    EIA Crude Oil Stocks Change (Oct/16)

    For Patterson-UTI, EIA weekly counts of crude oil and gasoline in storage signal whether fuel supply is tightening or loosening, which can move oil prices and, in turn, customers’ spending on its drilling and completion services and the rates they pay.

in 7 daysTue, Oct 27

  1. Time to be announced

    Precision Drilling Corporation earningsPDS

    Precision Drilling's U.S. rig activity and dayrates show demand and pricing for high-specification land rigs in a market where Patterson-UTI also competes.

in 8 daysWed, Oct 28

  1. Time to be announced
    Major

    Patterson-UTI Energy Inc earningsThis company

    Patterson-UTI's report will show whether oil and gas producers' spending on completions and drilling is supporting its service profits and rig use.