Stock daily read

What happened with SMBC today?

Why it moved
Explains possible causes using the day’s news and filings
Moving with the market?
Uses market moves and trading volume to assess what drove the change
What to watch next
The next thing that could change the call, and what to look for

No read yet

Uses news and trading volume to explain the day’s move and how it relates to the market.

Investment outlook

SMBC in three months: buy, wait or sell?

Stop guessing. Get the call, a three-month target price, the best and worst cases, and a source for every claim.

In the report
  • Buy / Wait / Sell rating
  • 3-month target price
  • Bear · Base · Bull
  • vs. the market

Company

Company overview

Southern Missouri Bancorp is the holding company of Southern Bank, which serves communities across Missouri, Arkansas, Illinois and Kansas. The bank gathers deposits and uses that money to finance homes, commercial properties and businesses, and to buy investment securities. Borrowers and securities issuers pay it interest. Deposits provide most of its funding, supplemented by borrowings from the Federal Home Loan Bank of Des Moines and brokered deposits. Account and card fees, loan sales and wealth-management services contribute a smaller share of revenue.

Most of the loan portfolio is secured by real estate, and business activity and credit exposure are concentrated in Missouri and northern Arkansas. Earnings depend heavily on borrowers’ ability to repay and on the gap between interest earned and funding costs. Retaining deposits matters because replacing them with other funding can cost more; loans and funding can also adjust to changing interest rates at different times.

The holding company receives substantially all its own revenue through dividends from Southern Bank. Those payments depend on the bank’s earnings and regulatory capital requirements. Dividends above permitted earnings-based limits generally require prior regulatory approval, restricting how much cash the bank can send to its parent.

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Source: SEC filing

Red flags

Know what’s buried in SMBC’s filings before you buy

The risk section is the longest, dullest part of the filing. This keeps only what can really hurt you: where it hits, how hard, when it plays out.

Sorted into
  • Happening now
  • Could go wrong
  • Built in

Moat

SMBC says it has a moat. Does it hold up?

Every company claims an edge. Each one is checked against hard numbers like margins and returns: which hold, and which line gives way first.

Each edge rated
  • Strong
  • Moderate
  • Limited
  • Unproven

Related companies

  • Competition
  • Shared drivers
  • Supplier
  • Customer
  • Great Southern Bancorp Inc competes with Southern Bank for Missouri deposits and interest-paying commercial property, business and home borrowers across overlapping Missouri, Kansas and Arkansas markets. Watch the rates Great Southern offers depositors: they show the competition Southern Bank faces for lending funds.

  • QCR Holdings Inc competes with Southern Bank for Missouri deposits and loans through Guaranty Bank; both earn from the gap between interest collected on loans and investments and interest paid for funding. Guaranty Bank’s deposit and lending business around Springfield and Joplin is the part to watch for local competitive pressure on Southern Bank.

  • Enterprise Financial Services Corporation’s Enterprise Bank & Trust competes with Southern Bank for business deposits and commercial borrowers in Missouri and Kansas. Its deposits from businesses and professional clients fund loan growth, making those customer relationships worth watching alongside Southern Bank’s loans for inventory, equipment and day-to-day operations.

  • First Mid Bancshares, Inc. and Southern Bank both depend heavily on commercial property borrowers paying their loans, so First Mid’s property-loan performance is a useful comparison for Southern Bank’s credit risk. First Mid held $2.6 billion of commercial real estate loans at December 31, 2025; Southern Bank’s $1.9 billion represented 43.0% of net loans receivable at June 30, 2026.

  • German American Bancorp, Inc. offers a comparison for Southern Bank’s local lending business: both take deposits, lend to agricultural, business and property borrowers, and sell home loans to other investors. Watch its agricultural and business lending and mortgage sales for a read on the same kinds of interest and loan-sale income Southern Missouri Bancorp earns.

  • NB Bancorp, Inc.’s Needham Bank is a close loan-mix comparison for Southern Bank: both use public deposits to fund commercial property, home and business loans. Watch Needham’s commercial property and multifamily loans, which made up 40.7% of its loan portfolio at December 31, 2025, as a comparison for Southern Bank’s property credit exposure.

  • Mercantile Bank Corp and Southern Bank both use deposits to finance businesses’ day-to-day cash needs and commercial property, earning interest from borrowers. Mercantile emphasizes floating-rate commercial loans, so compare their interest income rather than assuming they move together: Southern Bank had fixed rates on 71.5% of its commercial real estate loans at June 30, 2026.

Agenda

todayTue, Oct 20

  1. Time to be announced

    Mercantile Bank Corp earningsMBWM

    Mercantile Bank Corp’s report will show whether interest from its floating-rate commercial loans is keeping ahead of deposit and other funding costs, offering a read on the rate pressure Southern Missouri Bancorp faces.

  2. Time to be announced

    QCR Holdings Inc earningsQCRH

    QCR Holdings Inc’s report will show whether businesses are borrowing and placing deposits with its Guaranty Bank around Springfield and Joplin, a local market Southern Missouri Bancorp also watches.

  3. 8:30 AMET pre-market

    Housing Starts (Sep)

    Homebuilding and new-home sales track activity that can bring Southern Bank more one- to four-family mortgage borrowers and loan-sale and origination fees, or leave it with fewer such customers and fees.

tomorrowWed, Oct 21

  1. Time to be announced

    Great Southern Bancorp Inc earningsGSBC

    Great Southern Bancorp Inc’s report will show what banks are paying to attract deposits in markets it shares with Southern Missouri Bancorp.

in 6 daysMon, Oct 26

  1. Time to be announced

    German American Bancorp, Inc. earningsGABC

    German American Bancorp’s report will show whether agricultural and business lending and mortgage sales are generating activity and fee income, offering a comparison for similar revenue sources at Southern Missouri Bancorp.

in 8 daysWed, Oct 28

  1. Time to be announced
    Major

    Southern Missouri Bancorp earningsThis company

    Southern Missouri Bancorp earns mainly from the spread between loan interest and the cost of deposits and other funding, and this report will show whether lending income is holding up against funding costs and credit losses.

  2. 2:00 PMET

    Fed Interest Rate Decision

    For Southern Bank, Federal Reserve rate decisions shape the rates earned on its loans and securities and paid on community deposits and wholesale funding, changing the spread that drives net interest income.

in 9 daysThu, Oct 29

  1. Time to be announced

    First Mid Bancshares, Inc. earningsFMBH

    First Mid Bancshares, Inc.’s report will show whether commercial real estate borrowers are paying, a reference point for Southern Missouri Bancorp’s substantial exposure to the same kind of loans.