Stock daily read

What happened with BWB today?

Why it moved
Explains possible causes using the day’s news and filings
Moving with the market?
Uses market moves and trading volume to assess what drove the change
What to watch next
The next thing that could change the call, and what to look for

No read yet

Uses news and trading volume to explain the day’s move and how it relates to the market.

Investment outlook

BWB in three months: buy, wait or sell?

Stop guessing. Get the call, a three-month target price, the best and worst cases, and a source for every claim.

In the report
  • Buy / Wait / Sell rating
  • 3-month target price
  • Bear · Base · Bull
  • vs. the market

Company

Company overview

Bridgewater Bancshares, Inc.’s banking business centers on financing businesses and property projects through Bridgewater Bank. Most lending serves borrowers located or investing in the Twin Cities metropolitan area in Minnesota. Commercial real estate accounts for most loans, with multifamily housing a substantial part of the portfolio. The bank also finances affordable-housing projects nationally, often providing funds at several stages of a project.

Business and consumer deposits provide the main funding for loans, supplemented by brokered deposits and borrowings. Borrowers pay interest, and the bank also earns interest on investment securities. After paying interest on its funding, the amount left—net interest income—provides most revenue. Banking service fees add a smaller stream of income.

The business depends on borrowers repaying, the income and value of the properties backing its loans, and retaining deposits at a cost that leaves room to earn a spread. Loan and funding rates can change at different speeds, affecting that spread. Its commercial real estate concentration requires heightened regulatory risk management and may require capital above regulatory minimums, limiting how much lending it can support.

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Source: SEC filing

Red flags

Know what’s buried in BWB’s filings before you buy

The risk section is the longest, dullest part of the filing. This keeps only what can really hurt you: where it hits, how hard, when it plays out.

Sorted into
  • Happening now
  • Could go wrong
  • Built in

Moat

BWB says it has a moat. Does it hold up?

Every company claims an edge. Each one is checked against hard numbers like margins and returns: which hold, and which line gives way first.

Each edge rated
  • Strong
  • Moderate
  • Limited
  • Unproven

Related companies

  • Competition
  • Shared drivers
  • Supplier
  • Customer

Bridgewater Bancshares, Inc.’s results hinge on Twin Cities commercial and multifamily loan quality and competition for deposits, including from U.S. Bank, which is missing from this list.

  • Bankwell Financial Group Inc shares Bridgewater’s exposure to business borrowing and commercial property credit: both lend through close client relationships and earn interest from business and property borrowers. Commercial real estate made up 67.99% of Bankwell’s loans at December 31, 2025, making that portfolio’s credit quality a useful comparison for Bridgewater.

  • First Business Financial Services, Inc. offers a comparison for Bridgewater’s ability to win business loans and deposits without a large retail branch network: both focus on commercial clients and earn interest from lending. Watch First Business’s deposits gathered through client relationships alongside its lending to small and medium-sized businesses.

  • The supplied ConnectOne business profile for Center Bancorp Inc points to the same earnings balance as Bridgewater: both serve business clients with relatively few branches, fund lending mainly with deposits and rely heavily on interest earned minus funding interest paid—net interest income. ConnectOne’s deposit costs and interest income from business lending are the useful comparison.

  • Mercantile Bank Corp shares Bridgewater’s sensitivity to interest rates through loans to businesses, commercial properties and construction projects. Watch Mercantile’s floating-rate commercial property loans and arrangements that let borrowers exchange floating for fixed interest payments—interest-rate swaps—as comparisons for Bridgewater’s loan repricing and swap fees.

  • First Mid Bancshares, Inc. shares Bridgewater’s reliance on lending revenue and exposure to commercial property borrowers who pay interest on their loans. Lending generated approximately 74% of First Mid’s revenue for the year ended December 31, 2025, so its commercial real estate loan quality and lending income are useful comparisons.

  • Princeton Bancorp, Inc. shares Bridgewater’s exposure to multifamily, commercial property and construction borrowing: both use deposits to fund loans and earn interest from borrowers. Princeton’s multifamily and commercial mortgage lending offers a comparison for the property lending conditions Bridgewater faces.

  • Wells Fargo & Co. competes directly with Bridgewater for Twin Cities deposits that fund lending and for businesses paying for loans and banking services. As of June 30, 2025, Wells Fargo and U.S. Bank together held 58.96% of the area’s deposits versus Bridgewater’s 1.84%, making Wells Fargo’s local deposit and commercial banking offers worth watching.

  • Business First Bancshares, Inc. shares Bridgewater’s exposure to business borrowing and property development, with both relying on local banking relationships to lend to businesses and developers who pay loan interest. Its b1BANK business credit lines and construction lending offer a comparison for demand among those borrowers.

Agenda

todayTue, Oct 20

  1. Time to be announced
    Major

    Bridgewater Bancshares, Inc. earningsThis company

    Bridgewater Bancshares earns mainly from the gap between loan interest and funding costs, and its report will show whether that gap is holding up and losses on commercial property loans are rising.

  2. Time to be announced

    Mercantile Bank Corp earningsMBWM

    Mercantile Bank's report will show how its floating-rate commercial property loans and interest-rate swaps are changing, offering a comparison for Bridgewater Bancshares' loan repricing and swap-fee income.

  3. 8:30 AMET pre-market

    Housing Starts (Sep)

    For Bridgewater Bank, measures of new-home building track activity relevant to its single-family construction, land-development and finished-lot loans, which can bring in loan interest and fees and depend on projects being completed and repaid.

in 2 daysThu, Oct 22

  1. Time to be announced

    Center Bancorp Inc earningsCNOB

    ConnectOne's report will show how interest income from business lending compares with deposit costs, a useful check on Bridgewater Bancshares' income from lending after funding costs.

in 6 daysMon, Oct 26

  1. Time to be announced

    Business First Bancshares, Inc. earningsBFST

    Business First Bancshares' report will show activity in business credit lines and construction lending, offering a comparison for demand among the businesses and developers Bridgewater Bancshares also serves.

in 8 daysWed, Oct 28

  1. 2:00 PMET

    Fed Interest Rate Decision

    For Bridgewater Bank, Fed rate decisions affect what it earns on loans and securities versus what it pays depositors and other funders, shaping net interest income as those rates reset at different speeds.

in 9 daysThu, Oct 29

  1. Time to be announced

    Bankwell Financial Group Inc earningsBWFG

    Commercial real estate makes up a large share of Bankwell's loans, so its report will show how those borrowers are faring and provide a credit-quality comparison for Bridgewater Bancshares' large property-loan portfolio.

in 86 daysThu, Jan 14

  1. Time to be announced

    Wells Fargo & Co. earningsWFC

    Wells Fargo competes with Bridgewater Bancshares for Twin Cities deposits and business clients, and its report will show whether the large bank's deposit and business-banking activity is adding to that competitive pressure.