Stock daily read

What happened with FBNC today?

Why it moved
Explains possible causes using the day’s news and filings
Moving with the market?
Uses market moves and trading volume to assess what drove the change
What to watch next
The next thing that could change the call, and what to look for

No read yet

Uses news and trading volume to explain the day’s move and how it relates to the market.

Investment outlook

FBNC in three months: buy, wait or sell?

Stop guessing. Get the call, a three-month target price, the best and worst cases, and a source for every claim.

In the report
  • Buy / Wait / Sell rating
  • 3-month target price
  • Bear · Base · Bull
  • vs. the market

Company

Company overview

First Bancorp is a bank holding company whose business runs through its wholly owned First Bank. It serves mainly individuals and small and medium-sized businesses in North Carolina and South Carolina. Customer deposits provide most of the funding for business and household loans and investment securities. Interest from borrowers and securities, less interest paid on deposits and borrowings, supplies its largest source of revenue.

The loan portfolio leans heavily toward real estate, with commercial property loans its largest category. Most property-backed loans depend first on borrowers’ income or business cash flows for repayment, with the property serving as collateral. This ties the business closely to economic conditions in the Carolinas. Earnings also depend on the gap between lending and investment yields and funding costs, which can change at different speeds.

Banking capital requirements constrain the business. First Bank can pay dividends to the parent only if it retains the required capital, limiting how freely money can move from the bank to the holding company.

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Source: SEC filing

Red flags

Know what’s buried in FBNC’s filings before you buy

The risk section is the longest, dullest part of the filing. This keeps only what can really hurt you: where it hits, how hard, when it plays out.

Sorted into
  • Happening now
  • Could go wrong
  • Built in

Moat

FBNC says it has a moat. Does it hold up?

Every company claims an edge. Each one is checked against hard numbers like margins and returns: which hold, and which line gives way first.

Each edge rated
  • Strong
  • Moderate
  • Limited
  • Unproven

Related companies

  • Competition
  • Shared drivers
  • Supplier
  • Customer
  • United Community Banks, Inc. competes with First Bancorp/NC for commercial loans, small-business customers and deposits in North Carolina and South Carolina. Watch its loan pricing: United Community says competitive pressure and deposit costs help determine the rates it charges borrowers.

  • First Citizens BancShares competes with First Bancorp/NC for household deposits and small-business banking customers in North Carolina and South Carolina, though its substantial national businesses make it a broader bank than this local rivalry suggests.

  • United Bankshares Inc, through United Bank, competes with First Bancorp/NC for deposits and loans to businesses and real estate borrowers in North Carolina and South Carolina; both serve these customers through community banking.

  • F.N.B. Corp competes with First Bancorp/NC for consumer deposits and business lending customers in North Carolina and South Carolina, putting the two banks in contention for the same types of local banking relationships.

  • First Carolina Financial Services, Inc., through First Carolina Bank, competes with First Bancorp/NC for business borrowers and commercial real estate loans in North Carolina and South Carolina. Its national student-deposit platform gives it a different mix of funding sources from First Bancorp/NC.

  • First Community Corp competes with First Bancorp/NC for small-business loans and household deposits in South Carolina’s Midlands and Upstate markets. Watch its rates and personal-service offering for small and medium-sized businesses and individuals—the customers it explicitly focuses on rather than large corporations.

  • Commercial Bancgroup, Inc., through Commercial Bank, competes with First Bancorp/NC for business loans and deposits in parts of the Charlotte metropolitan area. Watch its loan and deposit rates in those markets, which it identifies as significant factors in winning and retaining customers.

  • First Community Bankshares, Inc. (VA) and First Bancorp/NC both serve North Carolina businesses and individuals through banking built on personal customer relationships. Watch First Community’s pricing and service for those customers: it names relationship banking and competitive pricing as ways it counters competitors.

Agenda

tomorrowTue, Oct 20

  1. Time to be announced

    United Community Banks, Inc. earningsUCB

    United Community Banks' loan pricing and deposit costs show whether it is having to trade lending returns for customer relationships as it competes with First Bancorp for small-business and commercial-loan customers in North and South Carolina.

in 9 daysWed, Oct 28

  1. Time to be announced
    Major

    First Bancorp/NC earningsThis company

    First Bancorp earns mainly by collecting interest on loans and investments and paying interest on deposits and borrowings; this report shows whether that income gap is growing without credit losses eating into it.

  2. 2:00 PMET

    Fed Interest Rate Decision

    For First Bancorp, the Fed’s policy rate matters because it influences rates on the Bank’s loans and investments and what it pays depositors and other lenders, changing net interest income.

in 18 daysFri, Nov 6

  1. 8:30 AMET pre-market

    Non Farm Payrolls (Oct)

    The monthly jobs report tracks hiring and employment, which can affect whether First Bancorp’s business and real-estate borrowers have the income and cash flow to repay their loans, influencing credit losses and earnings.