Stock daily read

What happened with LXU today?

Why it moved
Explains possible causes using the day’s news and filings
Moving with the market?
Uses market moves and trading volume to assess what drove the change
What to watch next
The next thing that could change the call, and what to look for

No read yet

Uses news and trading volume to explain the day’s move and how it relates to the market.

Investment outlook

LXU in three months: buy, wait or sell?

Stop guessing. Get the call, a three-month target price, the best and worst cases, and a source for every claim.

In the report
  • Buy / Wait / Sell rating
  • 3-month target price
  • Bear · Base · Bull
  • vs. the market

Company

Company overview

LSB Industries uses natural gas to make ammonia, which it sells or processes into chemicals for factories, explosives manufacturers and agriculture. Ammonium nitrate and nitric acid together form its largest revenue category; liquid fertilizer made from urea and ammonium nitrate, known as UAN, and ammonia supply most of the rest. Customers pay LSB directly or buy through distributors, mainly in the United States.

The two markets work differently. Industrial customers generally buy under contracts with prices that pass through primary raw-material costs. Explosives manufacturers use its ammonium nitrate products for mining, quarrying and construction. Farmers and fertilizer dealers buy UAN and ammonia at spot prices or commit ahead of delivery. Agricultural earnings therefore depend on seasonal fertilizer demand and selling prices as well as natural-gas costs; not all sales pass input-cost increases through to customers. A small group of customers supplies a substantial share of revenue.

LSB can adjust its product mix as demand changes, but production depends on natural-gas supplies and functioning chemical plants. Operations also require environmental permits. At Pryor, it continues using a wastewater injection well under a state consent order after the permit expired, while it develops a replacement treatment process.

Read allShow less
Source: SEC filing

Red flags

Know what’s buried in LXU’s filings before you buy

The risk section is the longest, dullest part of the filing. This keeps only what can really hurt you: where it hits, how hard, when it plays out.

Sorted into
  • Happening now
  • Could go wrong
  • Built in

Moat

LXU says it has a moat. Does it hold up?

Every company claims an edge. Each one is checked against hard numbers like margins and returns: which hold, and which line gives way first.

Each edge rated
  • Strong
  • Moderate
  • Limited
  • Unproven

Related companies

  • Competition
  • Shared drivers
  • Supplier
  • Customer

Beyond fertilizer prices and natural-gas costs, LSB depends on industrial demand—watch its Covestro facility relationship and contracted ammonium-nitrate supply to Freeport’s U.S. copper mines.

  • CF Industries competes with LSB for North American agricultural and industrial buyers of ammonia, liquid nitrogen fertilizer (UAN) and ammonium nitrate, leaving both exposed to nitrogen-fertilizer prices and natural-gas costs. Watch CF Industries’ ammonia and UAN gross margins for clues to the conditions facing LSB’s fertilizer business.

  • CVR Partners and LSB compete to sell liquid nitrogen fertilizer (UAN) to U.S. agricultural distributors and ammonia to agricultural and industrial customers, so U.S. fertilizer prices and seasonal demand matter to both. CVR Partners’ UAN sales offer a focused read on that market: including freight, they made up approximately 67% of its 2025 net sales.

  • Nutrien’s nitrogen-fertilizer production business competes with LSB for North American fertilizer buyers. Watch Nutrien’s Nitrogen segment rather than its overall results for the closer comparison with LSB, since Nutrien also has substantial potash and agricultural retail operations.

  • AdvanSix and LSB depend on the same farm fertilizer spending cycle, although AdvanSix sells ammonium sulfate to agricultural distributors and retailers while LSB sells UAN and ammonia. Watch AdvanSix’s ammonium-sulfate sales to those buyers for clues to fertilizer demand, rather than its nylon and chemical-intermediate sales.

Agenda

in 8 daysWed, Oct 28

  1. Time to be announced
    Major

    LSB INDUSTRIES INC earningsThis company

    LSB Industries is shifting some fertilizer-grade ammonium nitrate production to industrial ammonium nitrate solution, and this report will show whether production and product mix are supporting profit.

in 13 daysMon, Nov 2

  1. Time to be announced

    CVR Partners, LP earningsUAN

    CVR Partners, LP's UAN sales show what fertilizer buyers and prices are doing in a market that also affects LSB Industries' UAN sales.

in 15 daysWed, Nov 4

  1. Time to be announced

    CF Industries Holding, Inc. earningsCF

    CF Industries' ammonia and UAN margins show how prices and natural-gas costs are affecting nitrogen products LSB Industries also sells.

in 28 daysTue, Nov 17

  1. 9:15 AMET pre-market

    Industrial Production MoM (Oct)

    Industrial production and capacity use track how much factories, mines and utilities make, which can change demand and sales volumes for LSB Industries’ chemicals, including ANS supplied to mining customers under multi-year contracts.