Stock daily read

What happened with NBHC today?

Why it moved
Explains possible causes using the day’s news and filings
Moving with the market?
Uses market moves and trading volume to assess what drove the change
What to watch next
The next thing that could change the call, and what to look for

No read yet

Uses news and trading volume to explain the day’s move and how it relates to the market.

Investment outlook

NBHC in three months: buy, wait or sell?

Stop guessing. Get the call, a three-month target price, the best and worst cases, and a source for every claim.

In the report
  • Buy / Wait / Sell rating
  • 3-month target price
  • Bear · Base · Bull
  • vs. the market

Company

Company overview

National Bank Holdings Corp. serves small and medium-sized businesses and consumers through NBH Bank. Its local brands include Community Banks of Colorado, Bank Midwest, Bank of Jackson Hole and Hillcrest Bank. It gathers deposits and uses them principally to fund loans for business operations, equipment, property and household needs. Borrowers pay interest, and the income left after paying interest on deposits and other funding is its main earnings source.

Business borrowers often also keep operating accounts and use its payment and cash-management services. These relationships provide lower-cost funding and generate fees. The company originates home mortgages and sells most to investors, generating mortgage-sale income rather than keeping every loan. Bank of Jackson Hole Trust also earns fees for trust and wealth-management services.

The business depends on retaining deposits at an affordable cost, borrowers repaying their loans, and how quickly loan yields and funding costs change as interest rates move. Deposits come mainly from communities around its banking centers, tying funding to local conditions and competition. Banking rules require minimum capital and limit permitted activities and distributions; bank acquisitions generally need regulatory approval.

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Source: SEC filing

Red flags

Know what’s buried in NBHC’s filings before you buy

The risk section is the longest, dullest part of the filing. This keeps only what can really hurt you: where it hits, how hard, when it plays out.

Sorted into
  • Happening now
  • Could go wrong
  • Built in

Moat

NBHC says it has a moat. Does it hold up?

Every company claims an edge. Each one is checked against hard numbers like margins and returns: which hold, and which line gives way first.

Each edge rated
  • Strong
  • Moderate
  • Limited
  • Unproven

Related companies

  • Competition
  • Shared drivers
  • Supplier
  • Customer
  • Zions' locally branded banks vie with NBHC for borrowers and depositors in Colorado, Utah, Texas, Idaho, New Mexico and Wyoming. Watch its loan and deposit growth in those states for signs of competition for NBHC's banking customers.

  • Enterprise Financial Services Corporation competes with NBHC for privately held businesses in Kansas, Missouri and New Mexico, providing loans, deposit accounts and cash-management services. Its deposits from business clients are worth watching: both banks seek these relationships to fund lending.

  • Great Southern Bancorp competes with NBHC for loans and deposits in Kansas City, while its Denver and Dallas offices also seek business borrowers. Watch its deposit rates in Kansas City, where both banks must attract customers' savings to fund loans.

  • U.S. Bancorp's U.S. Bank competes with NBHC in Colorado and the Kansas City region for business loans, services that help businesses manage cash, and deposits from individuals.

  • Wells Fargo competes with NBHC for business banking customers, home mortgages and consumer deposits across NBHC's western and Texas markets.

  • Bank First Corporation offers a comparison for NBHC: both build lasting relationships with small and medium-sized businesses through loans, deposits and mortgage lending. Watch Bank First's business-loan demand and deposit costs for clues to the conditions facing this banking model.

  • Burke & Herbert Financial Services Corp. is a similarly sized comparison for NBHC, with both using local deposits to fund business, mortgage and consumer loans. Watch the gap between what it earns on loans and pays for deposits, alongside borrowers' credit quality.

  • Mercantile Bank Corp and NBHC both lend to small and medium-sized businesses, take retail deposits and sell fixed-rate home mortgages to investors. Mercantile's mortgage-sale activity is worth watching alongside NBHC's gains on mortgage sales, an income source beyond lending interest.

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  • PNC Financial Services Group's coast-to-coast branch network competes with NBHC for individuals' deposits and business loans in NBHC's metropolitan markets. Watch PNC's deposit pricing and customer migration for signs of the pressure NBHC faces in attracting funding.

  • Bank of Montreal's U.S. banking business competes with NBHC for business borrowers and consumer deposits in western markets, including Colorado.

  • JPMorgan Chase competes with NBHC for small-business banking customers and household deposits in Colorado, Texas and other markets where both operate.

  • Bank of America competes with NBHC for consumer and small-business deposits and loans in NBHC's major metropolitan markets. Its consumer and small-business customer trends are the relevant comparison, rather than its global trading business.

Agenda

todayTue, Oct 20

  1. Time to be announced

    Mercantile Bank Corp earningsMBWM

    Mercantile Bank's home-loan sales show whether lenders can keep selling mortgages to investors, a source of mortgage income for National Bank Holdings too.

tomorrowWed, Oct 21

  1. Time to be announced

    Enterprise Financial Services Corporation earningsEFSC

    Enterprise Financial Services Corporation competes for privately held businesses in Kansas, Missouri and New Mexico, and its business deposits show whether those shared banking relationships are still bringing in funding for loans.

  2. Time to be announced

    Great Southern Bancorp Inc earningsGSBC

    Great Southern Bancorp competes with National Bank Holdings for Kansas City deposits, and its deposit pricing and balances offer a local clue to how hard banks must work to fund loans.

in 2 daysThu, Oct 22

  1. Time to be announced

    Burke & Herbert Financial Services Corp. earningsBHRB

    Burke & Herbert Financial Services Corp. uses local deposits to fund business, mortgage and consumer loans, and its lending returns, deposit costs and borrower credit show the banking conditions National Bank Holdings also faces.

in 7 daysTue, Oct 27

  1. Time to be announced
    Major

    NATIONAL BANK HOLDINGS CORP. earningsThis company

    National Bank Holdings earns mainly from the gap between interest on loans and the cost of deposits, and this report will show whether that gap holds as Vista joins the business.

in 8 daysWed, Oct 28

  1. 2:00 PMET

    Fed Interest Rate Decision

    For National Bank Holdings, the Fed’s rate decision signals how borrowing costs may change, affecting interest earned on its loans and other assets versus interest paid on deposits and other funding.