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What happened with NOG today?

Why it moved
Explains possible causes using the day’s news and filings
Moving with the market?
Uses market moves and trading volume to assess what drove the change
What to watch next
The next thing that could change the call, and what to look for

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Uses news and trading volume to explain the day’s move and how it relates to the market.

Investment outlook

NOG in three months: buy, wait or sell?

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In the report
  • Buy / Wait / Sell rating
  • 3-month target price
  • Bear · Base · Bull
  • vs. the market

Company

Company overview

Northern Oil and Gas, Inc. buys interests in oil and gas properties rather than operating wells itself. It evaluates proposed wells individually and funds its share of those it chooses to join, receiving a corresponding share of production. Oil sales bring in most of its revenue; natural gas and natural gas liquids provide additional sales.

Operating partners generally arrange transportation and sell that production to buyers on the company’s behalf. The company therefore depends on those partners to drill, produce, market the output and remit payments, while generally lacking control over their drilling schedules and budgets. It works with many operators, and no single operator supplies a dominant share of sales.

Cash generation depends on production volumes, oil and gas prices, development costs and access to transportation and processing. The company hedges part of its expected production to cushion price declines, but this can also limit gains when prices rise. Existing wells decline over time, so maintaining production requires developing or acquiring more reserves. Drilling permits and environmental and production rules also constrain what its operating partners can develop and produce.

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Source: SEC filing

Red flags

Know what’s buried in NOG’s filings before you buy

The risk section is the longest, dullest part of the filing. This keeps only what can really hurt you: where it hits, how hard, when it plays out.

Sorted into
  • Happening now
  • Could go wrong
  • Built in

Moat

NOG says it has a moat. Does it hold up?

Every company claims an edge. Each one is checked against hard numbers like margins and returns: which hold, and which line gives way first.

Each edge rated
  • Strong
  • Moderate
  • Limited
  • Unproven

Related companies

  • Competition
  • Shared drivers
  • Supplier
  • Customer
  • Granite Ridge Resources and Northern Oil and Gas compete to buy minority stakes in wells that other companies drill and operate, earning their share of oil and gas sales across the Permian, Bakken and Appalachia. Watch Granite Ridge's well-investment returns for a comparison with Northern's choices as commodity prices and operators' spending change.

  • Chord Energy shares Northern Oil and Gas's exposure to Williston oil prices and transport costs: Chord operates wells there and sells to refiners and marketers, while Northern earns sales from its well interests. Watch Chord's regional oil-price discounts for clues to pricing pressure on Northern's Williston production.

  • Permian Resources and Northern Oil and Gas share Permian well economics and oil and gas prices, though Permian Resources operates Delaware Basin wells and sells production for itself and other owners while Northern holds non-operated interests. Its production sales offer a basin comparison for Northern, whose Permian interests supplied 42% of production in the fourth quarter of 2025.

  • SM Energy and Northern Oil and Gas both sell oil and gas from the Permian and Uinta and have used acquisitions to expand production. Watch SM Energy's Uinta contribution: a full year from assets bought in 2024 was the main reason its oil, gas and NGL production revenue rose 17% in 2025, a useful comparison for Northern's acquisition-led growth.

  • Devon Energy and Northern Oil and Gas share oil-price and drilling economics in the Permian and Williston, two of Northern's largest producing basins. Devon sells most oil and gas at market-sensitive prices, so its Delaware production and spending provide a comparison for Northern's Permian investments.

  • Diamondback Energy's operated Permian oil and gas wells face the same commodity prices and development economics as Northern Oil and Gas's non-operated interests there. Watch Diamondback's drilling costs and development pace, which it controls directly, against the well costs Northern weighs before committing capital.

  • Matador Resources' oil-rich Delaware production shares well economics and regional infrastructure conditions with Northern Oil and Gas's Permian interests. Matador also gathers, transports and processes production for itself and outside customers; its Delaware drilling and gas-processing updates offer context for the infrastructure conditions affecting Northern's sales prices.

