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What happened with IDYA today?

Why it moved
Explains possible causes using the day’s news and filings
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IDYA in three months: buy, wait or sell?

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Company

Company overview

IDEAYA Biosciences is a clinical-stage drug developer with no medicines approved for sale and no product-sales revenue. It develops cancer treatments that use molecular features of tumors to guide patient selection. Its pipeline includes darovasertib for uveal melanoma, a cancer of the eye.

Servier is its main revenue partner. In exchange for exclusive rights to develop and sell darovasertib outside the United States, Servier paid IDEAYA an upfront license fee. The companies share development costs, and IDEAYA can receive further payments when development, regulatory or commercial milestones are met, plus royalties if sales begin. Servier handles regulatory and commercial activities in those markets; IDEAYA retains U.S. rights. The overseas business therefore depends heavily on Servier’s execution, while product revenue requires successful development and regulatory approval. IDEAYA has primarily funded its operations through share sales and collaboration and licensing payments, rather than medicine sales.

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Source: SEC filing

Red flags

Know what’s buried in IDYA’s filings before you buy

The risk section is the longest, dullest part of the filing. This keeps only what can really hurt you: where it hits, how hard, when it plays out.

Sorted into
  • Happening now
  • Could go wrong
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Moat

IDYA says it has a moat. Does it hold up?

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Related companies

  • Competition
  • Shared drivers
  • Supplier
  • Customer

IDEAYA hinges on clinical success, especially darovasertib, and on privately held Servier, its partner for rights outside the U.S., upfront payments, potential milestones, cost sharing and royalties.

  • Immunocore gives IDEAYA’s darovasertib a clinical and sales benchmark through KIMMTRAK, which it sells for adults with HLA-A*02:01-positive unresectable or metastatic uveal melanoma. Watch KIMMTRAK adoption, while keeping that patient group distinct from IDEAYA’s first-line HLA-A*02:01-negative metastatic trial.

  • Tango Therapeutics challenges IDEAYA’s MTAP-pathway drugs, including IDE397 and its competing PRMT5 candidate, with medicines designed for MTAP-deleted cancers. Its vopimetostat and TNG456 trial results are the concrete comparison to watch; neither company’s competing PRMT5 approach has an approved product.

  • Delcath competes for treatment use in the metastatic uveal melanoma market targeted by IDEAYA’s darovasertib combination, selling HEPZATO KIT in the U.S. for certain adults with unresectable liver metastases. Its treatment use shows uptake of a liver-directed option that delivers melphalan chemotherapy through a dedicated delivery and blood-filtering system.

  • Replimune’s RP2 could compete with IDEAYA’s darovasertib combination for metastatic uveal melanoma patients, although Replimune has no approved products or product-sales revenue. Watch its potentially registration-enabling trial of RP2 plus nivolumab in adults who have not received immune-checkpoint inhibitors.

  • IDEAYA relies on Pfizer to supply crizotinib for trials combining it with darovasertib, its lead uveal melanoma candidate; Pfizer’s main business is selling medicines. The relevant news is this drug-supply collaboration and the combination’s trial progress, rather than Pfizer’s overall sales.

  • IDEAYA depends on Novartis’s exclusive license for the intellectual property behind darovasertib, while Novartis also develops the competing uveal melanoma treatment DYP688. Watch DYP688’s clinical progress alongside the license supporting IDEAYA’s ability to develop and sell darovasertib.

  • Eikon Therapeutics’ EIK1005 competes with IDEAYA’s IDE275: both are clinical-stage drugs that inhibit the WRN helicase enzyme. EIK1005’s trial results are the relevant comparison for IDE275; Eikon has no approved products or product-sales revenue.

  • Zai Lab’s ZL-1310 directly competes with IDEAYA’s IDE849 in small-cell lung cancer; both attach a drug to an antibody targeting DLL3. Watch ZL-1310’s Phase 3 trial in relapsed disease, while noting that IDEAYA’s IDE849 rights exclude Greater China.

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  • Amgen’s marketed Imdelltra sets a competing treatment standard for IDEAYA’s IDE849: both target DLL3, but Imdelltra brings T cells to the target while IDE849 delivers an antibody-linked drug. Watch Imdelltra’s use as an established treatment, rather than Amgen’s broader medicine sales to wholesalers and healthcare providers.

  • Immatics’ cell therapy anzu-cel/IMA203 offers a competing treatment approach for the uveal melanoma targeted by IDEAYA’s darovasertib. Watch that program’s clinical progress; its cell-therapy approach differs from IDEAYA’s drug program.

  • IDEAYA depends on Gilead to supply Trodelvy for combination studies with IDE397 in MTAP-deleted urothelial cancer and non-small cell lung cancer. Watch results in those patient groups; each company keeps full commercial rights to its own drug.

Agenda

in 7 daysTue, Oct 27

  1. Time to be announced

    Novartis AG earningsNVS

    Novartis’s report can show whether DYP688 is advancing clinically, adding a competing uveal-melanoma program alongside the licensed intellectual property IDEAYA relies on for darovasertib.

in 14 daysTue, Nov 3

  1. Time to be announced

    Tango Therapeutics, Inc. earningsTNGX

    Tango Therapeutics’s report can show whether its drugs for MTAP-deleted cancers are advancing, as they compete with IDEAYA’s IDE397 for the same patient groups.

in 16 daysThu, Nov 5

  1. Time to be announced

    Zai Lab Limited earningsZLAB

    Zai Lab’s report can show whether its DLL3-targeting antibody-drug conjugate ZL-1310 is advancing in Phase 3, a close comparison for IDEAYA’s IDE849 in small-cell lung cancer.

  2. Time to be announced

    Immunocore Holdings plc earningsIMCR

    Immunocore’s report can show KIMMTRAK use among a specific uveal-melanoma patient group, offering a treatment-adoption reference for IDEAYA’s darovasertib in a different group.

in 20 daysMon, Nov 9

  1. Time to be announced
    Major

    IDEAYA Biosciences, Inc. earningsThis company

    IDEAYA has no approved products to sell, so its report shows how quickly it is spending on clinical development and how collaboration revenue affects that cash use.