Stock daily read

What happened with MTW today?

Why it moved
Explains possible causes using the day’s news and filings
Moving with the market?
Uses market moves and trading volume to assess what drove the change
What to watch next
The next thing that could change the call, and what to look for

No read yet

Uses news and trading volume to explain the day’s move and how it relates to the market.

Investment outlook

MTW in three months: buy, wait or sell?

Stop guessing. Get the call, a three-month target price, the best and worst cases, and a source for every claim.

In the report
  • Buy / Wait / Sell rating
  • 3-month target price
  • Bear · Base · Bull
  • vs. the market

Company

Company overview

Manitowoc supplies cranes for construction, infrastructure, energy and industrial projects. Its brands include Manitowoc crawler cranes, Potain tower cranes and Grove mobile hydraulic cranes. New-machine sales generate most of its revenue. It sells mainly through independent distributors and crane rental companies worldwide, alongside its own MGX Equipment Services distribution network in parts of the United States.

After a crane is sold, owners pay for parts, maintenance, repairs and rebuilding to keep it working. Manitowoc also rents some crane types and offers paid subscriptions to Potain CONNECT and Grove CONNECT for remote equipment monitoring and troubleshooting. Its full service offering is concentrated in the United States and Europe. Through its CRANES+50 strategy, the company is working to expand revenue beyond new-machine sales.

Demand depends on construction activity and customers’ access to financing; customers may delay buying new cranes and repair existing equipment instead. Production also depends on timely deliveries of steel and components. Its designs, manufacturing processes and facilities must meet applicable safety and regulatory requirements, and some products require certification before they can be supplied.

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Source: SEC filing

Red flags

Know what’s buried in MTW’s filings before you buy

The risk section is the longest, dullest part of the filing. This keeps only what can really hurt you: where it hits, how hard, when it plays out.

Sorted into
  • Happening now
  • Could go wrong
  • Built in

Moat

MTW says it has a moat. Does it hold up?

Every company claims an edge. Each one is checked against hard numbers like margins and returns: which hold, and which line gives way first.

Each edge rated
  • Strong
  • Moderate
  • Limited
  • Unproven

Related companies

  • Competition
  • Shared drivers
  • Supplier
  • Customer

Manitowoc’s results hinge on lifting demand from construction and energy projects and crane competition from companies such as Liebherr and Tadano, neither of which appears in this list.

  • Terex competes for the construction and lifting customers who buy Manitowoc’s tower and mobile telescopic cranes, according to Manitowoc. Watch Terex’s pricing, performance and reliability: these are factors customers weigh against the cost of owning and maintaining Manitowoc cranes.

  • Oshkosh and Manitowoc both depend on construction customers spending on equipment: Oshkosh sells platforms for working at height and telehandlers for lifting loads, while Manitowoc sells cranes. Watch Oshkosh’s Access sales for a view of spending on equipment that gets people and materials into position on construction sites.

  • Caterpillar’s construction equipment and power-generation products draw on the same construction and energy-project spending that supports demand for Manitowoc’s cranes. Watch sales of those products rather than Caterpillar’s total revenue, which also includes mining equipment and financing.

  • Astec Industries and Manitowoc share exposure to infrastructure spending: road builders buy Astec’s asphalt and concrete equipment, while bridge, highway and infrastructure projects use Manitowoc’s cranes. Astec’s road-building equipment sales offer a focused view of that shared demand.

Agenda

todayTue, Oct 20

  1. 8:30 AMET pre-market

    Housing Starts (Sep)

    New-home construction readings track homebuilding activity, which can shape demand for Manitowoc’s Potain tower cranes used on residential construction projects and the resulting crane sales.

tomorrowWed, Oct 21

  1. 10:30 AMET

    EIA Crude Oil Stocks Change (Oct/16)

    The EIA’s weekly report tracks US crude oil and fuel stocks, which can shift oil-price expectations and, through energy-project demand, affect purchases of Manitowoc crawler cranes.

in 8 daysWed, Oct 28

  1. Time to be announced

    Terex Corporation earningsTEX

    Terex competes with Manitowoc for tower- and mobile-telescopic-crane buyers, and its report will show how those customers are responding to demand and competing offers.

  2. 2:00 PMET

    Fed Interest Rate Decision

    The Fed’s rate decision tracks the cost of borrowing across the economy, which can change how readily Manitowoc’s customers finance crane purchases and turn its backlog into sales.

in 9 daysThu, Oct 29

  1. Time to be announced

    Caterpillar Inc. earningsCAT

    Caterpillar’s construction equipment and power-generation products serve construction and energy projects that also use Manitowoc cranes, so sales in those businesses can signal whether shared project spending is firming or fading.

in 15 daysWed, Nov 4

  1. Time to be announced
    Major

    The Manitowoc Company, Inc. earningsThis company

    Manitowoc wants parts, service and rental to grow alongside crane sales, and this report will show whether those sales can cushion swings in new machines without weakening gross margin.

  2. Time to be announced

    Astec Industries Inc earningsASTE

    Road projects buy Astec’s equipment and use Manitowoc cranes on bridges and highways, so Astec’s road-building equipment sales offer a focused signal of shared infrastructure demand.