  • Ovintiv and Northern Oil and Gas both sell Permian oil and gas within wider multi-basin portfolios, giving them shared exposure to local drilling economics and commodity prices. Watch Ovintiv's Permian operations rather than its company-wide results, which also include Anadarko and Canadian Montney production.

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  • Crescent Energy and Northern Oil and Gas both buy producing oil and gas assets to grow sales and cash flow, making purchase economics and commodity prices important to both. Watch how much Crescent reinvests to sustain production from its lower-decline assets when comparing the cash-generating value of Northern's acquisitions.

  • EOG Resources and Northern Oil and Gas both earn money from U.S. oil and gas production and judge well investments against costs and commodity prices. EOG develops and markets its production; its well costs and investment payback offer a comparison for the returns Northern requires before joining a well.

  • Magnolia Oil & Gas and Northern Oil and Gas both weigh drilling spending against expected oil and gas returns, but Magnolia operates South Texas properties while Northern owns well interests in other U.S. basins. Watch Magnolia's cash left after drilling and completing wells as a comparison for how much production growth costs Northern.

  • Expand Energy and Northern Oil and Gas share Appalachian exposure to local natural-gas prices and transportation conditions. Expand arranges transport and pools production for sale to intermediaries, end markets and pipelines; watch its Appalachian gas selling prices for clues to the regional pricing facing Northern.

  • Range Resources' Marcellus gas and NGL production shares regional market conditions with Northern Oil and Gas's Appalachian interests. Range operates almost all its net production; watch its gas and NGL results as a regional comparison for Northern's revenue from those products.

  • CNX Resources develops Appalachian shale gas in the same regional market as Northern Oil and Gas, whose Appalachian interests supplied 21% of production in the fourth quarter of 2025. Watch CNX's Marcellus and Utica development costs and gas sales for a comparison with Northern's regional investment economics.

Agenda

in 8 daysTue, Oct 27

  1. Time to be announced

    Range Resources Corp earningsRRC

    Range Resources' report will show what gas and natural gas liquids are selling for in Appalachia, offering a regional market reference for Northern Oil & Gas's sales there.

in 9 daysWed, Oct 28

  1. 2:00 PMET

    Fed Interest Rate Decision

    For Northern Oil & Gas, the Fed’s policy rate—the benchmark that influences borrowing costs—matters because interest on debt that reprices and new borrowing can change how much cash remains for developing its oil and gas interests.

in 10 daysThu, Oct 29

  1. Time to be announced

    CNX Resources Corporation earningsCNX

    CNX Resources' report will put Appalachian gas sales alongside development costs, offering a regional investment-economics comparison for Northern Oil & Gas's interests there.

in 14 daysMon, Nov 2

  1. Time to be announced

    Diamondback Energy, Inc. earningsFANG

    Diamondback Energy's report will show its Permian drilling costs and development pace, offering an investment-economics comparison for Northern Oil & Gas's interests there.

in 15 daysTue, Nov 3

  1. Time to be announced

    Chord Energy Corporation earningsCHRD

    Chord Energy's report will show the discount on Williston oil versus market prices, offering a clue to transport and regional pricing pressure on Northern Oil & Gas's sales there.

in 16 daysWed, Nov 4

  1. Time to be announced

    Permian Resources Corporation earningsPR

    Permian Resources' report will show oil and gas sales from the Delaware Basin, a regional market reference for Northern Oil & Gas's substantial Permian interests.

in 17 daysThu, Nov 5

  1. Time to be announced
    Major

    Northern Oil and Gas, Inc. earningsThis company

    Northern Oil & Gas earns money by selling its share of oil and gas production, and this report will show whether added output is bringing in more cash despite prices and hedging.

  2. Time to be announced

    Granite Ridge Resources, Inc. earningsGRNT

    Granite Ridge Resources and Northern Oil & Gas both invest in wells run by other companies, so Granite Ridge's investment returns will show whether this minority-interest model remains attractive under commodity prices and operator spending.