Stock daily read

What happened with BLKB today?

Why it moved
Explains possible causes using the day’s news and filings
Moving with the market?
Uses market moves and trading volume to assess what drove the change
What to watch next
The next thing that could change the call, and what to look for

No read yet

Uses news and trading volume to explain the day’s move and how it relates to the market.

Investment outlook

BLKB in three months: buy, wait or sell?

Stop guessing. Get the call, a three-month target price, the best and worst cases, and a source for every claim.

In the report
  • Buy / Wait / Sell rating
  • 3-month target price
  • Bear · Base · Bull
  • vs. the market

Company

Company overview

Blackbaud sells cloud software to nonprofits, foundations, schools and corporate social-impact programs. These customers use it to manage fundraising, supporter relationships, finances, grants and education administration. Its flagship Raiser's Edge NXT connects donor records with fundraising tools and payment processing. Most revenue comes from recurring software contracts, generally billed annually in advance under multi-year agreements.

Payment and transaction services provide another substantial source of revenue. Blackbaud Integrated Payments processes donations within its software, JustGiving supports consumer fundraising, and Blackbaud Tuition Management processes tuition and related payments for private schools. Blackbaud earns transaction fees and also receives voluntary donor contributions to offset processing fees; donation processing is the largest part of this transaction business.

The business depends on customers renewing their software contracts and on the volume and size of donations and other payments. Charitable giving affects both processing revenue and many customers' ability to pay for software. Handling sensitive donor data and payments also places limits on its services: privacy rules have restricted some features in the EU and UK, and payment-card security compliance is required to maintain transaction processing.

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Source: SEC filing

Red flags

Know what’s buried in BLKB’s filings before you buy

The risk section is the longest, dullest part of the filing. This keeps only what can really hurt you: where it hits, how hard, when it plays out.

Sorted into
  • Happening now
  • Could go wrong
  • Built in

Moat

BLKB says it has a moat. Does it hold up?

Every company claims an edge. Each one is checked against hard numbers like margins and returns: which hold, and which line gives way first.

Each edge rated
  • Strong
  • Moderate
  • Limited
  • Unproven

Related companies

  • Competition
  • Shared drivers
  • Supplier
  • Customer

Blackbaud’s results hinge on nonprofit software renewals and donation and tuition volumes; privately held GoFundMe is an important consumer-fundraising rival missing from this list.

  • Salesforce competes for the nonprofits that pay Blackbaud for software to manage donor relationships and fundraising, including Raiser’s Edge NXT and Enterprise Fundraising CRM. Salesforce’s subscription-based relationship-management offerings for nonprofits are the part to watch, rather than its business across almost every industry.

  • Blackbaud both competes with Microsoft for business-software customers and uses Microsoft’s Azure computing infrastructure to deliver its cloud applications to nonprofits. Azure’s reliability therefore matters to Blackbaud’s service delivery, not just Microsoft’s own cloud business.

  • Oracle competes with Blackbaud when nonprofits consider paying for general business software instead of specialized nonprofit applications. Blackbaud says those alternatives often need substantial customization and consultants, making Oracle’s software integration and ease of deployment relevant to that choice.

Agenda

in 9 daysWed, Oct 28

  1. Time to be announced
    Major

    Blackbaud, Inc. earningsThis company

    Blackbaud earns from software subscriptions and transaction services, and this report will show whether renewals and transaction activity are supporting its revenue.

  2. Time to be announced

    Microsoft Corp earningsMSFT

    Blackbaud uses Microsoft Azure to run its cloud applications, so Microsoft’s report can flag supplier risks, though Azure growth alone cannot show whether Blackbaud’s services stayed reliable.

in 44 daysWed, Dec 2

  1. Time to be announced

    Salesforce, Inc. earningsCRM

    Salesforce’s report can show how its relationship-management software is doing with nonprofits, the same customers Blackbaud seeks for donor-management and fundraising products.