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What happened with MANH today?

Why it moved
Explains possible causes using the day’s news and filings
Moving with the market?
Uses market moves and trading volume to assess what drove the change
What to watch next
The next thing that could change the call, and what to look for

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Uses news and trading volume to explain the day’s move and how it relates to the market.

Investment outlook

MANH in three months: buy, wait or sell?

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  • Buy / Wait / Sell rating
  • 3-month target price
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Company

Company overview

Manhattan Associates helps retailers, wholesalers, manufacturers and logistics providers manage warehouses, inventory and sales across online and physical stores. Retail is its largest market. Customers pay recurring fees to use its Manhattan Active cloud applications, with software updates included in multiyear contracts.

Getting the software working in a customer's business is a major part of what it sells. Most customers also pay Manhattan for services such as implementation, data conversion, training and integration with existing systems, usually billed by the hour. These services are its largest revenue source; together with cloud subscriptions, they provide most of its revenue. A smaller stream comes from support and upgrades for customers using older, permanently licensed software.

The business depends on winning and retaining cloud subscribers, which also generates demand for services. Successful implementation and ongoing support matter because customers rely on the software in their operations. Retailers' willingness to invest in new systems is important, but no single customer dominates revenue.

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Source: SEC filing

Red flags

Know what’s buried in MANH’s filings before you buy

The risk section is the longest, dullest part of the filing. This keeps only what can really hurt you: where it hits, how hard, when it plays out.

Sorted into
  • Happening now
  • Could go wrong
  • Built in

Moat

MANH says it has a moat. Does it hold up?

Every company claims an edge. Each one is checked against hard numbers like margins and returns: which hold, and which line gives way first.

Each edge rated
  • Strong
  • Moderate
  • Limited
  • Unproven

Related companies

  • Competition
  • Shared drivers
  • Supplier
  • Customer

Manhattan Associates’ results hinge on spending to modernize supply chains and omnichannel operations, with Blue Yonder/Panasonic an important rival missing from this list.

  • Descartes and Manhattan Associates compete for retailers, manufacturers and logistics providers paying for software to plan and execute shipments. Descartes’ demand from those customers offers a read on the logistics-software spending that also matters to Manhattan.

  • SAP competes with Manhattan Associates when enterprises choose supply-chain software built into a broader business-management system, or ERP, rather than specialist applications. SAP’s push to integrate its cloud applications is worth watching for how it positions that broader suite against Manhattan’s specialist software.

  • Oracle competes with Manhattan Associates for enterprises buying supply-chain software and retailers buying software to handle checkout transactions at the point of sale. Oracle’s offerings in those two areas are the relevant competition for Manhattan, rather than its broader hardware and services businesses.

  • SPS Commerce and Manhattan Associates address different parts of retail supply-chain digitization: SPS connects companies with trading partners and maintains transaction standards, while Manhattan manages inventory and fulfillment. Demand for SPS’s partner connections offers a view of spending on the transaction infrastructure behind those retail operations.

  • IBM’s Sterling Commerce applications compete for enterprise spending with Manhattan Associates’ software for carrying out supply-chain operations and managing commerce across sales channels. Sterling Commerce product news is therefore more directly relevant to Manhattan than IBM’s broader hybrid-cloud and AI business.

  • Trimble’s transportation and logistics business and Manhattan Associates’ supply-chain software both serve companies spending to make freight and distribution more efficient. Trimble’s Transportation and Logistics segment is the part to watch for that demand, rather than its construction or field-systems businesses.

Agenda

in 7 daysTue, Oct 27

  1. Time to be announced
    Major

    Manhattan Associates Inc earningsThis company

    Manhattan Associates is shifting toward cloud subscriptions and related implementation work, and this report will show whether that business is still expanding.

in 9 daysThu, Oct 29

  1. Time to be announced

    SPS Commerce, Inc. earningsSPSC

    SPS Commerce's report will show whether demand for retail supply-chain connections is strengthening, a nearby spending signal for Manhattan Associates' inventory and fulfillment software.

in 15 daysWed, Nov 4

  1. Time to be announced

    Trimble Inc. earningsTRMB

    Trimble's Transportation and Logistics business will show whether freight and distribution companies are still buying efficiency tools, a customer spending signal for Manhattan Associates' supply-chain software.

in 43 daysWed, Dec 2

  1. Time to be announced

    Descartes Systems Group Inc earningsDSGX

    Descartes Systems Group's report will show demand for shipment software among retailers, manufacturers, and logistics providers, customer groups that also buy overlapping supply-chain software from Manhattan Associates.