Stock daily read

What happened with LSTR today?

Why it moved
Explains possible causes using the day’s news and filings
Moving with the market?
Uses market moves and trading volume to assess what drove the change
What to watch next
The next thing that could change the call, and what to look for

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Uses news and trading volume to explain the day’s move and how it relates to the market.

Investment outlook

LSTR in three months: buy, wait or sell?

Stop guessing. Get the call, a three-month target price, the best and worst cases, and a source for every claim.

In the report
  • Buy / Wait / Sell rating
  • 3-month target price
  • Bear · Base · Bull
  • vs. the market

Company

Company overview

Landstar System Inc helps shippers and other logistics companies move freight, mainly in North America. Independent sales agents find customers and coordinate shipments, while Landstar’s subsidiaries contract with customers and bill them per shipment. Truck transportation supplies most revenue; rail, air and ocean freight play smaller roles.

Landstar owns no trucks, though it owns or leases some trailers. It relies on independent owner-operators working under exclusive leases and unrelated trucking companies to haul freight. It pays owner-operators a share of each load’s revenue, pays other carriers agreed shipment rates, and pays agents commissions. The amount left helps cover its operating costs. Landstar also handles billing, collections, carrier payments and safety compliance, supported by digital tools connecting the network.

The business depends on agents bringing in freight and outside carriers being available to move it. Customers are diversified, but two large agencies together generate a substantial share of revenue. Transportation operations require regulatory authorizations; California emissions rules also restrict which trucks can serve routes into, out of or through the state.

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Source: SEC filing

Red flags

Know what’s buried in LSTR’s filings before you buy

The risk section is the longest, dullest part of the filing. This keeps only what can really hurt you: where it hits, how hard, when it plays out.

Sorted into
  • Happening now
  • Could go wrong
  • Built in

Moat

LSTR says it has a moat. Does it hold up?

Every company claims an edge. Each one is checked against hard numbers like margins and returns: which hold, and which line gives way first.

Each edge rated
  • Strong
  • Moderate
  • Limited
  • Unproven

Related companies

  • Competition
  • Shared drivers
  • Supplier
  • Customer
  • C.H. Robinson competes directly with Landstar for North American shippers’ truckload shipments and the carriers that haul them, arranging transport rather than carrying the freight itself. Its North American Surface Transportation business is the part to watch for competition on freight prices and service.

  • RXO competes with Landstar on price and service by placing shippers’ truckload freight with independent carriers. Watch its truck brokerage business, its largest operation, where shipments are priced under contracts or on the spot market.

  • ArcBest competes with Landstar for shippers needing truckload transport or urgent deliveries: MoLo arranges truckload shipments, while Panther provides expedited ground transport. Its Asset-Light segment contains both businesses, making it the relevant part of ArcBest’s results to watch.

  • TFI International competes with Landstar for shippers needing specialized or flatbed truckload transport and help arranging freight. Watch TFI’s specialized and flatbed services alongside its freight brokerage business—the overlap with Landstar is in platform trucking and arranging transport, not just general trucking.

  • Knight-Swift competes for shippers that could instead pay Landstar to arrange truckload transport through its carrier network. Knight-Swift both hauls freight with its own equipment and arranges outside transport, so its Truckload and Logistics segments are the closest comparisons.

  • J.B. Hunt competes with Landstar for North American shippers’ freight by arranging transport through Integrated Capacity Solutions and hauling full loads in dry vans. Those brokerage and dry-van businesses are the parts of J.B. Hunt’s results most directly relevant to Landstar.

  • Schneider National competes with Landstar for North American shippers’ freight through both truckload transport and arranging shipments through freight brokerage.

  • Werner Enterprises competes with Landstar’s arranged truckload services by hauling shippers’ dry-van, urgent and temperature-controlled freight. Watch Werner’s One-Way Truckload business, which contains these services, rather than its Dedicated business for specific customers.

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  • Covenant Logistics competes with Landstar for shippers outsourcing truck transport, arranging freight through Managed Freight and hauling urgent full loads through Expedited. Watch those two businesses for competition on service and price, especially shipments with fixed pickup and delivery times.

Agenda

in 7 daysTue, Oct 27

  1. Time to be announced
    Major

    Landstar System Inc earningsThis company

    Landstar’s report will show whether shipper truckloads and the rates it pays carriers are leaving more gross profit on each shipment.

  2. 8:30 AMET pre-market

    Durable Goods Orders MoM (Sep)

    Orders for long-lasting goods such as vehicles, building products, metals and heavy machinery track demand in industries Landstar serves, which can change the freight shipments it arranges and transportation revenue billed to customers.

in 28 daysTue, Nov 17

  1. 8:30 AMET pre-market

    Retail Sales MoM (Oct)

    Retail sales track consumer spending at stores Landstar serves, which can change the goods retailers ship and the transportation revenue Landstar bills for arranging those shipments.

  2. 9:15 AMET pre-market

    Industrial Production MoM (Oct)

    Factory, mine and utility output tracks activity in industries such as automotive, metals, chemicals and electronics that generate freight Landstar arranges, affecting shipment volume and transportation revenue billed to customers.