Stock daily read

What happened with CNDT today?

Why it moved
Explains possible causes using the day’s news and filings
Moving with the market?
Uses market moves and trading volume to assess what drove the change
What to watch next
The next thing that could change the call, and what to look for

No read yet

Uses news and trading volume to explain the day’s move and how it relates to the market.

Investment outlook

CNDT in three months: buy, wait or sell?

Stop guessing. Get the call, a three-month target price, the best and worst cases, and a source for every claim.

In the report
  • Buy / Wait / Sell rating
  • 3-month target price
  • Bear · Base · Bull
  • vs. the market

Company

Company overview

Conduent’s largest business handles day-to-day work for commercial clients, such as answering customer inquiries, processing claims and documents, and administering health plans. Clients pay according to the work performed or resources used—for example, calls handled, agents assigned or members covered.

Government services are its next-largest business. Agencies pay Conduent to administer healthcare programs such as Medicaid, determine benefit eligibility and distribute assistance payments. It earns fixed fees or charges tied to interactions and beneficiaries; some benefit-card services also earn fees when cardholders spend.

Its smaller transportation business builds and operates toll and public-transit fare collection systems for government agencies and transportation authorities. It earns project and maintenance revenue, along with operating fees that can vary with transaction activity.

Revenue depends on clients renewing outsourcing contracts and continuing to send work through these services. Government work also depends on public funding, and agencies can end contracts for convenience. Because Conduent handles personal and health information and financial transactions, privacy and payment-processing rules constrain how it delivers its services.

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Source: SEC filing

Red flags

Know what’s buried in CNDT’s filings before you buy

The risk section is the longest, dullest part of the filing. This keeps only what can really hurt you: where it hits, how hard, when it plays out.

Sorted into
  • Happening now
  • Could go wrong
  • Built in

Moat

CNDT says it has a moat. Does it hold up?

Every company claims an edge. Each one is checked against hard numbers like margins and returns: which hold, and which line gives way first.

Each edge rated
  • Strong
  • Moderate
  • Limited
  • Unproven

Related companies

  • Competition
  • Shared drivers
  • Supplier
  • Customer

Conduent also depends on winning and renewing government toll and transit contracts, where TransCore, Cubic and Thales are important competitors missing from this list.

  • TTEC Holdings competes with Conduent for enterprise clients paying others to handle customer care, technical support, customer acquisition and back-office work. Watch TTEC Engage’s revenue rather than its technology-services business for the closer read on this rivalry.

  • MAXIMUS competes with Conduent for government payments to run health and human-services programs, including eligibility checks, enrollment and contact centers. Its government program-administration contract news is the relevant part to watch for Conduent.

  • Concentrix competes with Conduent for enterprise spending on running customer service, sales support and back-office processes. Its customer-service and digital-operations business is the part to watch, rather than treating all its technology and consulting work as comparable.

  • Genpact competes with Conduent for enterprises paying to outsource business processes, including banks and insurers. Its Financial Services segment revenue gives a focused view of its business with banking, capital-markets and insurance clients.

  • ExlService competes with Conduent for clients paying to have finance, accounting and insurance-related operations run using technology. Watch EXL’s work administering insurance policies and handling finance and accounting for the overlap with Conduent’s outsourced operations.

  • XBP Global competes with Conduent for banking, healthcare and insurance clients paying to automate and run essential document and business workflows. Its Applied Workflow Automation segment is the closer business to watch against Conduent’s document and claims processing.

  • Accenture competes with Conduent for enterprises paying outside providers to run customer-facing and back-office processes. Watch its managed operations work for this rivalry, rather than its consulting business as a whole.

  • Wipro competes with Conduent for enterprise clients paying to outsource business workflows, but also sells extensive IT services. Its Business Process Services line is the closer comparison for Conduent, not its broader application, infrastructure and cybersecurity work.

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  • Alight competes with Conduent for employers paying to outsource human-capital and benefits administration. Watch Alight’s benefits-administration contracts and renewals: it mainly charges per participant per period, and ongoing contracts typically last three to five years.

  • Claritev competes with Conduent for healthcare payers paying to detect improper claims payments and recover overpayments. Watch its Payment and Revenue Integrity Solutions, which check charges before and after payment, rather than its provider-network business.

Agenda

in 7 daysTue, Oct 27

  1. Time to be announced

    ExlService Holdings, Inc. earningsEXLS

    EXL’s report will show how its insurance operations and finance and accounting work are faring, offering a read on demand and competition for services that overlap with Conduent’s.

in 15 daysWed, Nov 4

  1. Time to be announced

    Alight, Inc. earningsALIT

    Alight’s report will show whether employers keep buying benefits administration, a service line that competes with Conduent’s human-capital services for contracts.

in 16 daysThu, Nov 5

  1. Time to be announced

    TTEC Holdings, Inc. earningsTTEC

    TTEC Engage revenue will show how enterprise spending on outsourced customer care and related back-office work is faring alongside Conduent’s customer-experience business.

in 17 daysFri, Nov 6

  1. Time to be announced
    Major

    Conduent Incorporated earningsThis company

    Conduent’s segment revenue and margins will show whether new-contract ramps and cost savings can offset client losses, lower volumes and fixed technology costs.

in 20 daysMon, Nov 9

  1. Time to be announced

    Claritev Corporation earningsCTEV

    Claritev’s payment and revenue integrity business will show payer demand for finding improper claims payments and recovering overpayments, a service area that overlaps with Conduent’s.

in 23 daysThu, Nov 12

  1. Time to be announced

    XBP Global Holdings, Inc. earningsXBP

    XBP Global’s Applied Workflow Automation results will show demand for document and business-process automation among clients in sectors that also buy Conduent’s document and claims-processing services.

in 30 daysThu, Nov 19

  1. Time to be announced

    MAXIMUS, Inc. earningsMMS

    MAXIMUS’s government program-administration results will show whether public agencies keep outsourcing health and human-services work, where it competes with Conduent for contracts.