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What happened with MCS today?

Why it moved
Explains possible causes using the day’s news and filings
Moving with the market?
Uses market moves and trading volume to assess what drove the change
What to watch next
The next thing that could change the call, and what to look for

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Uses news and trading volume to explain the day’s move and how it relates to the market.

Investment outlook

MCS in three months: buy, wait or sell?

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In the report
  • Buy / Wait / Sell rating
  • 3-month target price
  • Bear · Base · Bull
  • vs. the market

Company

Company overview

Movie theatres generate most of The Marcus Corporation’s revenue. It operates under the Marcus Theatres, Movie Tavern by Marcus and BistroPlex brands, with moviegoers paying for tickets and food and drinks. These purchases account for most theatre revenue; some locations also offer meals and bars rather than just traditional concessions. Ticket sales depend heavily on the appeal of films supplied by studios and the marketing behind them, with a relatively small set of hit releases drawing much of the box-office revenue.

Hotels and resorts form the other major business. At properties it owns, Marcus earns from room bookings, dining, banquets, catering and event space. Business and group travel are important sources of demand. It also runs properties for other owners under long-term management agreements: owners pay base fees generally tied to property revenue, and may pay incentive fees linked to profit. This gives Marcus a separate way to earn from lodging without owning the hotel itself.

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Source: SEC filing

Red flags

Know what’s buried in MCS’s filings before you buy

The risk section is the longest, dullest part of the filing. This keeps only what can really hurt you: where it hits, how hard, when it plays out.

Sorted into
  • Happening now
  • Could go wrong
  • Built in

Moat

MCS says it has a moat. Does it hold up?

Every company claims an edge. Each one is checked against hard numbers like margins and returns: which hold, and which line gives way first.

Each edge rated
  • Strong
  • Moderate
  • Limited
  • Unproven

Related companies

  • Competition
  • Shared drivers
  • Supplier
  • Customer

Marcus depends on compelling studio releases and hotel travel demand; Hilton, absent from this list, also matters as a lodging rival and hotel-brand licensor.

  • Cinemark competes with Marcus for paying moviegoers, and both depend on distributors supplying films people want to see. Cinemark’s U.S. box-office results offer a read on the audience demand that also drives Marcus’s ticket revenue.

  • AMC competes with Marcus for moviegoers’ ticket and food-and-drink spending. Watch AMC’s admissions and food-and-beverage sales together for a view of the two main revenue streams in Marcus’s cinemas.

  • Reading International, Inc earns ticket and food-and-drink revenue from moviegoers like Marcus, so its cinema results help gauge moviegoing demand. Read those revenue lines with its different mix of U.S., Australian and New Zealand cinemas in mind.

  • Hyatt competes with Marcus for hotel and resort guests and for owners who pay them to manage properties. Hyatt’s full-service hotel and resort demand is worth watching alongside Marcus’s room and group-booking business.

  • Marriott competes with Marcus for lodging guests, but also lets two Marcus hotels use its brand in return for fees based on defined gross sales. Marriott’s room-rate and occupancy trends offer context for Marcus’s lodging demand, while the brand fees tie it directly to those hotels’ sales.

  • Imax supplies the premium cinema systems used at three Marcus screens, and both benefit when audiences pay more for premium film presentations. Imax sells or leases those systems to cinema operators; demand for IMAX films helps gauge the appetite for higher-priced tickets at Marcus.

  • National CineMedia, Inc. turns moviegoing audiences into advertising revenue, and Marcus earns additional theatre revenue through its ads. Its sales of preshow and lobby advertising to advertisers offer a read on demand for reaching the audiences in Marcus’s theatres.

  • Airbnb competes with Marcus’s hotels and resorts for travelers’ overnight lodging spending by connecting guests with hosts offering stays. Bookings for those stays are the part of Airbnb’s business to watch when assessing the alternatives facing Marcus’s hotel rooms.

Agenda

in 3 daysThu, Oct 22

  1. Time to be announced

    Imax Corp earningsIMAX

    Imax's report can show whether audience demand for IMAX films supports premium-priced screenings at Marcus's three IMAX-equipped screens.

in 10 daysThu, Oct 29

  1. Time to be announced
    Major

    The Marcus Corporation earningsThis company

    Marcus's theatres and hotels both earn from customer spending, and this report will show whether moviegoers' ticket and concession spending and hotel room demand are translating into higher segment operating income.

  2. Time to be announced

    National CineMedia, Inc. earningsNCMI

    National CineMedia, Inc.'s report can show how advertiser demand to reach cinema audiences is changing, offering a read on Marcus's additional theatre advertising revenue.

in 14 daysMon, Nov 2

  1. Time to be announced

    Marriott International earningsMAR

    Marriott's room rates and occupancy offer a read on lodging demand for Marcus, while two Marcus hotels also pay fees tied to defined gross sales for using Marriott's brand.

in 16 daysWed, Nov 4

  1. Time to be announced

    AMC ENTERTAINMENT HOLDINGS, INC. earningsAMC

    AMC's admissions and food-and-beverage sales show whether moviegoers are still buying tickets and spending in cinemas, two key revenue streams for Marcus's theatres.