Stock daily read

What happened with INLX today?

Why it moved
Explains possible causes using the day’s news and filings
Moving with the market?
Uses market moves and trading volume to assess what drove the change
What to watch next
The next thing that could change the call, and what to look for

No read yet

Uses news and trading volume to explain the day’s move and how it relates to the market.

Investment outlook

INLX in three months: buy, wait or sell?

Stop guessing. Get the call, a three-month target price, the best and worst cases, and a source for every claim.

In the report
  • Buy / Wait / Sell rating
  • 3-month target price
  • Bear · Base · Bull
  • vs. the market

Company

Company overview

Intellinetics helps government agencies, schools and businesses turn paper records into searchable digital files and manage documents and invoices. Most revenue comes from scanning and conversion services and cloud software subscriptions, rather than physical records storage.

Its Document Services business scans, indexes and converts records, and also stores and retrieves paper and microfilm archives. Its Software business provides IntelliCloud to capture documents, manage records and automate tasks such as invoice processing. Customers pay for online access or buy software to install on their own equipment, with related implementation, maintenance and support services. Cloud subscriptions supply most Software revenue. The company sells directly and through software partners and resellers.

Government customers, including school districts, account for most revenue, even when purchases pass through resellers. The State of Michigan supplies most Document Services revenue and a substantial share of company-wide revenue. Under that contract, the state resells services to government agencies and handles billing; Intellinetics does not bill those agencies directly. Agencies can also do the work themselves or seek other bids. The business therefore depends heavily on government budgets and continued orders: most government customers can terminate contracts without cause, and state and local contracts depend on funding authorization.

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Source: SEC filing

Red flags

Know what’s buried in INLX’s filings before you buy

The risk section is the longest, dullest part of the filing. This keeps only what can really hurt you: where it hits, how hard, when it plays out.

Sorted into
  • Happening now
  • Could go wrong
  • Built in

Moat

INLX says it has a moat. Does it hold up?

Every company claims an edge. Each one is checked against hard numbers like margins and returns: which hold, and which line gives way first.

Each edge rated
  • Strong
  • Moderate
  • Limited
  • Unproven

Related companies

  • Competition
  • Shared drivers
  • Supplier
  • Customer

Intellinetics’ results hinge heavily on State of Michigan scanning volumes and government budgets; software rivals DocuWare, Laserfiche and Stampli are missing from this list.

  • Iron Mountain competes for the customers who pay Intellinetics to store records securely and manage their information, making service quality, security and price important to retaining that business. Watch Iron Mountain’s records-storage and related services business, the area that overlaps with Intellinetics’ Document Services revenue.

  • i3 Verticals and Intellinetics both depend on government spending: state, county and local agencies buy essential operating software from i3 Verticals, while government customers pay Intellinetics for document-management software and digitization services. Watch i3 Verticals’ public-sector software revenue for a read on the government modernization budgets that also matter to Intellinetics.

Agenda

in 16 daysThu, Nov 5

  1. Time to be announced

    Iron Mountain Inc. earningsIRM

    Iron Mountain’s report will show how demand for records storage and related services is changing in an area that overlaps with Intellinetics’ Document Services.

in 27 daysMon, Nov 16

  1. Time to be announced
    Major

    Intellinetics, Inc. earningsThis company

    Intellinetics’ report will show whether SaaS revenue can offset swings in Document Services project work.

  2. Time to be announced

    i3 Verticals, Inc. earningsIIIV

    i3 Verticals’ report will show how government customers are buying software, offering a reference point for demand that also matters to Intellinetics.