Stock daily read

What happened with ODD today?

Why it moved
Explains possible causes using the day’s news and filings
Moving with the market?
Uses market moves and trading volume to assess what drove the change
What to watch next
The next thing that could change the call, and what to look for

No read yet

Uses news and trading volume to explain the day’s move and how it relates to the market.

Investment outlook

ODD in three months: buy, wait or sell?

Stop guessing. Get the call, a three-month target price, the best and worst cases, and a source for every claim.

In the report
  • Buy / Wait / Sell rating
  • 3-month target price
  • Bear · Base · Bull
  • vs. the market

Company

Company overview

ODDITY Tech Ltd. serves consumers shopping for beauty and wellness products through IL MAKIAGE, its beauty brand, and SpoiledChild, its wellness brand. It also operates METHODIQ, a medical telehealth platform that started in dermatology. Almost all revenue comes from customers buying products through its online platform, and most sales are in the United States.

The company attracts shoppers to its websites and uses customer data and AI to recommend products and turn visits into purchases. Its PowerMatch technology uses computer vision and other algorithms to help match products to customers. Third parties manufacture, warehouse and deliver the products. Under its “Try Before You Buy” program, customers initially pay shipping, then pay for products they keep.

Repeat customers provide a substantial share of revenue, so the business depends on both attracting new buyers cost-effectively and bringing them back. Social media platforms and content creators help it reach shoppers. An advertising partner’s algorithm change recently made customer acquisition more expensive and reduced new-customer acquisition. Product matching also needs to be accurate enough to support purchases and limit returns; returned products are not resold. Ingredient, safety and marketing rules restrict what ODDITY can sell and claim. In the United States, its sunscreen and acne products must meet over-the-counter drug requirements.

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Source: SEC filing

Red flags

Know what’s buried in ODD’s filings before you buy

The risk section is the longest, dullest part of the filing. This keeps only what can really hurt you: where it hits, how hard, when it plays out.

Sorted into
  • Happening now
  • Could go wrong
  • Built in

Moat

ODD says it has a moat. Does it hold up?

Every company claims an edge. Each one is checked against hard numbers like margins and returns: which hold, and which line gives way first.

Each edge rated
  • Strong
  • Moderate
  • Limited
  • Unproven

Related companies

  • Competition
  • Shared drivers
  • Supplier
  • Customer
  • e.l.f. Beauty competes with ODDITY for face-cosmetics and skincare customers, offering accessible prices online and in stores while ODDITY sells mainly online. Watch e.l.f.'s lower-priced product launches for pressure on ODDITY's ability to attract and retain beauty buyers.

  • Estée Lauder's prestige makeup, skincare and haircare brands compete for the beauty customers ODDITY serves mainly online. Its skincare and makeup sales are more relevant to that rivalry than its fragrance sales or trademark royalties.

  • Coty competes with ODDITY for makeup and skincare buyers through stores and online channels, while ODDITY sells mainly directly to consumers online. Coty's digital and social-media campaigns for those products are worth watching because ODDITY also competes on attracting customers through cost-effective marketing.

  • Kenvue's Neutrogena and Aveeno compete for buyers of ODDITY's skincare products. That overlap is narrower than Kenvue's overall business, which is dominated by consumer health rather than beauty.

  • Yatsen and ODDITY both depend on consumers buying makeup and skincare from their beauty-brand portfolios. Their principal geographic markets differ, so Yatsen offers a comparison of demand for those categories rather than a like-for-like view of ODDITY's market.

Agenda

in 13 daysMon, Nov 2

  1. Time to be announced

    The Estee Lauder Companies Inc. earningsEL

    Estée Lauder’s report will show how demand for skincare and makeup is changing, in categories that overlap with the online beauty customers Oddity serves.

in 29 daysWed, Nov 18

  1. Time to be announced
    Major

    ODDITY Tech Ltd. earningsThis company

    Oddity earns mainly by selling its brands online, and this report will show whether order growth can offset the margin pressure from higher customer-acquisition costs.