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What happened with ORIC today?

Why it moved
Explains possible causes using the day’s news and filings
Moving with the market?
Uses market moves and trading volume to assess what drove the change
What to watch next
The next thing that could change the call, and what to look for

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Uses news and trading volume to explain the day’s move and how it relates to the market.

Investment outlook

ORIC in three months: buy, wait or sell?

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In the report
  • Buy / Wait / Sell rating
  • 3-month target price
  • Bear · Base · Bull
  • vs. the market

Company

Company overview

Oric Pharmaceuticals concentrates its development work and funding on two experimental cancer drugs, rinzimetostat and enozertinib, both in clinical trials. It has no approved products and funds its operations through equity issuance rather than customer revenue. Its business depends on completing clinical development and demonstrating safety and efficacy sufficient for regulatory approval; neither drug can be marketed before approval.

If approved, Oric plans to sell its drugs itself or potentially with a partner. It has no sales or marketing team today, so it would need to build those capabilities or arrange outside support. Future sales would also depend on physicians choosing the treatments and payors providing coverage and adequate reimbursement.

Oric relies on outside organizations to conduct clinical trials and make its drugs. Each candidate currently depends on a single manufacturer, with no alternative manufacturer in place, making continued supply essential to keeping trials moving.

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Source: SEC filing

Red flags

Know what’s buried in ORIC’s filings before you buy

The risk section is the longest, dullest part of the filing. This keeps only what can really hurt you: where it hits, how hard, when it plays out.

Sorted into
  • Happening now
  • Could go wrong
  • Built in

Moat

ORIC says it has a moat. Does it hold up?

Every company claims an edge. Each one is checked against hard numbers like margins and returns: which hold, and which line gives way first.

Each edge rated
  • Strong
  • Moderate
  • Limited
  • Unproven

Related companies

  • Competition
  • Shared drivers
  • Supplier
  • Customer

ORIC’s prospects hinge on clinical success for enozertinib and rinzimetostat against rival treatments, including Dizal Pharmaceuticals’ approved EGFR exon 20 therapy and Ipsen’s clinical-stage EZH2 inhibitors, neither represented here.

  • ArriVent BioPharma’s firmonertinib competes with ORIC’s enozertinib in development for EGFR-mutant lung cancer, including exon 20 mutations; neither company’s candidate is an approved product. Watch firmonertinib’s safety, efficacy and approval progress, which could narrow enozertinib’s treatment opportunity.

  • Cullinan Therapeutics and Taiho’s zipalertinib targets the same EGFR exon 20 insertion lung-cancer patients as ORIC’s enozertinib. Taiho will sell the drug, with Cullinan entitled to half of future pre-tax profits from potential U.S. sales; zipalertinib’s regulatory progress is the signal to watch for ORIC’s competition.

  • Black Diamond Therapeutics’ silevertinib competes with ORIC’s enozertinib for EGFR-mutant lung-cancer treatment opportunities, including atypical mutations. Its Phase 2 lung-cancer trial is the relevant program to follow, rather than its separate glioblastoma development.

  • BlossomHill Therapeutics’ BH-30643 and ORIC’s enozertinib are rival small-molecule medicines in development for lung cancer with uncommon EGFR mutations. BlossomHill has no history of commercializing products, so BH-30643’s clinical progress—not commercial sales—is the relevant signal for ORIC.

  • Pfizer’s clinical-stage EZH2 inhibitor program competes with ORIC’s rinzimetostat in developing cancer treatments directed at PRC2. Pfizer earns most of its revenue from selling medicines, but this clinical program—not its overall drug sales—is the development to watch for rinzimetostat.

  • Johnson & Johnson’s approved EGFR exon 20 lung-cancer therapy sets a treatment benchmark for ORIC’s investigational enozertinib. Unlike ORIC’s development-stage program, Johnson & Johnson already sells prescription medicines to retailers, wholesalers, distributors, hospitals and healthcare professionals.

  • Ascentage Pharma’s clinical PRC2 inhibitor uses an allosteric approach and offers a competing route to the cancer-treatment opportunity pursued by ORIC’s rinzimetostat. Follow that program’s clinical progress, rather than Ascentage’s existing blood-cancer medicine sales in China, to assess the competition facing ORIC.

Agenda

in 9 daysWed, Oct 28

  1. 2:00 PMET

    Fed Interest Rate Decision

    For Oric, the Fed’s rate decision matters because it can change what the company earns on its $392.3 million in cash, cash equivalents and investments, which contributed to other income.

in 15 daysTue, Nov 3

  1. Time to be announced

    Pfizer Inc. earningsPFE

    If Pfizer updates its clinical-stage EZH2 program, its report will show how a competing approach to the PRC2 target is progressing alongside Oric Pharmaceuticals' rinzimetostat.

in 17 daysThu, Nov 5

  1. Time to be announced

    Black Diamond Therapeutics, Inc. earningsBDTX

    If Black Diamond Therapeutics updates its Phase 2 lung-cancer trial, its report will show how silevertinib is progressing against Oric Pharmaceuticals' enozertinib for EGFR-mutant patients.

  2. Time to be announced

    Cullinan Therapeutics, Inc. earningsCGEM

    If Cullinan Therapeutics updates zipalertinib's clinical or regulatory progress, its report will show how close this treatment for EGFR exon 20 insertion lung cancer is to competing with Oric Pharmaceuticals' enozertinib.

in 24 daysThu, Nov 12

  1. Time to be announced
    Major

    Oric Pharmaceuticals, Inc. earningsThis company

    Oric Pharmaceuticals' report will show whether its two lead cancer-drug programs are advancing and how quickly the company is using cash to develop them.