Stock daily read

What happened with FCBM today?

Why it moved
Explains possible causes using the day’s news and filings
Moving with the market?
Uses market moves and trading volume to assess what drove the change
What to watch next
The next thing that could change the call, and what to look for

No read yet

Uses news and trading volume to explain the day’s move and how it relates to the market.

Investment outlook

FCBM in three months: buy, wait or sell?

Stop guessing. Get the call, a three-month target price, the best and worst cases, and a source for every claim.

In the report
  • Buy / Wait / Sell rating
  • 3-month target price
  • Bear · Base · Bull
  • vs. the market

Company

Company overview

First Carolina Financial Services, Inc. owns First Carolina Bank, which lends to businesses and property owners primarily in the U.S. Southeast. Commercial real estate makes up most of its loans, with borrowers and properties concentrated in North Carolina and nearby states. Most revenue comes from the difference between interest earned on loans and securities and interest paid for funding, chiefly customer deposits. The business depends on retaining those deposits at workable rates and on borrowers’ business and property cash flows supporting repayment.

Its BM Tech subsidiary provides a second, connected business: processing financial-aid balances and student refunds for colleges and universities nationwide. Schools pay transaction and subscription fees. Students can choose to receive funds in BankMobile accounts at the Bank, which earn account fees and fees when customers use their debit cards. These accounts also bring in low-cost deposits that help fund lending, linking the national student-disbursement business to the regional bank.

Payments depends on school agreements and the U.S. financial-aid system’s use of schools to distribute funds. Department of Education rules govern student choice, payment timing and account fees, and can limit or end BM Tech’s eligibility to handle federal aid. At the parent-company level, cash comes principally from Bank dividends, which federal and state law restrict.

Read allShow less
Source: SEC filing

Red flags

Know what’s buried in FCBM’s filings before you buy

The risk section is the longest, dullest part of the filing. This keeps only what can really hurt you: where it hits, how hard, when it plays out.

Sorted into
  • Happening now
  • Could go wrong
  • Built in

Moat

FCBM says it has a moat. Does it hold up?

Every company claims an edge. Each one is checked against hard numbers like margins and returns: which hold, and which line gives way first.

Each edge rated
  • Strong
  • Moderate
  • Limited
  • Unproven

Related companies

  • Competition
  • Shared drivers
  • Supplier
  • Customer
  • First Bancorp/NC competes with First Carolina for North Carolina businesses seeking loans, commercial property financing and banking services. Watch its business and commercial real estate lending for a read on competition in First Carolina’s main lending market.

  • First Community Corp competes with First Carolina for business borrowers and deposit customers in South Carolina and Georgia, including shared South Carolina markets. Its focus on small and midsized businesses makes its loan and deposit pricing worth watching for pressure on First Carolina’s customer relationships.

  • First Internet Bancorp and First Carolina compete for online deposit customers nationwide and both lend to commercial property investors, connecting their funding costs and lending returns. Watch First Internet’s digital deposits and investor commercial real estate loans alongside First Carolina’s BankMobile accounts and property lending.

  • Peoples Bancorp of North Carol, through Peoples Bank, takes deposits and makes loans in North Carolina, offering a comparison for the credit and funding conditions First Carolina faces there. Watch its deposit gathering amid strong competition: First Carolina relies primarily on low-cost customer deposits to fund loan growth.

  • United Bankshares Inc, through United Bank, competes with First Carolina for commercial property borrowers, business banking customers and deposits in overlapping Virginia, North Carolina and South Carolina markets.

Agenda

tomorrowWed, Oct 21

  1. Time to be announced

    First Community Corp earningsFCCO

    First Community’s report will show how it is competing for business borrowers and deposits in South Carolina and Georgia, markets it shares with First Carolina.

in 8 daysWed, Oct 28

  1. Time to be announced

    First Bancorp/NC earningsFBNC

    First Bancorp’s report will show how North Carolina businesses and commercial property borrowers are using credit, a read on demand and competition in First Carolina’s main lending market.

  2. 2:00 PMET

    Fed Interest Rate Decision

    For First Carolina, the Fed’s rate decision sets the direction of borrowing costs across the economy, affecting interest earned as its variable-rate loans reprice and interest paid as deposits and other funding reprice.

in 9 daysThu, Oct 29

  1. Time to be announced
    Major

    First Carolina Financial Services, Inc. earningsThis company

    First Carolina’s report will show whether its lending and deposit business can preserve its interest spread and its payments business can earn more in fees than it costs to process transactions.

  2. Time to be announced

    First Internet Bancorp earningsINBK

    First Internet Bancorp’s report will show what an online bank is paying to attract digital deposits, a nationwide comparison for First Carolina’s BankMobile accounts.