Stock daily read

What happened with DE today?

Why it moved
Explains possible causes using the day’s news and filings
Moving with the market?
Uses market moves and trading volume to assess what drove the change
What to watch next
The next thing that could change the call, and what to look for

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Uses news and trading volume to explain the day’s move and how it relates to the market.

Investment outlook

DE in three months: buy, wait or sell?

Stop guessing. Get the call, a three-month target price, the best and worst cases, and a source for every claim.

In the report
  • Buy / Wait / Sell rating
  • 3-month target price
  • Bear · Base · Bull
  • vs. the market

Company

Company overview

Farmers use Deere & Company’s John Deere tractors, harvesters and precision technology to plant, tend and harvest crops. Agriculture and turf equipment account for most equipment sales, with large-scale farming machinery the largest business. Deere also supplies construction and forestry machines and Wirtgen roadbuilding equipment, giving it a substantial business beyond farming.

Most equipment and parts sales go to independent dealers, which pay Deere and resell to end users. Deere also earns from maintenance, repairs and technology upgrades after machines are sold. Most sales occur in the United States and Canada.

John Deere Financial helps customers buy or lease equipment and helps dealers fund their inventories. It earns interest and lease income, while paying to fund those loans and leased machines. This business relies largely on Deere equipment sales, access to funding and customers’ ability to repay.

Equipment demand depends heavily on farm income and farmers’ willingness to replace machinery; construction and infrastructure activity matter for the construction business. Deere also depends on dealers to sell and service its machines: excess new or used inventory can cause dealers to postpone orders. Export controls, sanctions and other trade restrictions can limit where Deere sells and supports its products.

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Source: SEC filing

Red flags

Know what’s buried in DE’s filings before you buy

The risk section is the longest, dullest part of the filing. This keeps only what can really hurt you: where it hits, how hard, when it plays out.

Sorted into
  • Happening now
  • Could go wrong
  • Built in

Moat

DE says it has a moat. Does it hold up?

Every company claims an edge. Each one is checked against hard numbers like margins and returns: which hold, and which line gives way first.

Each edge rated
  • Strong
  • Moderate
  • Limited
  • Unproven

Related companies

  • Competition
  • Shared drivers
  • Supplier
  • Customer

Deere’s results hinge mainly on farmers’ equipment budgets and construction investment; Kubota and privately held CLAAS are also important competitors missing from this list.

  • CNH Industrial competes with Deere for farmers’ and contractors’ equipment purchases through its Case IH and New Holland farm machinery and construction equipment. Its sales to larger crop farms are particularly relevant to Deere’s large agricultural machines.

  • AGCO competes with Deere for farmers’ spending on tractors, harvesting equipment and systems that guide planting, input application and harvesting. Watch its PTx offering, which works across different brands of machinery rather than only AGCO equipment.

  • Caterpillar competes with Deere for contractors’ and equipment fleets’ purchases of earthmoving and construction machinery. Its construction-machinery sales are the relevant comparison for Deere, rather than its mining equipment, engines or turbines.

  • Toro competes with Deere for professional turf-maintenance, golf-course and residential lawn-equipment customers. Its lawn and golf-course equipment news speaks more directly to Deere’s turf business than to Deere’s large-farm machinery.

  • Titan Machinery’s equipment sales and inventories offer a view into the farm and construction markets Deere serves; its stores sell new and used machines, parts, repairs and rentals in the U.S., Europe and Australia. Watch used-equipment inventories, since higher used inventories contributed to Deere’s lower agricultural shipments in fiscal 2025.

  • Lindsay Corporation sells irrigation systems to growers whose ability to invest also drives purchases of Deere farm machinery. Its irrigation sales offer a read on growers’ equipment spending, distinct from its road-safety infrastructure business.

  • Deere buys off-highway wheels, tires and related assemblies from Titan International, so Titan’s sales partly depend on Deere’s equipment purchases. Deere accounted for 10% of Titan’s consolidated net sales in 2025 across its agricultural, earthmoving/construction and consumer segments.

  • Terex competes with Deere’s Kleemann products for aggregate producers’ and construction projects’ purchases of machines that crush, sort and move material. Its crushing, screening and conveyor equipment is the overlap to watch, not its waste-collection or utility equipment.

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  • EquipmentShare.com Inc buys Deere machinery for rental and resale, linking Deere’s sales to investment in its construction rental fleet. Demand for rentals on commercial, industrial and infrastructure projects offers a clue to fleet investment needs; reduced rental purchases contributed to Deere’s lower construction-equipment shipments in fiscal 2025.

  • Mayville Engineering Company, Inc. (MEC) manufactures components for more than 65 Deere model platforms, making Deere’s orders an important source of its revenue. Deere represented 10% of MEC’s net sales in 2025, giving its component sales to Deere a direct connection to the equipment maker’s purchasing.

Agenda

tomorrowTue, Oct 20

  1. 8:30 AMET pre-market

    Housing Starts (Sep)

    Deere sells turf and construction equipment through dealers, so homebuilding readings indicate building activity that can affect demand for those machines and the sales dealers make from them.

in 3 daysThu, Oct 22

  1. Time to be announced

    Lindsay Corporation earningsLNN

    Lindsay sells irrigation systems to growers, so its report offers a clue to whether those growers are also willing to invest in Deere farm machinery.

in 9 daysWed, Oct 28

  1. Time to be announced

    Terex Corporation earningsTEX

    Terex’s crushing, screening and conveyor machines compete with Deere’s Kleemann products for aggregate producers’ and project buyers’ spending, so its report will show how that shared market is faring.

  2. 2:00 PMET

    Fed Interest Rate Decision

    Deere sells agricultural, turf and construction equipment through dealers and earns financing income from John Deere Financial, so interest-rate decisions affect what customers pay to finance equipment and what Deere pays to fund loans and leases.

in 10 daysThu, Oct 29

  1. Time to be announced

    AGCO Corporation earningsAGCO

    AGCO competes with Deere for farmers’ spending on tractors, harvesting equipment and precision systems, so its report will show both the strength of that shared market and the competition for it.

  2. Time to be announced

    Caterpillar Inc. earningsCAT

    Caterpillar competes with Deere for contractors’ and equipment fleets’ earthmoving and construction-machine purchases, so its construction sales will show the strength of that shared market.

in 15 daysTue, Nov 3

  1. Time to be announced

    Mayville Engineering Company, Inc. earningsMEC

    Mayville Engineering Company makes components for many Deere model platforms, so its report offers a supplier-side clue to equipment production and component demand.

in 23 daysWed, Nov 11

  1. Time to be announced

    EquipmentShare.com Inc earningsEQPT

    EquipmentShare.com buys Deere construction machinery for rental and resale, so its report will show whether rental demand is supporting that kind of fleet investment.

in 36 daysTue, Nov 24

  1. Time to be announced

    Titan Machinery Inc. earningsTITN

    Titan Machinery sells new and used farm and construction machines, so its sales and inventories can show whether used equipment is still weighing on demand for Deere’s new machines.

in 37 daysWed, Nov 25

  1. Time to be announced
    Major

    Deere & Company earningsThis company

    Deere sells farm, turf and construction equipment and parts, and this report will show whether sales volumes and product mix are supporting profit margins across those businesses.

in 58 daysWed, Dec 16

  1. Time to be announced

    Toro Company (The) earningsTTC

    Toro competes with Deere for professional turf, golf-course and residential lawn-equipment customers, so its report will show demand and competition in that shared market.