IIIV in three months: buy, wait or sell?
Stop guessing. Get the call, a three-month target price, the best and worst cases, and a source for every claim.
- Buy / Wait / Sell rating
- 3-month target price
- Bear · Base · Bull
- vs. the market
What happened with IIIV today?
No read yet
Uses news and trading volume to explain the day’s move and how it relates to the market.
Stop guessing. Get the call, a three-month target price, the best and worst cases, and a source for every claim.
State and local governments and related agencies use i3 Verticals’ software to run functions such as courts, utilities and schools. These customers pay for access to the software, implementation and ongoing support. Software and related services generate most of the company’s revenue, and most revenue is recurring. After selling its Merchant Services and Healthcare RCM businesses, the company now focuses on the public sector.
Its software also lets customers collect payments, such as taxes, utility bills and school fees. i3 Verticals earns processing fees tied to payment volume and individual transactions, in addition to its software revenue. Its own payment platform connects payment collection with customers’ business-management systems.
The payments business depends on outside partners: one third-party processor handles most of the revenue-generating payments on its proprietary platform. i3 Verticals also needs bank sponsorship or other processing providers to reach Visa and Mastercard, rather than accessing those networks directly. It must comply with network and data-security rules to retain that access; losing it would eliminate substantially all payments-related revenue.
The risk section is the longest, dullest part of the filing. This keeps only what can really hurt you: where it hits, how hard, when it plays out.
Every company claims an edge. Each one is checked against hard numbers like margins and returns: which hold, and which line gives way first.
i3 Verticals now hinges on public-sector software renewals, modernization spending and payments within its software; Constellation Software is another rival to watch beyond this list.
Tyler Technologies competes with i3 Verticals for government and school customers buying essential software, integrated payments, subscriptions and ongoing support. Watch Tyler’s subscription and support revenue for the closest comparison with i3 Verticals’ recurring public-sector software business.
Paymentus competes with i3 Verticals to help utilities, governments and education billers collect electronic payments, earning fees on transactions rather than just selling software. Watch its wins with these billers for competition facing payments within i3 Verticals’ software.
Verra Mobility competes with i3 Verticals for government transportation technology and payment business, serving governments alongside commercial fleets and parking operators. Its Government Solutions revenue is the relevant line to watch, rather than its fleet business.
Flywire Corporation Voting competes with i3 Verticals to sell educational institutions software that collects payments, with both earning fees tied to payments processed. Watch Flywire’s education payment business, rather than its healthcare or travel business, for the relevant competitive signal.
Roper Technologies competes with i3 Verticals for education customers through Frontline and Transact/CBORD, which sell education administration and payment software.
ACI Worldwide competes with i3 Verticals to sell government, utility and education billers software that presents bills and processes payments. Its business with these billers is more relevant to i3 Verticals than its software sales to banks and merchants.
Blackbaud competes with i3 Verticals for educational institutions buying education-management and payment software. Watch its tuition-management transaction revenue for the relevant comparison, rather than donation processing, which serves a different part of Blackbaud’s business.
Tyler Technologies, Inc. earningsTYL
Tyler Technologies’ report will show how government and school customers are buying its subscriptions and support, a signal of demand in the public-sector software market i3 Verticals also serves.
Focus on Tyler Technologies’ subscription and support revenue, the closest comparison with i3 Verticals’ recurring public-sector software business. Continued growth would show that government and school customers are still buying or renewing this kind of software, supporting market demand while confirming an active competitor. Slower growth could point to softer demand or stronger competition; this figure alone cannot distinguish between them. The takeaway is whether demand for public-sector software is still expanding and whether i3 Verticals continues to face a strong rival.
Verra Mobility Corporation earningsVRRM
Verra Mobility’s Government Solutions results will show how it is faring in government transportation technology and payments, a market where it competes with i3 Verticals.
Watch Verra Mobility’s Government Solutions revenue, not its fleet business. Growth would show that Verra is expanding in government transportation technology and payments, potentially intensifying competition when i3 Verticals pursues related government business. A decline would indicate less momentum from this rival, but would not prove i3 Verticals has won customers. The report helps readers judge whether competition in government transportation is strengthening or easing.
Paymentus Holdings, Inc. earningsPAY
Paymentus’ report will show whether utilities, governments, and education institutions are routing more electronic payments through it, revealing the competitive pressure on i3 Verticals’ embedded payments business.
Read Paymentus’ wins with utilities, governments, and education billers alongside transaction-related revenue. More wins with stronger transaction revenue would indicate that these billers are routing more payments through Paymentus, sharpening competition for similar customers and payment fees that i3 Verticals earns within its software. Weakness in both would suggest less expansion by Paymentus, but would not prove i3 Verticals is winning the business. The takeaway is whether these shared customer groups are directing more payment activity to this rival.
i3 Verticals, Inc. earningsThis company
i3 Verticals’ report will show whether recurring public-sector software revenue and payments built into its products are supporting both revenue and operating income.
Read recurring revenue or ARR alongside payment-processing revenue, then check whether operating income keeps pace. ARR annualizes recurring revenue at a quarterly rate; it is not a forecast. Growth in both revenue streams with improving operating income would show that customer contracts and payment activity are translating into operating results. Weaker recurring revenue would point to slower growth in the core software business; revenue growth without operating-income progress would mean costs are absorbing the gains. Together, those outcomes show whether growth is rooted in customer relationships and reaching the bottom line of operations.