Stock daily read

What happened with GPOR today?

Why it moved
Explains possible causes using the day’s news and filings
Moving with the market?
Uses market moves and trading volume to assess what drove the change
What to watch next
The next thing that could change the call, and what to look for

No read yet

Uses news and trading volume to explain the day’s move and how it relates to the market.

Investment outlook

GPOR in three months: buy, wait or sell?

Stop guessing. Get the call, a three-month target price, the best and worst cases, and a source for every claim.

In the report
  • Buy / Wait / Sell rating
  • 3-month target price
  • Bear · Base · Bull
  • vs. the market

Company

Company overview

Gulfport Energy Corporation produces natural gas mainly from the Utica and Marcellus formations in eastern Ohio, with additional production in central Oklahoma. Natural gas supplies most of its sales revenue; oil, condensate and natural gas liquids provide the rest. Commodity buyers pay for delivered production at prices tied to market indexes, under spot and term contracts. One purchaser, Customer A, accounts for a significant share of sales.

Getting that production to buyers requires third-party gathering systems, processing facilities and pipelines. Gulfport reserves capacity under long-term contracts, some of which require payments even when it delivers less than the agreed minimum volumes.

The business depends heavily on natural gas prices and continued investment in drilling and development to replace reserves depleted by production. Gulfport has generally funded that investment with operating cash flow and revolving-credit borrowings. Drilling and well operations require permits and compliance with environmental rules; denied permits or restrictive conditions can prevent planned wells from proceeding.

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Source: SEC filing

Red flags

Know what’s buried in GPOR’s filings before you buy

The risk section is the longest, dullest part of the filing. This keeps only what can really hurt you: where it hits, how hard, when it plays out.

Sorted into
  • Happening now
  • Could go wrong
  • Built in

Moat

GPOR says it has a moat. Does it hold up?

Every company claims an edge. Each one is checked against hard numbers like margins and returns: which hold, and which line gives way first.

Each edge rated
  • Strong
  • Moderate
  • Limited
  • Unproven

Related companies

  • Competition
  • Shared drivers
  • Supplier
  • Customer
  • Expand Energy competes with Gulfport for gas buyers by producing and marketing natural gas from the same Appalachian Marcellus and Utica formations. Its gas selling prices offer a comparison for Gulfport’s sales, since Expand generally prices gas against published indices or local daily spot prices.

  • EQT and Gulfport sell Appalachian natural gas into overlapping markets, so regional gas prices and the ability to move gas out of the basin matter to both. EQT also gathers and transports gas; news about its pipeline network is worth watching alongside Gulfport’s exposure to third-party transport outages and constraints.

  • CNX Resources competes with Gulfport for Appalachian gas buyers, developing Marcellus and Utica resources that include Ohio acreage. CNX’s shale development and production results provide a regional comparison for Gulfport’s operations in those same formations.

  • Antero Resources competes with Gulfport to sell Appalachian natural gas and liquids into overlapping end markets, with operations in Ohio and neighboring states. Antero’s long-term pipeline capacity gives it access to domestic and international buyers, making its routes to market a useful comparison for Gulfport.

  • Range Resources and Gulfport compete to sell natural gas and liquids from Appalachian shale into overlapping commodity markets. Range’s production costs in Pennsylvania’s Marcellus are worth comparing with Gulfport’s: Range says commodity producers have little lasting advantage in selling prices, so it focuses on controlling costs.

  • Infinity Natural Resources competes with Gulfport to sell gas, oil and NGLs from Ohio Utica and Appalachian Marcellus resources into overlapping markets. Its Ohio Utica oil development offers a comparison for Gulfport’s new wells in the oil- and liquids-producing parts of the Utica and Marcellus.

  • Comstock Resources shares Gulfport’s reliance on sales to U.S. natural gas buyers, but produces mainly in the Haynesville rather than Appalachia. Its gas selling prices provide a comparison from another basin, with sales mainly priced against monthly indices or daily spot markets.

  • BKV Corporation and Gulfport are gas-heavy U.S. producers competing for natural gas and NGL buyers. Compare BKV’s gas and NGL production rather than its whole business with Gulfport: BKV also generates power and gathers, processes and transports gas for itself and third-party producers.

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  • EOG Resources competes with Gulfport in Ohio shale development and sales to natural gas buyers through its Utica operations, expanded by the Encino acquisition.

  • Ovintiv and Gulfport both produce and sell oil, natural gas and NGLs from Oklahoma’s Anadarko Basin, putting them in competition there despite their operations elsewhere. Ovintiv’s Anadarko results are the relevant comparison for Gulfport’s Oklahoma business, rather than results from its Permian or Canadian Montney operations.

Agenda

in 2 daysWed, Oct 21

  1. 10:30 AMET

    EIA Crude Oil Stocks Change (Oct/16)

    The EIA’s weekly counts of US crude oil and gasoline stocks can signal shifts in oil-market supply and prices, which feed into the market-index prices Gulfport receives for its oil and condensate sales.

in 8 daysTue, Oct 27

  1. Time to be announced

    EQT CORP earningsEQT

    EQT’s report will show Appalachian gas pricing and pipeline conditions, a regional read-through for Gulfport, which relies on third-party networks to move its gas.

  2. Time to be announced

    Expand Energy Corporation earningsEXE

    Expand Energy’s report will show the gas prices it receives in the Appalachian formations it shares with Gulfport, offering a pricing check on Gulfport’s Utica and Marcellus sales.

  3. Time to be announced

    Range Resources Corp earningsRRC

    Range Resources’ report will show costs in its Marcellus business, giving Gulfport a regional comparison for the cost of producing Appalachian gas and liquids.

in 9 daysWed, Oct 28

  1. 2:00 PMET

    Fed Interest Rate Decision

    For Gulfport, the Fed’s decision on short-term borrowing rates matters because rates influence the floating interest it pays on its Credit Facility debt and the cash left for drilling and other spending.

in 15 daysTue, Nov 3

  1. Time to be announced
    Major

    Gulfport Energy Corporation earningsThis company

    Gulfport earns most of its sales from natural gas, and this report will show how much cash its realized prices leave after the costs of producing and moving gas, oil and NGLs.

  2. Time to be announced

    Ovintiv Inc. earningsOVV

    Ovintiv’s Anadarko results give Gulfport a comparison for production and costs in the Oklahoma SCOOP part of its business.

in 21 daysMon, Nov 9

  1. Time to be announced

    Infinity Natural Resources, Inc. earningsINR

    Infinity Natural Resources’ Ohio Utica oil results offer a comparison for Gulfport’s oil- and liquids-producing wells in the Utica and Marcellus.