Stock daily read

What happened with EQT today?

Why it moved
Explains possible causes using the day’s news and filings
Moving with the market?
Uses market moves and trading volume to assess what drove the change
What to watch next
The next thing that could change the call, and what to look for

No read yet

Uses news and trading volume to explain the day’s move and how it relates to the market.

Investment outlook

EQT in three months: buy, wait or sell?

Stop guessing. Get the call, a three-month target price, the best and worst cases, and a source for every claim.

In the report
  • Buy / Wait / Sell rating
  • 3-month target price
  • Bear · Base · Bull
  • vs. the market

Company

Company overview

EQT Corporation develops and operates wells in the Appalachian Basin and sells the gas to energy marketers, utilities and industrial customers. Natural gas sales provide most of its revenue; liquids recovered from the gas and oil contribute less. Its transportation network connects production to customers within and beyond Appalachia, and it does not depend on a single buyer.

EQT also owns systems that collect gas from wells, transport it through interstate pipelines and store it. These serve mainly its own production business, alongside outside customers. Customers pay to reserve capacity, generally whether or not they use it, and also pay fees tied to volumes handled.

The business depends chiefly on natural gas prices, continued development of reserves and access to processing and transportation. Limited pipeline capacity out of Appalachia often pushes local gas prices below the U.S. Henry Hub benchmark. EQT hedges part of its production to limit price swings. The Federal Energy Regulatory Commission governs interstate pipeline and storage rates and service terms; most contracted transmission capacity carries long-term negotiated rates that generally do not adjust for cost changes.

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Source: SEC filing

Red flags

Know what’s buried in EQT’s filings before you buy

The risk section is the longest, dullest part of the filing. This keeps only what can really hurt you: where it hits, how hard, when it plays out.

Sorted into
  • Happening now
  • Could go wrong
  • Built in

Moat

EQT says it has a moat. Does it hold up?

Every company claims an edge. Each one is checked against hard numbers like margins and returns: which hold, and which line gives way first.

Each edge rated
  • Strong
  • Moderate
  • Limited
  • Unproven

Related companies

  • Competition
  • Shared drivers
  • Supplier
  • Customer
  • Expand Energy and EQT sell Appalachian natural gas into overlapping markets, so regional gas prices and pipeline limits matter to both; Expand also produces gas in the Haynesville. Watch the prices Expand receives for Appalachian gas rather than treating its broader production mix as a direct match for EQT.

  • Range Resources and EQT produce and sell gas and liquids from Pennsylvania's Appalachian shale region, exposing both to closely related regional prices and development conditions. Range's drilling and production costs offer a comparison for EQT where producers have little lasting advantage in selling prices.

  • Antero Resources and EQT sell natural gas and liquids produced in West Virginia and Ohio, and both reserve pipeline capacity to reach markets beyond Appalachia. Antero's access to domestic and international buyers is a useful comparison for EQT's ability to sell outside its home region.

  • CNX Resources and EQT produce gas for the same regional markets in Pennsylvania, West Virginia and Ohio, sharing Appalachian gas-price and production-cost pressures. Compare CNX's production costs and sales volumes with EQT's, while keeping its Virginia coalbed-methane operations separate from the shale comparison.

  • Gulfport Energy's gas-heavy Utica and Marcellus production competes with EQT's Appalachian gas sales, making it a comparison for regional gas economics. Focus on its eastern Ohio gas business: its central Oklahoma production adds exposure that EQT's Appalachian operations do not share.

  • National Fuel Gas Co.'s Seneca produces and sells Appalachian gas using affiliated gathering and processing facilities, closely resembling EQT's production-and-pipeline model. Its Integrated Upstream and Gathering results are the closer comparison for EQT, rather than its utility sales to retail customers.

  • Comstock Resources sells Haynesville gas into broader U.S. markets also reached by EQT, so it helps track gas-price conditions rather than Appalachian production economics. Watch the prices on Comstock's monthly-index and daily-spot gas sales, while allowing for EQT's regional price discounts and hedges.

  • EQT pays Williams' Ohio Valley Midstream to process its gas and extract liquids for sale, while Williams' gathering and transportation services also overlap EQT's own businesses. Watch processing-facility news for implications for EQT's liquids sales; Williams generally earns gathering and treating fees based on gas volume rather than selling the gas itself.

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  • Diversified Energy Company sells gas from Appalachian and other U.S. assets into markets overlapping EQT's, sharing exposure to gas prices despite its focus on mature, long-life wells. Its Appalachian gas sales are the closer comparison; results from extending existing wells' productive lives reflect a different operating emphasis.

  • BKV Corporation overlaps EQT in producing gas and running facilities that gather, process and transport it for its own wells and other producers, but also operates gas-fired power and carbon-capture businesses. Compare its gas-production and midstream results with EQT's rather than treating power generation and carbon capture as shared exposures.

  • Infinity Natural Resources and EQT sell production from overlapping Pennsylvania and Ohio shale regions, sharing regional gas-development conditions. Watch Infinity's Pennsylvania gas development and sales for comparison with EQT, keeping its oil-focused Ohio Utica acreage separate.

  • Cheniere Energy turns U.S. gas into liquefied natural gas for overseas energy companies, utilities and traders, so its capacity growth helps gauge demand for EQT's gas and its planned LNG exposure. Watch new liquefaction capacity entering service, not matching gas-price sensitivity: Cheniere's long-term customers generally pay a fixed fee plus a variable fee designed to cover gas and related costs.

Agenda

in 7 daysTue, Oct 27

  1. Time to be announced
    Major

    EQT CORP earningsThis company

    EQT earns most of its money from selling gas and other products, and this report shows whether realized prices after hedging and sales volumes support Upstream earnings, with pipeline income adding support.

  2. Time to be announced

    Range Resources Corp earningsRRC

    Range Resources’ report shows how an Appalachian gas producer is handling regional prices and development costs that also shape EQT’s competitive environment.

in 8 daysWed, Oct 28

  1. Time to be announced

    ANTERO RESOURCES CORPORATION earningsAR

    Antero Resources’ report shows how it sells West Virginia and Ohio gas and liquids to buyers beyond Appalachia, offering a comparison for EQT’s ability to reach outside markets.

  2. 2:00 PMET

    Fed Interest Rate Decision

    For EQT, the Fed’s policy rate tracks the economy-wide cost of borrowing, which can affect interest expense on debt that reprices and the cost of new borrowing, leaving less or more cash for drilling and pipeline investment.

in 9 daysThu, Oct 29

  1. Time to be announced

    Cheniere Energy Inc earningsLNG

    Cheniere Energy’s report shows whether new liquefaction capacity is entering service and being used, adding an export outlet for the U.S. gas market that EQT supplies.

in 13 daysMon, Nov 2

  1. Time to be announced

    Williams Companies Inc. earningsWMB

    Williams’ report sheds light on its Ohio Valley midstream business, which EQT pays to process gas and extract liquids, a step in EQT’s liquids sales path.