Stock daily read

What happened with LQDT today?

Why it moved
Explains possible causes using the day’s news and filings
Moving with the market?
Uses market moves and trading volume to assess what drove the change
What to watch next
The next thing that could change the call, and what to look for

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Uses news and trading volume to explain the day’s move and how it relates to the market.

Investment outlook

LQDT in three months: buy, wait or sell?

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In the report
  • Buy / Wait / Sell rating
  • 3-month target price
  • Bear · Base · Bull
  • vs. the market

Company

Company overview

Liquidity Services, Inc. helps retailers, businesses and government agencies turn unwanted goods and assets into cash. Retail returns, excess goods and overstock generate most of its revenue, with Liquidation.com serving business buyers and Secondipity serving consumers. Government agencies sell surplus property and real estate through GovDeals and Bid4Assets, while businesses sell equipment and other surplus assets through AllSurplus and GovDeals.

The company handles sales in two ways. For most marketplace transactions, sellers retain ownership; Liquidity Services collects payment from buyers, deducts its commission and pays sellers the balance. It also charges buyers transaction fees and can manage marketing, warehousing and shipping for sellers. Alternatively, it buys goods and resells them to buyers. These resale transactions bring in most of its revenue, and what it earns depends on resale prices relative to purchase and handling costs.

The business needs a continuing supply of goods from sellers and buyers willing to purchase them. Its retail business relies on Amazon for inventory that it could not readily replace on acceptable terms. Separately, one unnamed retail-business customer accounts for a sizable share of company revenue.

Auction rules can limit which items it sells and which listing formats it uses in particular locations. Export controls and sanctions also restrict sales of certain equipment to specified buyers and countries.

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Source: SEC filing

Red flags

Know what’s buried in LQDT’s filings before you buy

The risk section is the longest, dullest part of the filing. This keeps only what can really hurt you: where it hits, how hard, when it plays out.

Sorted into
  • Happening now
  • Could go wrong
  • Built in

Moat

LQDT says it has a moat. Does it hold up?

Every company claims an edge. Each one is checked against hard numbers like margins and returns: which hold, and which line gives way first.

Each edge rated
  • Strong
  • Moderate
  • Limited
  • Unproven

Related companies

  • Competition
  • Shared drivers
  • Supplier
  • Customer
  • RB Global competes with Liquidity Services for sellers and resale buyers of heavy equipment, commercial vehicles and government surplus, connecting them through auction sites and online platforms. Watch its construction and transportation auctions and government-surplus business, where the overlap with Liquidity Services’ AllSurplus and GovDeals is most direct.

  • HERITAGE GLOBAL INC competes with Liquidity Services for companies’ surplus industrial assets and the buyers for them, earning money by arranging auctions or buying, refurbishing and reselling assets itself. Its industrial auction and refurbishment-and-resale businesses are the parts to watch for competition with Liquidity Services’ corporate asset sales.

  • Amazon is a merchandise supplier to Liquidity Services, which pays to buy goods under multiple contracts and resells them through its retail liquidation business. Watch those supply contracts and the cost of purchased inventory: inventory costs are the largest component of Liquidity Services’ consolidated cost of goods sold for its purchase-model transactions.

  • eBay competes with Liquidity Services to connect buyers and sellers of secondhand and returned consumer goods. The overlap is in these resale marketplaces; Liquidity Services also handles bulk liquidation.

  • ACV Auctions competes with Liquidity Services in auctioning used vehicles for commercial sellers, but focuses on dealer wholesale transactions rather than government surplus. Watch its auctions for fleet, rental-car and financial-sector sellers—the customer group that overlaps more closely with Liquidity Services than its dealer business does.

Agenda

in 8 daysWed, Oct 28

  1. Time to be announced

    eBay Inc earningsEBAY

    eBay’s report will show whether buyers are still active in secondhand and returned consumer goods, a market that overlaps with Liquidity Services’ retail liquidation business.

in 15 daysWed, Nov 4

  1. Time to be announced

    ACV Auctions Inc. earningsACVA

    ACV Auctions Inc.’s report can show whether buyers are bidding for used vehicles from fleet, rental-car and financial-sector sellers, a market that overlaps with part of Liquidity Services’ vehicle business.

in 20 daysMon, Nov 9

  1. Time to be announced

    RB Global, Inc. earningsRBA

    RB Global, Inc.’s report will show how its construction, transportation and government-surplus auctions are doing, where it competes with Liquidity Services’ AllSurplus and GovDeals for sellers and buyers.

in 30 daysThu, Nov 19

  1. Time to be announced
    Major

    Liquidity Services, Inc. earningsThis company

    Liquidity Services’ report will show whether marketplace activity, especially in RSCG, is bringing in profitable revenue or whether buying goods to resell is lifting sales along with costs.