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What happened with BMI today?

Why it moved
Explains possible causes using the day’s news and filings
Moving with the market?
Uses market moves and trading volume to assess what drove the change
What to watch next
The next thing that could change the call, and what to look for

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Uses news and trading volume to explain the day’s move and how it relates to the market.

Investment outlook

BMI in three months: buy, wait or sell?

Stop guessing. Get the call, a three-month target price, the best and worst cases, and a source for every claim.

In the report
  • Buy / Wait / Sell rating
  • 3-month target price
  • Bear · Base · Bull
  • vs. the market

Company

Company overview

Badger Meter helps water utilities measure customers’ water use for billing and monitor water quality and wastewater systems. Its BlueEdge offerings connect meters and sensors with communications, software and support. Utilities pay for the equipment and associated software and services, providing the large majority of the company’s revenue.

ORION Cellular devices transmit meter readings over cellular networks, so utilities do not have to install and maintain their own collection networks. BEACON cloud software turns those readings into dashboards and alerts and lets customers view and manage water use. A smaller business sells instruments that measure and control fluids to commercial and industrial customers.

The utility business is concentrated in North America, primarily the United States, but no single customer dominates sales. Demand depends on utilities’ budgets and ability to fund meter replacements and system upgrades. Earnings also depend on what they buy: connected meters, software and monitoring products generally carry higher margins than basic meters.

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Source: SEC filing

Red flags

Know what’s buried in BMI’s filings before you buy

The risk section is the longest, dullest part of the filing. This keeps only what can really hurt you: where it hits, how hard, when it plays out.

Sorted into
  • Happening now
  • Could go wrong
  • Built in

Moat

BMI says it has a moat. Does it hold up?

Every company claims an edge. Each one is checked against hard numbers like margins and returns: which hold, and which line gives way first.

Each edge rated
  • Strong
  • Moderate
  • Limited
  • Unproven

Related companies

  • Competition
  • Shared drivers
  • Supplier
  • Customer
  • Xylem competes with Badger Meter for utilities’ smart-meter spending through Sensus, while its broader water equipment draws on the same utility investment budgets. Watch its smart-metering business rather than total sales for a closer read on demand for Badger Meter’s connected meters.

  • Itron competes with Badger Meter to sell utilities water meters, networks that carry meter readings, and software that uses the data. Its water-related business is the relevant demand signal for Badger Meter, since Itron also serves electricity and gas utilities.

  • Mueller Water Products competes with Badger Meter for utilities’ meter purchases and also sells valves, hydrants and monitoring products funded by water-infrastructure spending. Its metering business is the closer comparison; valve and hydrant sales offer a broader view of spending on water distribution systems.

  • Roper Technologies competes directly with Badger Meter through Neptune, which sells water meters to utilities, but Roper’s overall business is predominantly software. Watch Neptune’s metering business for the competitive signal, rather than Roper’s consolidated growth.

  • Veralto competes with Badger Meter’s water-quality products through Hach, which sells water-testing and analysis solutions to utilities and industrial customers. Demand from Hach’s utility customers is the part to watch for clues about Badger Meter’s water-quality business.

  • Hubbell competes with Badger Meter through Aclara in smart water metering and systems that transmit meter readings to utilities. Watch Aclara’s water-metering and communications business, since Hubbell also sells a much broader range of utility infrastructure equipment.

Agenda

in 2 daysThu, Oct 22

  1. Time to be announced
    Major

    Badger Meter, Inc. earningsThis company

    Badger Meter's report will show whether Utility Water sales and the margin contribution of connected meters and software are supporting its business.

in 7 daysTue, Oct 27

  1. Time to be announced

    Itron Inc earningsITRI

    Itron's report offers a read on water-business demand because it and Badger Meter both sell utilities meters, communications networks, and software.

  2. Time to be announced

    Xylem Inc earningsXYL

    Xylem's report can show the breadth of utility water spending: it competes with Badger Meter for smart-meter budgets and also sells other water equipment.

in 9 daysThu, Oct 29

  1. Time to be announced

    Veralto Corporation earningsVLTO

    Veralto's report offers a demand signal from Hach's water-testing business, which, like Badger Meter's water-quality offering, serves utility and industrial customers.