Stock daily read

What happened with DSGX today?

Why it moved
Explains possible causes using the day’s news and filings
Moving with the market?
Uses market moves and trading volume to assess what drove the change
What to watch next
The next thing that could change the call, and what to look for

No read yet

Uses news and trading volume to explain the day’s move and how it relates to the market.

Investment outlook

DSGX in three months: buy, wait or sell?

Stop guessing. Get the call, a three-month target price, the best and worst cases, and a source for every claim.

In the report
  • Buy / Wait / Sell rating
  • 3-month target price
  • Bear · Base · Bull
  • vs. the market

Company

Company overview

Descartes Systems Group helps carriers, logistics providers and businesses such as manufacturers and retailers plan shipments, track deliveries and complete customs filings. Its software runs on the Global Logistics Network (GLN), which exchanges shipment and trade data among customers, trading partners, carriers and regulatory agencies. Customers can buy individual applications or bundles to use alongside their existing systems.

Most revenue comes from ongoing subscriptions, transaction fees and maintenance and support. Customers pay to use the software, network and data services; some fees depend on the shipment transactions processed. Implementation, consulting and training contribute a smaller share, while outright software licenses contribute very little.

A significant portion of revenue comes from existing customers, whose service contracts generally renew at their option. The business therefore depends on customers continuing to use and renew its services, as well as freight moving through the network: fewer shipments or less shipment reporting can reduce transaction revenue.

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Source: SEC filing

Red flags

Know what’s buried in DSGX’s filings before you buy

The risk section is the longest, dullest part of the filing. This keeps only what can really hurt you: where it hits, how hard, when it plays out.

Sorted into
  • Happening now
  • Could go wrong
  • Built in

Moat

DSGX says it has a moat. Does it hold up?

Every company claims an edge. Each one is checked against hard numbers like margins and returns: which hold, and which line gives way first.

Each edge rated
  • Strong
  • Moderate
  • Limited
  • Unproven

Related companies

  • Competition
  • Shared drivers
  • Supplier
  • Customer

Descartes’ results hinge on logistics software adoption, trade-compliance demand and shipment activity, with unlisted rival WiseTech worth watching across forwarding, customs, cargo booking and trade data.

  • Manhattan Associates competes with Descartes for retailers, manufacturers and logistics providers buying supply-chain and fulfillment software. Watch its Manhattan Active cloud subscriptions for a view of those customers’ software spending.

  • SPS Commerce competes with Descartes to connect companies with trading partners and automate the exchange of business documents. Its network handles connections, compliance rules and transaction exceptions for customers; watch partner onboarding for a view of demand for this connectivity.

  • Trimble competes with Descartes for transportation and logistics customers buying software to manage transport, plan routes and track vehicles. Its Transportation and Logistics segment is the business to watch for this overlap, rather than its construction or field systems operations.

  • Freightos directly competes with Descartes Portrix through software that helps ocean freight forwarders manage rates and prepare quotes; its freight procurement products also face Trimble’s Transporeon. Watch its ocean forwarder Rate & Quote software rather than treating fees from its freight-booking marketplace as the same business.

  • Open Text Corp competes with Descartes to help business customers exchange supply-chain documents and trading-partner data through its Business Network and GXS messaging services. Business Network developments are the relevant signal for Descartes, rather than OpenText’s broader content-management or cybersecurity businesses.

Agenda

in 7 daysTue, Oct 27

  1. Time to be announced

    Manhattan Associates Inc earningsMANH

    Manhattan Associates’ cloud subscriptions will show whether retailers, manufacturers and logistics providers are still spending on supply-chain software, a market Descartes also serves.

in 9 daysThu, Oct 29

  1. Time to be announced

    SPS Commerce, Inc. earningsSPSC

    SPS Commerce’s partner onboarding will show whether companies are still paying to connect trading partners and automate business documents, needs also served by Descartes’ network.

in 15 daysWed, Nov 4

  1. Time to be announced

    Trimble Inc. earningsTRMB

    Trimble’s Transportation and Logistics business will show whether transport and logistics customers are still buying transport-management, routing and vehicle-tracking software, areas Descartes also serves.

in 28 daysTue, Nov 17

  1. 8:30 AMET pre-market

    Retail Sales MoM (Oct)

    Retail sales track how much retailers sell to consumers; for Descartes, stronger retail activity can mean more goods moving through its customers and more logistics-network transactions that generate fees.

in 34 daysMon, Nov 23

  1. Time to be announced

    Freightos Limited earningsCRGO

    Freightos’ ocean-freight Rate & Quote software will show whether forwarders still pay to manage rates and prepare quotes, a business that directly overlaps with Descartes’ Portrix.

in 43 daysWed, Dec 2

  1. Time to be announced
    Major

    Descartes Systems Group Inc earningsThis company

    Descartes earns mainly from recurring fees for its logistics network services, and this report will show whether customer growth is still lifting that revenue.