Stock daily read

What happened with CFFN today?

Why it moved
Explains possible causes using the day’s news and filings
Moving with the market?
Uses market moves and trading volume to assess what drove the change
What to watch next
The next thing that could change the call, and what to look for

No read yet

Uses news and trading volume to explain the day’s move and how it relates to the market.

Investment outlook

CFFN in three months: buy, wait or sell?

Stop guessing. Get the call, a three-month target price, the best and worst cases, and a source for every claim.

In the report
  • Buy / Wait / Sell rating
  • 3-month target price
  • Bear · Base · Bull
  • vs. the market

Company

Company overview

Capitol Federal Financial conducts its business through its wholly owned Capitol Federal Savings Bank. The bank takes deposits from individuals and businesses and supplements them with borrowings from the Federal Home Loan Bank of Topeka. It uses this funding to lend to homeowners and commercial borrowers and to buy securities, including mortgage-backed securities. Borrowers’ interest payments and investment interest provide its main income, after interest paid to depositors and lenders.

The bank is expanding its commercial banking business from a primarily retail focus while continuing residential mortgage lending. It lends against commercial properties and finances business operations, including outside its local markets. Cash-management and payment services help it attract business deposits and build fee income, but net interest income remains the main earnings driver.

Earnings depend on retaining deposits at workable rates and on the gap between lending and investment yields and funding costs. Most interest-earning assets are long-term, fixed-rate loans, while most interest-bearing funding reprices sooner. Banking regulation restricts operations and capital distributions; the parent company relies primarily on bank distributions to fund dividends and share repurchases.

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Source: SEC filing

Red flags

Know what’s buried in CFFN’s filings before you buy

The risk section is the longest, dullest part of the filing. This keeps only what can really hurt you: where it hits, how hard, when it plays out.

Sorted into
  • Happening now
  • Could go wrong
  • Built in

Moat

CFFN says it has a moat. Does it hold up?

Every company claims an edge. Each one is checked against hard numbers like margins and returns: which hold, and which line gives way first.

Each edge rated
  • Strong
  • Moderate
  • Limited
  • Unproven

Related companies

  • Competition
  • Shared drivers
  • Supplier
  • Customer
  • Great Southern Bancorp competes with Capitol Federal for savers’ deposits and borrowers’ property-backed loans in overlapping Kansas and Kansas City markets. Watch its deposit rates for a comparison with what Capitol Federal must offer to retain savers.

  • Enterprise Financial Services Corporation, through Enterprise Bank & Trust, competes for the Kansas business borrowers and deposit customers Capitol Federal is targeting as it expands commercial banking. Watch its relationships with businesses that also pay it to manage receipts and payments—the treasury-management customers both banks seek.

  • TFS Financial Corporation offers a comparison for Capitol Federal’s home-lending business: both collect interest from residential mortgage borrowers and fund those loans with retail deposits. Watch mortgage interest income against savings costs, while allowing for Capitol Federal’s shift toward higher-yielding commercial loans.

  • Kearny Financial and Capitol Federal both use customer deposits to fund residential and commercial property loans, making the gap between loan interest earned and deposit interest paid a useful comparison. Watch Kearny’s multifamily and nonresidential mortgage credit quality alongside Capitol Federal’s growing commercial real estate lending.

  • Northwest Bancshares offers a comparison for Capitol Federal’s mix of owner-occupied home mortgages and commercial lending: both earn their core income from loans and securities funded by personal and business deposits. Watch whether interest earned on those assets outpaces interest paid to depositors as the residential and commercial loan mix changes.

  • Central Plains Bancshares is making a similar shift to Capitol Federal, expanding higher-yielding commercial loans from a residential-mortgage savings-bank base. Watch its commercial real estate and other business lending for a comparison with Capitol Federal’s effort to raise loan yields.

  • Provident Financial Services, through Provident Bank, shares Capitol Federal’s use of customer deposits and borrowings to fund residential and commercial property loans and securities investments. Compare the interest earned on those assets with funding costs, and watch commercial property loan credit quality as Capitol Federal expands that lending.

Agenda

tomorrowWed, Oct 21

  1. Time to be announced

    Enterprise Financial Services Corporation earningsEFSC

    Enterprise Financial Services' report will show whether the businesses it serves also bring it deposits and payment activity, the broader relationships Capitol Federal is seeking as it expands commercial banking.

  2. Time to be announced

    Great Southern Bancorp Inc earningsGSBC

    Great Southern Bancorp's report will show what it is paying to keep depositors, a comparison for Capitol Federal as the banks compete for savings in overlapping markets.

in 2 daysThu, Oct 22

  1. Time to be announced

    Kearny Financial Corporation earningsKRNY

    Kearny Financial's report will show how its multifamily and nonresidential property mortgages are holding up, a credit-risk comparison for Capitol Federal as it expands commercial real-estate lending.

in 6 daysMon, Oct 26

  1. Time to be announced

    Northwest Bancshares, Inc earningsNWBI

    Northwest Bancshares' report will show whether income from loans and securities is outpacing deposit costs, a comparison for Capitol Federal as its loan mix changes.

in 8 daysWed, Oct 28

  1. Time to be announced
    Major

    Capitol Federal Financial, Inc. earningsThis company

    Capitol Federal is expanding from home mortgages into commercial lending, and this report will show whether commercial-loan income continues to outpace its deposit and borrowing costs.

  2. 2:00 PMET

    Fed Interest Rate Decision

    For Capitol Federal, the Fed’s rate decision signals how borrowing costs may change, affecting the interest the Bank earns on loans and securities versus what it pays for deposits and borrowings, and therefore its net interest income.