Stock daily read

What happened with FBK today?

Why it moved
Explains possible causes using the day’s news and filings
Moving with the market?
Uses market moves and trading volume to assess what drove the change
What to watch next
The next thing that could change the call, and what to look for

No read yet

Uses news and trading volume to explain the day’s move and how it relates to the market.

Investment outlook

FBK in three months: buy, wait or sell?

Stop guessing. Get the call, a three-month target price, the best and worst cases, and a source for every claim.

In the report
  • Buy / Wait / Sell rating
  • 3-month target price
  • Bear · Base · Bull
  • vs. the market

Company

Company overview

FB Financial Corporation is a bank holding company whose FirstBank serves households and businesses in the southeastern United States, centered on Tennessee. It seeks established businesses’ operating deposits and also serves their owners and employees. Customer deposits provide its main source of money for lending; borrowers pay interest, and the bank also earns interest on investments. The interest left after paying depositors and other funding providers is its main earnings source.

Its mortgage business makes home loans and sells them to investors, earning origination fees and gains on sales, as well as income from servicing mortgages for others. Banking customers also pay fees for services such as managing payments, trusts and investments.

The business depends on retaining deposits, the gap between lending yields and funding costs, and Tennessee’s economy, with Nashville its largest market. Most loans have real estate as at least part of their collateral. Regulatory capital requirements constrain the bank, and legal limits on its dividends restrict how much cash it can send to the parent company, which relies mainly on those payments for funding.

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Source: SEC filing

Red flags

Know what’s buried in FBK’s filings before you buy

The risk section is the longest, dullest part of the filing. This keeps only what can really hurt you: where it hits, how hard, when it plays out.

Sorted into
  • Happening now
  • Could go wrong
  • Built in

Moat

FBK says it has a moat. Does it hold up?

Every company claims an edge. Each one is checked against hard numbers like margins and returns: which hold, and which line gives way first.

Each edge rated
  • Strong
  • Moderate
  • Limited
  • Unproven

Related companies

  • Competition
  • Shared drivers
  • Supplier
  • Customer
  • United Community Banks and FB Financial compete for small-business and retail customers’ deposits and loans in Tennessee, Georgia, Alabama and North Carolina. Both combine local service with a broader range of banking products, making United Community’s ability to retain these customers worth watching.

  • Commercial Bancgroup, through Commercial Bank, competes with FB Financial for household and business loans and deposits in Nashville, Knoxville and other Tennessee, Kentucky and North Carolina markets. Watch its loan and deposit pricing in Nashville, FB Financial’s largest deposit market.

  • First Financial Corporation competes with FB Financial for business borrowers, homebuyers and consumer banking customers in Tennessee, Kentucky and northern Georgia. Its lending in those markets is the relevant comparison for FB Financial, rather than its Indiana and Illinois business.

  • Ameris Bancorp competes with FB Financial for business banking customers and home mortgage borrowers in Georgia and Alabama.

  • Trustmark Corp offers banking and wealth services alongside FB Financial in Alabama, Atlanta and Memphis-area markets. Its Wealth Management results are worth watching alongside FB Financial’s efforts to attract customers through trust and investment services.

  • First Community Bankshares, Inc. (VA) and FB Financial both seek individuals’ and businesses’ banking relationships in Tennessee and North Carolina through personal service. Watch First Community’s deposit and loan pricing, which it uses alongside customer relationships to compete.

  • First Bancorp/NC’s community bank competes with FB Financial for business and individual borrowers in North Carolina. Its business loans, home mortgages and personal loans are the products to watch for this overlap, supported by its emphasis on local lending decisions and customer service.

  • First Financial Bancorp and FB Financial both serve businesses and individuals with loans, deposits and wealth services in Kentucky. Focus on that shared market when comparing results: First Financial’s broader branch footprint is mainly Midwestern.

Agenda

tomorrowTue, Oct 20

  1. Time to be announced

    United Community Banks, Inc. earningsUCB

    United Community Banks’ report will show whether its ability to retain deposit and loan customers in shared markets reflects the competitive pressure FB Financial faces.

in 7 daysMon, Oct 26

  1. Time to be announced

    Commercial Bancgroup, Inc. earningsCBK

    Commercial Bancgroup’s report will show whether customers’ response to loan and deposit pricing in Nashville is intensifying competition in FB Financial’s largest deposit market.

in 9 daysWed, Oct 28

  1. 2:00 PMET

    Fed Interest Rate Decision

    The Fed’s rate decision signals whether borrowing costs are rising or falling, affecting what FirstBank earns on repricing loans and pays on deposits and borrowings, as well as mortgage originations and pricing.