Stock daily read

What happened with ASTE today?

Why it moved
Explains possible causes using the day’s news and filings
Moving with the market?
Uses market moves and trading volume to assess what drove the change
What to watch next
The next thing that could change the call, and what to look for

No read yet

Uses news and trading volume to explain the day’s move and how it relates to the market.

Investment outlook

ASTE in three months: buy, wait or sell?

Stop guessing. Get the call, a three-month target price, the best and worst cases, and a source for every claim.

In the report
  • Buy / Wait / Sell rating
  • 3-month target price
  • Bear · Base · Bull
  • vs. the market

Company

Company overview

Astec Industries supplies equipment used from quarrying and crushing stone through producing asphalt and concrete to laying road surfaces. Its larger business, Infrastructure Solutions, sells production plants and road-building equipment to asphalt and concrete producers, contractors and government agencies. Materials Solutions supplies machinery that crushes, screens and processes aggregates and minerals for customers such as quarries, mines and recycling operators.

Equipment sales generate most revenue, while parts and components provide another substantial stream. Astec sells replacement parts for its own machines and some competitors’ equipment, and earns additional revenue from installation, servicing and rebuilding. It sells directly and through distributors; Materials Solutions relies primarily on a dealer network. Most sales come from the United States.

Demand depends on public infrastructure funding and private construction activity. Customers buy durable machines that last for years, so project activity and equipment replacement cycles shape orders. Steel and specialized components also matter to production, and Astec cannot always pass higher input costs on to customers. Its equipment must meet emissions, environmental and safety requirements, including standards set by the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency and state agencies.

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Source: SEC filing

Red flags

Know what’s buried in ASTE’s filings before you buy

The risk section is the longest, dullest part of the filing. This keeps only what can really hurt you: where it hits, how hard, when it plays out.

Sorted into
  • Happening now
  • Could go wrong
  • Built in

Moat

ASTE says it has a moat. Does it hold up?

Every company claims an edge. Each one is checked against hard numbers like margins and returns: which hold, and which line gives way first.

Each edge rated
  • Strong
  • Moderate
  • Limited
  • Unproven

Related companies

  • Competition
  • Shared drivers
  • Supplier
  • Customer

Astec’s results hinge on highway funding and producers’ equipment investment, while Metso and Sandvik are also important rivals in aggregate processing.

  • Gencor Industries, Inc. competes with Astec for highway-construction customers buying asphalt plants, pavers, combustion systems and heat-transfer equipment, tying both to highway funding and plant replacement spending. Watch Gencor’s demand for replacement and larger, more efficient asphalt plants for a read on the equipment investment Astec also pursues.

  • Terex and Astec compete for aggregate and recycling operators’ spending on crushing, screening, washing and wood-processing equipment. Terex’s news on these products is more relevant to Astec than its sales of utility equipment or refuse-collection bodies.

  • Deere & Company competes for roadbuilding and aggregate producers’ equipment spending through Wirtgen roadbuilding machinery and Kleemann crushers, overlapping with Astec’s paving and aggregate-processing equipment. Watch those products rather than Deere’s farm-equipment sales when assessing competition for Astec.

  • Caterpillar’s paving-equipment business competes with Astec for purchases by paving contractors and government agencies, exposing both to highway-construction spending. Its paving-equipment news is the part to watch for Astec, rather than Caterpillar’s broader mining and engine businesses.

  • Alamo competes with Astec for contractors’ forestry, tree-care and recycling equipment purchases, overlapping with Astec’s chippers, grinders and land-clearing machinery. Alamo’s Vegetation Management results, which include forestry and tree-care operations, are the relevant place to look for this overlap.

Agenda

in 9 daysWed, Oct 28

  1. Time to be announced

    Terex Corporation earningsTEX

    Terex’s results, especially demand for crushing, screening, washing and wood-processing equipment, will show whether aggregate and recycling customers are still buying machinery that competes with Astec’s.

in 10 daysThu, Oct 29

  1. Time to be announced

    Caterpillar Inc. earningsCAT

    Caterpillar’s paving-equipment demand will show whether paving contractors and government buyers are still purchasing roadbuilding machinery that competes with Astec’s.

in 16 daysWed, Nov 4

  1. Time to be announced
    Major

    Astec Industries Inc earningsThis company

    Astec’s equipment and parts sales, alongside the gross margin left after manufacturing costs, will show whether roadbuilding and aggregate customers are buying new machinery or mainly maintaining existing equipment.

in 53 daysFri, Dec 11

  1. Time to be announced

    Gencor Industries, Inc. earningsGENC

    Gencor Industries’ demand for replacement and larger, more efficient asphalt plants will show whether highway-construction customers are still investing in equipment Astec also sells.