Stock daily read

What happened with CBNK today?

Why it moved
Explains possible causes using the day’s news and filings
Moving with the market?
Uses market moves and trading volume to assess what drove the change
What to watch next
The next thing that could change the call, and what to look for

No read yet

Uses news and trading volume to explain the day’s move and how it relates to the market.

Investment outlook

CBNK in three months: buy, wait or sell?

Stop guessing. Get the call, a three-month target price, the best and worst cases, and a source for every claim.

In the report
  • Buy / Wait / Sell rating
  • 3-month target price
  • Bear · Base · Bull
  • vs. the market

Company

Company overview

Capital Bancorp, Inc. is the holding company for Capital Bank, a community bank focused on business customers. Borrowers pay interest on commercial and property loans, its primary income source; earnings depend heavily on the difference between interest collected and the cost of deposits and borrowings. Commercial activity is concentrated around Washington, D.C. and Baltimore, tying the bank to local borrowers and property markets. Several large depositors supply funding, and regulatory capital requirements constrain lending growth, particularly given its commercial real estate concentration.

Its OpenSky business serves people nationwide who have limited access to banking or want to rebuild their credit, earning credit-card interest and fees. Secured-card customers place a deposit equal to their credit limit at Capital Bank. Those deposits provide low-cost funding and collateral against unpaid balances. OpenSky also offers partially secured and unsecured cards, so not all balances have full deposit backing.

Capital Bank also makes loans backed by the U.S. Small Business Administration or Department of Agriculture. It generally sells the guaranteed portion to investors, earning a sale gain while retaining servicing income and interest on the unguaranteed portion. Windsor Advantage earns fees from financial institutions, including Capital Bank, for preparing, processing and servicing these loans. This business depends on continued federal program support and a market for loan sales. Capital Bank Home Loans separately originates residential mortgages mainly for sale to banks and mortgage investors, making its income dependent on buyer demand.

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Source: SEC filing

Red flags

Know what’s buried in CBNK’s filings before you buy

The risk section is the longest, dullest part of the filing. This keeps only what can really hurt you: where it hits, how hard, when it plays out.

Sorted into
  • Happening now
  • Could go wrong
  • Built in

Moat

CBNK says it has a moat. Does it hold up?

Every company claims an edge. Each one is checked against hard numbers like margins and returns: which hold, and which line gives way first.

Each edge rated
  • Strong
  • Moderate
  • Limited
  • Unproven

Related companies

  • Competition
  • Shared drivers
  • Supplier
  • Customer
  • Shore Bancshares, through Shore United, competes with Capital Bank for business loans, deposits and home mortgages in Maryland and Delaware. Watch its commercial lending and mortgage originations in those states for signs of competition for Capital Bank’s borrowers.

  • Burke & Herbert Financial Services Corp. competes with Capital Bank for the banking business of small businesses, nonprofits and business owners in Northern Virginia and the Washington metropolitan area.

  • United Bankshares Inc, through United Bank, competes with Capital Bank for business borrowers, depositors and mortgage customers in the Washington metropolitan area and the Mid-Atlantic.

  • Capital One Financial competes with Capital Bancorp’s OpenSky for consumer credit-card borrowers, including people seeking to build or rebuild their credit.

  • Banc of California competes with Capital Bank nationwide for homeowners’ association deposits, loans to other lenders and small-business loans backed by the government through the SBA. Its SmartStreet association-banking business is worth watching as Capital Bank seeks more customer deposits to reduce reliance on wholesale funding.

  • Byline Bancorp competes with Capital Bank for government-backed SBA loans nationwide and commercial borrowers in Chicago.

  • First Business Financial Services and Capital Bank both rely on lending relationships with businesses and their owners rather than large retail branch networks. Watch First Business’s business-loan losses and deposit costs for a comparison with Capital Bank’s commercial banking results.

  • Enterprise Financial Services Corporation and Capital Bank both cultivate business-owner relationships and use business deposits to support specialized commercial lending and government-backed SBA loans. Watch Enterprise’s core deposit costs and SBA lending for a comparison with Capital Bank’s funding and small-business loan activity.

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  • WSFS Financial Corp competes with Capital Bank for commercial loans and business deposits in Delaware. Watch WSFS Bank’s business deposits alongside its commercial lending: those customer balances help fund the loans both banks seek to make.

Agenda

todayTue, Oct 20

  1. Time to be announced

    Capital One Financial earningsCOF

    Capital One’s card balances and delinquencies show whether card borrowing and repayment are weakening across a competitor’s broader customer base, a useful read-through for Capital Bancorp’s OpenSky business.

tomorrowWed, Oct 21

  1. Time to be announced

    Enterprise Financial Services Corporation earningsEFSC

    Enterprise Financial Services Corporation’s deposit costs and SBA lending show what it costs to fund small-business lending and how that activity is developing, a comparison for Capital Bancorp.

in 2 daysThu, Oct 22

  1. Time to be announced

    Burke & Herbert Financial Services Corp. earningsBHRB

    Burke & Herbert Financial Services competes for small businesses, nonprofits and business owners in the Washington area, so its loan and deposit figures show the local demand and competition Capital Bancorp faces.

  2. Time to be announced

    Shore Bancshares Inc earningsSHBI

    Shore Bancshares’ Shore United mortgage originations in Maryland and Delaware show activity and competition in part of the region where Capital Bank Home Loans operates.

in 6 daysMon, Oct 26

  1. Time to be announced
    Major

    Capital Bancorp, Inc. earningsThis company

    Capital Bancorp’s commercial bank earns from loans and deposits, and this report will show whether higher interest income is being offset by borrower losses.

in 8 daysWed, Oct 28

  1. 2:00 PMET

    Fed Interest Rate Decision

    Capital Bank’s earnings depend on the spread between interest earned on loans and other assets and interest paid on deposits and other funding, while rate changes also affect interest on OpenSky’s variable-rate cards.

in 9 daysThu, Oct 29

  1. Time to be announced

    First Business Financial Services, Inc. earningsFBIZ

    First Business Financial Services’ business-loan losses provide a peer check on whether repayment stress is also appearing at another bank that lends through business relationships.