Stock daily read

What happened with PFGC today?

Why it moved
Explains possible causes using the day’s news and filings
Moving with the market?
Uses market moves and trading volume to assess what drove the change
What to watch next
The next thing that could change the call, and what to look for

No read yet

Uses news and trading volume to explain the day’s move and how it relates to the market.

Investment outlook

PFGC in three months: buy, wait or sell?

Stop guessing. Get the call, a three-month target price, the best and worst cases, and a source for every claim.

In the report
  • Buy / Wait / Sell rating
  • 3-month target price
  • Bear · Base · Bull
  • vs. the market

Company

Company overview

Performance Food Group Company supplies businesses across North America through its warehouses and delivery network. Foodservice, its largest revenue business, supplies independent restaurants, chains and institutions such as schools and healthcare facilities. Convenience-store wholesale distribution is the other major business, selling food, snacks, beverages and tobacco products. A smaller Specialty business serves vending and office coffee distributors, retailers and entertainment venues.

Customers pay for the products, with prices generally set by adding a markup to purchase costs or negotiated when they order. Supplier rebates and promotional incentives also contribute significantly to profitability. Independent restaurants are especially important to earnings: they use more menu and purchasing support and buy more Performance Brands products, which earn higher margins. Most gross profit comes from food and food-related products, even though cigarettes account for a substantial share of sales.

No single customer dominates sales, but Altria Group and R.J. Reynolds Tobacco Company together supply a substantial share of its purchases. The business depends on keeping products available and delivering them reliably at costs its selling margins can cover. Food storage and distribution must meet food-safety requirements and pass inspections. Tobacco sales face marketing and product restrictions and substantial excise taxes, alongside declining cigarette consumption.

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Source: SEC filing

Red flags

Know what’s buried in PFGC’s filings before you buy

The risk section is the longest, dullest part of the filing. This keeps only what can really hurt you: where it hits, how hard, when it plays out.

Sorted into
  • Happening now
  • Could go wrong
  • Built in

Moat

PFGC says it has a moat. Does it hold up?

Every company claims an edge. Each one is checked against hard numbers like margins and returns: which hold, and which line gives way first.

Each edge rated
  • Strong
  • Moderate
  • Limited
  • Unproven

Related companies

  • Competition
  • Shared drivers
  • Supplier
  • Customer

Performance Food Group’s results hinge on restaurant and convenience-store volumes, with McLane a key convenience-distribution rival and R.J. Reynolds another major tobacco supplier to watch.

  • US Foods competes with Performance Food Group for orders from independent restaurants, chains and institutional dining customers nationwide, selling and delivering food and supplies to them. Its independent-restaurant sales are especially worth watching because these customers generate higher gross profit per case for Performance Food Group than chains do.

  • Sysco competes with Performance Food Group to sell and deliver a full range of food and supplies, including products selected for restaurant chains. Watch its SYGMA business, which handles customized deliveries for U.S. quick-service chains and overlaps with Performance Food Group’s chain-distribution business.

  • The Chef's Warehouse Inc competes with Performance Food Group for independent restaurants’ spending on specialty foods, meat, seafood and everyday staples. Its sales to these restaurants matter for the comparison because independent customers generate higher gross profit per case for Performance Food Group than chains do.

  • AMCON Distributing Co. competes with Performance Food Group’s Convenience business to sell and deliver consumer products to convenience stores and help them stock and display merchandise. Its wholesale sales, rather than its health-food retail stores, are the relevant comparison for Performance Food Group’s convenience-store business.

  • Performance Food Group buys tobacco products from Altria; together with R.J. Reynolds, Altria accounted for approximately 19% of its product purchases in the fiscal year ended June 27, 2026. Altria’s cigarette business is relevant to Performance Food Group’s convenience-store sales, but food and food-related products generate most of Performance Food Group’s gross profit.

  • HF Foods Group Inc. competes with Performance Food Group for independent restaurants’ food orders, focusing more narrowly on Asian restaurants. Its sales of seafood, meat and Asian specialty foods show how it serves this slice of the independent-restaurant market, a customer group that generates higher gross profit per case for Performance Food Group than chains do.

  • Aramark is a customer of Performance Food Group’s delivery business: it earns revenue running dining services for clients such as schools, healthcare facilities and workplaces, and uses Performance Food Group to get food and supplies to those locations. Aramark negotiates most U.S. and Canadian food-purchase terms directly with manufacturers, so the tie is about tracking orders and delivering products, not making the food.

Agenda

todayWed, Oct 21

  1. 10:30 AMET

    EIA Crude Oil Stocks Change (Oct/16)

    The EIA stocks report tracks how much crude oil and fuel is held in storage; for Performance Food Group, tighter supply can raise the fuel cost of delivering products to customer locations.

in 7 daysWed, Oct 28

  1. 2:00 PMET

    Fed Interest Rate Decision

    For Performance Food Group, Fed rate decisions matter because the company’s policy-sensitive borrowing can reprice, changing what it pays to finance food distribution.

in 8 daysThu, Oct 29

  1. Time to be announced

    Altria Group, Inc. earningsMO

    Altria’s report will show whether cigarette demand is holding up or weakening, a category signal for Performance Food Group’s convenience-store business.

in 13 daysTue, Nov 3

  1. Time to be announced

    Sysco Corporation earningsSYY

    Sysco’s report, especially its SYGMA business, will show how demand for customized quick-service chain deliveries is changing and how actively Sysco is pursuing those orders.

  2. 10:00 AMET

    JOLTs Job Openings (Sep)

    Job openings track employers’ demand for workers; for Performance Food Group, that demand can affect the wages it pays warehouse workers and drivers who move food to customers.

in 14 daysWed, Nov 4

  1. Time to be announced
    Major

    Performance Food Group Company earningsThis company

    Performance Food Group’s report will show whether orders from higher-margin independent restaurants are translating into profit growth in its Foodservice business.

in 15 daysThu, Nov 5

  1. Time to be announced

    US Foods Holding Corp. earningsUSFD

    US Foods’ independent-restaurant sales will show the demand and competition facing a major distributor in the customer group that earns Performance Food Group higher gross profit per case.

in 16 daysFri, Nov 6

  1. Time to be announced

    AMCON Distributing Co. earningsDIT

    AMCON Distributing’s wholesale business will show how convenience-store restocking demand is changing, offering a channel read for Performance Food Group’s convenience distribution business.

  2. 8:30 AMET pre-market

    Non Farm Payrolls (Oct)

    The monthly jobs report tracks employment and wages; for Performance Food Group, tighter labor conditions can raise what it pays its warehouse workers and drivers to distribute food.

in 26 daysMon, Nov 16

  1. Time to be announced

    ARAMARK earningsARMK

    Aramark’s report will show how dining demand is changing at schools, healthcare facilities and workplaces, which can affect the food and supplies Performance Food Group delivers to those locations.