Stock daily read

What happened with CNX today?

Why it moved
Explains possible causes using the day’s news and filings
Moving with the market?
Uses market moves and trading volume to assess what drove the change
What to watch next
The next thing that could change the call, and what to look for

No read yet

Uses news and trading volume to explain the day’s move and how it relates to the market.

Investment outlook

CNX in three months: buy, wait or sell?

Stop guessing. Get the call, a three-month target price, the best and worst cases, and a source for every claim.

In the report
  • Buy / Wait / Sell rating
  • 3-month target price
  • Bear · Base · Bull
  • vs. the market

Company

Company overview

CNX Resources Corporation drills and operates wells mainly in the Marcellus and Utica shale formations in Pennsylvania, West Virginia and Ohio. It also extracts gas from coal seams in Virginia. Shale supplies most of its production, and natural gas sales generate the bulk of its revenue. Buyers are primarily U.S. gas wholesalers, alongside industrial users, local gas utilities and power generators.

CNX gathers and processes gas so it can enter transmission pipelines and reach buyers. It owns much of its gathering infrastructure but also relies on outside pipeline and processing operators. NRG Business Marketing LLC, DTE Energy Trading, Inc. and Citadel Energy Marketing LLC are major customers, each accounting for a substantial share of customer sales. Much of its gas travels on or through Texas Eastern Transmission, Columbia Gas Transmission and Eastern Gas Transmission & Storage, with few or no alternative routes.

Most gas sales use market prices under short-term contracts, while financial hedges manage part of the price exposure. Earnings depend on gas prices and access to pipelines that move production beyond Appalachia, where excess supply keeps local prices below major market hubs. Drilling, production and transportation also require environmental permits and compliance; authorities can restrict or stop operations for noncompliance.

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Source: SEC filing

Red flags

Know what’s buried in CNX’s filings before you buy

The risk section is the longest, dullest part of the filing. This keeps only what can really hurt you: where it hits, how hard, when it plays out.

Sorted into
  • Happening now
  • Could go wrong
  • Built in

Moat

CNX says it has a moat. Does it hold up?

Every company claims an edge. Each one is checked against hard numbers like margins and returns: which hold, and which line gives way first.

Each edge rated
  • Strong
  • Moderate
  • Limited
  • Unproven

Related companies

  • Competition
  • Shared drivers
  • Supplier
  • Customer
  • EQT and CNX compete for Appalachian gas sales and pipeline access, with both producing gas and owning pipes that collect it from wells. Watch EQT’s production costs and gathering operations for how strong a rival CNX faces in supplying regional gas buyers.

  • Range Resources competes with CNX in Pennsylvania’s Marcellus, selling gas and liquids into overlapping Appalachian markets. Range’s drilling and production costs are worth watching: it says commodity producers have little lasting advantage in selling prices, making costs a key measure of its rivalry with CNX.

  • Expand Energy competes with CNX to produce and sell Marcellus and Utica gas in Pennsylvania, Ohio and West Virginia. Watch the prices it receives for Appalachian gas and its arrangements to get that gas to buyers; these bear on the same regional pricing and pipeline constraints CNX faces.

  • Antero Resources and CNX sell Appalachian gas and liquids from overlapping West Virginia and Ohio operating areas, exposing both to regional prices and transport capacity. Watch Antero’s access to domestic and international buyers through its long-term reserved pipeline capacity when comparing its selling options with CNX’s.

  • Gulfport Energy competes with CNX to produce and sell gas from Ohio’s Utica and Marcellus formations. Its Ohio gas sales and transport commitments are the relevant comparison for CNX, rather than its separate Oklahoma operations.

  • National Fuel Gas competes with CNX through Seneca, which develops Appalachian reserves and sells natural gas, but its regulated businesses make the whole company a less direct comparison. Focus on its gas-production and gathering results, not the utility that supplies retail customers in western New York and northwestern Pennsylvania.

  • Comstock Resources and CNX both sell natural gas to wholesale markets, so U.S. gas prices matter to both, although Comstock produces in the Haynesville rather than Appalachia. Its monthly index and daily spot gas sales offer a comparison for CNX’s exposure to market prices, not for CNX’s local pipeline conditions.

  • Infinity Natural Resources competes with CNX in overlapping Pennsylvania and Ohio shale formations, selling gas and liquids to buyers at generally prevailing market prices. Watch how its Pennsylvania gathering system supports developing both Marcellus and Utica layers, a concrete comparison for CNX’s use of owned infrastructure.

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  • Diversified Energy and CNX compete in producing and selling Appalachian gas across overlapping states, including areas with conventional and shale wells. Diversified’s focus on keeping mature wells productive makes its Appalachian well costs and operating efficiency a more useful comparison than its company-wide production.

  • BKV and CNX both rely mainly on gas production and own infrastructure that collects and processes gas; BKV also serves its own wells and third-party producers in northeastern Pennsylvania. Watch BKV’s gathering and processing costs as a comparison for how owning those facilities can support CNX’s gas margins.

  • WhiteHawk Minerals receives a share of gas-sale revenue from acreage developed by CNX and other producers, so its revenue follows gas prices and some of CNX’s production without WhiteHawk drilling the wells itself. Its Appalachian royalty revenue is a useful read on those shared drivers, but does not isolate CNX’s contribution.

Agenda

in 7 daysTue, Oct 27

  1. Time to be announced

    Expand Energy Corporation earningsEXE

    Expand Energy's report shows the prices it gets for Marcellus and Utica gas and how it moves that gas to buyers, a read on the regional pricing and pipeline limits CNX also faces.

  2. Time to be announced

    Range Resources Corp earningsRRC

    Range Resources competes with CNX in Pennsylvania's Marcellus, and its drilling and production costs show whether cost pressure is changing that contest.

in 9 daysThu, Oct 29

  1. Time to be announced
    Major

    CNX Resources Corporation earningsThis company

    CNX earns mainly by selling natural gas, so this report shows whether the amount it delivers and the price it receives are supporting revenue.

in 16 daysThu, Nov 5

  1. Time to be announced

    BKV Corporation earningsBKV

    BKV Corporation's report shows how gathering and processing costs affect its gas business, offering a comparison for the economics of CNX's own facilities.

in 28 daysTue, Nov 17

  1. 9:15 AMET pre-market

    Industrial Production MoM (Oct)

    Industrial production tracks how much factories, mines and utilities produce; stronger output can increase demand for the natural gas CNX sells to industrial customers and power generators, and for NGLs that reach industrial and petrochemical markets, supporting sales.