Stock daily read

What happened with AVPT today?

Why it moved
Explains possible causes using the day’s news and filings
Moving with the market?
Uses market moves and trading volume to assess what drove the change
What to watch next
The next thing that could change the call, and what to look for

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Uses news and trading volume to explain the day’s move and how it relates to the market.

Investment outlook

AVPT in three months: buy, wait or sell?

Stop guessing. Get the call, a three-month target price, the best and worst cases, and a source for every claim.

In the report
  • Buy / Wait / Sell rating
  • 3-month target price
  • Bear · Base · Bull
  • vs. the market

Company

Company overview

AvePoint’s Confidence Platform helps technology teams control access to workplace data, back it up and recover it, and move legacy systems and processes to cloud software. It connects with applications and cloud services from providers such as Microsoft, Google and Salesforce, allowing customers to manage data across those environments.

Organizations pay mainly for cloud-software subscriptions, which generate most revenue. Pricing generally depends on the number of users or the amount of data protected. Large enterprises make up the largest share of its recurring subscription base and buy primarily through direct sales teams; smaller businesses rely more on channel partners, including managed service providers.

The business depends on customers renewing subscriptions and buying additional capabilities. AvePoint also relies on Microsoft Azure, Google Cloud and Amazon Web Services to host its services, and must keep its software compatible with the third-party applications customers use.

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Source: SEC filing

Red flags

Know what’s buried in AVPT’s filings before you buy

The risk section is the longest, dullest part of the filing. This keeps only what can really hurt you: where it hits, how hard, when it plays out.

Sorted into
  • Happening now
  • Could go wrong
  • Built in

Moat

AVPT says it has a moat. Does it hold up?

Every company claims an edge. Each one is checked against hard numbers like margins and returns: which hold, and which line gives way first.

Each edge rated
  • Strong
  • Moderate
  • Limited
  • Unproven

Related companies

  • Competition
  • Shared drivers
  • Supplier
  • Customer
  • Commvault competes with AvePoint for customers paying for subscriptions to back up, recover and protect data in SaaS and hybrid cloud environments. Watch Commvault Cloud’s SaaS backup and recovery capabilities, where it overlaps AvePoint’s Resilience suite.

  • Rubrik competes with AvePoint for enterprise customers buying subscription software to recover from ransomware, monitor data risks and protect data. Watch the Business and Enterprise editions of Rubrik Security Cloud, which add ransomware monitoring and then continuous data-risk monitoring and coordinated recovery.

  • Microsoft supplies the Microsoft 365 applications whose data AvePoint helps customers protect and govern, but also competes for those customers with Purview governance and Microsoft 365 Backup. Watch those offerings alongside Microsoft 365 adoption: Microsoft both supplies the workloads AvePoint serves and sells alternatives to its protection and governance tools.

  • N-able, Inc. competes with AvePoint to sell cloud data-protection subscriptions through firms that manage IT for smaller organizations, known as managed service providers. Watch N-able’s data-protection offering for these providers; AvePoint also relies primarily on channel partners, especially these providers, to serve customers with fewer than 500 user seats.

  • SailPoint, Inc. competes with AvePoint where customers pay to control who can access applications and sensitive data, overlapping AvePoint’s access, entitlement and data-governance tools. Watch SailPoint’s Identity Security Cloud and customer-hosted IdentityIQ, which serve organizations choosing cloud-delivered or locally hosted identity security.

Agenda

in 7 daysTue, Oct 27

  1. Time to be announced

    Commault Systems, Inc. earningsCVLT

    Commvault’s report will show how much businesses are spending on SaaS backup and recovery, a data-protection budget that its Commvault Cloud and AvePoint’s Resilience suite both seek.

in 8 daysWed, Oct 28

  1. Time to be announced

    Microsoft Corp earningsMSFT

    Microsoft’s report will show how its Microsoft 365 workloads are being used: they supply the data AvePoint protects, while Microsoft’s own backup and governance tools compete for the same customers.

in 16 daysThu, Nov 5

  1. Time to be announced
    Major

    AvePoint, Inc. earningsThis company

    AvePoint’s report will show whether customer demand for its cloud data protection and governance subscriptions is still driving recurring revenue growth.

  2. Time to be announced

    N-able, Inc. earningsNABL

    N-able’s report will show whether managed service providers (MSPs), which manage IT for smaller organizations, are selling more cloud data protection through the same channel AvePoint relies on for small-business customers.

in 44 daysThu, Dec 3

  1. Time to be announced

    Rubrik, Inc. earningsRBRK

    Rubrik’s report will show whether large enterprises are spending more on ransomware recovery and data-risk monitoring, areas that overlap with AvePoint’s enterprise data-protection business.

in 49 daysTue, Dec 8

  1. Time to be announced

    SailPoint, Inc. earningsSAIL

    SailPoint’s report will show enterprise spending on identity security, which overlaps with the access and entitlement tools in AvePoint’s Control suite.