Stock daily read

What happened with KBR today?

Why it moved
Explains possible causes using the day’s news and filings
Moving with the market?
Uses market moves and trading volume to assess what drove the change
What to watch next
The next thing that could change the call, and what to look for

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Uses news and trading volume to explain the day’s move and how it relates to the market.

Investment outlook

KBR in three months: buy, wait or sell?

Stop guessing. Get the call, a three-month target price, the best and worst cases, and a source for every claim.

In the report
  • Buy / Wait / Sell rating
  • 3-month target price
  • Bear · Base · Bull
  • vs. the market

Company

Company overview

KBR, Inc. helps government agencies develop, integrate and operate systems for defense, intelligence, space and other missions. Its Mission Technology Solutions (MTS) business generates most of its revenue, serving primarily U.S., U.K. and Australian agencies as both a lead contractor and a subcontractor. Much of its U.S. government work reimburses allowable project costs and pays KBR an additional fee; other contracts pay agreed hourly rates or a fixed price for defined work.

Its Sustainable Technology Solutions (STS) business helps industrial customers turn raw materials into products and improve their facilities. Customers pay to license process technologies and buy associated equipment, catalysts and engineering services. These include ammonia production technologies such as K-Green. KBR also earns fees for planning, designing and managing projects and supporting facility operations.

The U.S. government supplies more than half of KBR’s revenue, so government funding, contract awards and renewals are central to the business. Security-sensitive work requires facility and employee clearances; without them, KBR may be unable to bid or perform. Industrial demand also depends on customers’ capital spending, while fixed-price work leaves KBR responsible for cost overruns. KBR has announced plans to spin off MTS into a separate publicly traded company, but completion remains subject to approvals and other conditions.

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Source: SEC filing

Red flags

Know what’s buried in KBR’s filings before you buy

The risk section is the longest, dullest part of the filing. This keeps only what can really hurt you: where it hits, how hard, when it plays out.

Sorted into
  • Happening now
  • Could go wrong
  • Built in

Moat

KBR says it has a moat. Does it hold up?

Every company claims an edge. Each one is checked against hard numbers like margins and returns: which hold, and which line gives way first.

Each edge rated
  • Strong
  • Moderate
  • Limited
  • Unproven

Related companies

  • Competition
  • Shared drivers
  • Supplier
  • Customer
  • Amentum competes with KBR for government-funded engineering, intelligence, space, defense and operations work, from development through day-to-day mission support. Watch its U.S. government contract wins for signs of competition facing KBR’s government-services business.

  • Leidos competes with KBR to supply technical and mission services to U.S. agencies and defense customers in the United Kingdom and Australia. Its work for these government customers is the part to watch when assessing competition for KBR’s mission-support revenue.

  • SAIC competes with KBR for U.S. defense, intelligence and civilian agencies’ spending on engineering, connecting systems and supporting missions. Its Defense and Intelligence and Civilian segment results show how its business with these overlapping customer groups is developing.

  • CACI INTERNATIONAL CLA competes with KBR for government contracts covering engineering, intelligence analysis, cybersecurity and technical mission support. Watch its contract wins in analytics and cyber capabilities, where both companies sell expertise to government customers.

  • Booz Allen competes with KBR for federal defense and intelligence programs in engineering, cybersecurity, analytics, space and digital modernization. Its defense and intelligence work is more relevant to this rivalry than its commercial cyber products.

  • Parsons competes with KBR for government and commercial spending on defense, cyber, space, connecting systems and infrastructure engineering. Watch both its Federal Solutions and Critical Infrastructure businesses: the rivalry spans government missions and infrastructure rather than just one side of KBR.

  • Fluor competes with KBR for energy and chemicals customers’ engineering and facility-lifecycle work, and for governments’ logistics, operations and mission support. Its Energy Solutions and Mission Solutions results are the relevant businesses to watch, rather than treating all of Fluor as a match for KBR.

  • Jacobs Solutions competes with KBR for customers’ engineering, advisory and program-management work in energy security, industrial facilities and critical infrastructure, but has separated its mission-services business. Watch Infrastructure & Advanced Facilities rather than the discontinued mission businesses when comparing its results with KBR.

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  • AECOM competes with KBR for government and commercial customers’ infrastructure advisory, engineering design and program-management work worldwide. Watch engagements that grow from initial planning into broader programs: AECOM earns fees for staff time on these projects.

Agenda

in 3 daysFri, Oct 23

  1. Time to be announced

    Booz Allen Hamilton Holding Corporation earningsBAH

    Booz Allen's defense and intelligence results show whether federal customers are also funding a direct competitor to KBR's largest mission business.

in 9 daysThu, Oct 29

  1. Time to be announced
    Major

    KBR, Inc. earningsThis company

    KBR's MTS and STS results show whether its government mission work and process-technology services are turning revenue into profit.

in 14 daysTue, Nov 3

  1. 10:00 AMET

    JOLTs Job Openings (Sep)

    Job openings track employers’ demand for workers; tighter labor supply can raise KBR’s hiring costs or make it harder to staff fixed-price contracts, where cost overruns can reduce profit.

in 17 daysFri, Nov 6

  1. 8:30 AMET pre-market

    Non Farm Payrolls (Oct)

    The monthly jobs report tracks changes in employment; a tighter labor market can raise KBR’s labor costs or constrain staffing for fixed-price contracts, where overruns can cut profit.