Stock daily read

What happened with ALC today?

Why it moved
Explains possible causes using the day’s news and filings
Moving with the market?
Uses market moves and trading volume to assess what drove the change
What to watch next
The next thing that could change the call, and what to look for

No read yet

Uses news and trading volume to explain the day’s move and how it relates to the market.

Investment outlook

ALC in three months: buy, wait or sell?

Stop guessing. Get the call, a three-month target price, the best and worst cases, and a source for every claim.

In the report
  • Buy / Wait / Sell rating
  • 3-month target price
  • Bear · Base · Bull
  • vs. the market

Company

Company overview

Alcon’s larger business supplies hospitals and ambulatory surgery centers with products for eye operations, including cataract and retinal surgery. Surgical consumables generate more revenue than equipment or implantable lenses. Its installed machines support recurring purchases of supplies used in procedures and help sell artificial lenses implanted during cataract surgery. Alcon also provides training and technical support to the professionals using these products.

Its other major business sells contact lenses, including the TOTAL brand, and eye-health products such as Systane artificial tears. Contact lenses account for most of this business’s revenue. Eye-care professionals, retailers and distributors buy and resell these products, with consumers largely paying out of pocket. Professional recommendations influence the initial choice, and contact-lens and lens-care users tend to buy repeatedly.

The business depends on clinicians choosing its products and learning to use them. A considerable part of surgical sales also depends on patients paying extra for premium technologies, so reimbursement rules influence access and demand. Most products require medical-device or pharmaceutical authorization, and Alcon cannot promote them for unapproved uses. Contact lenses require a prescription in many countries.

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Source: SEC filing

Red flags

Know what’s buried in ALC’s filings before you buy

The risk section is the longest, dullest part of the filing. This keeps only what can really hurt you: where it hits, how hard, when it plays out.

Sorted into
  • Happening now
  • Could go wrong
  • Built in

Moat

ALC says it has a moat. Does it hold up?

Every company claims an edge. Each one is checked against hard numbers like margins and returns: which hold, and which line gives way first.

Each edge rated
  • Strong
  • Moderate
  • Limited
  • Unproven

Related companies

  • Competition
  • Shared drivers
  • Supplier
  • Customer

Alcon’s surgical results also depend on competition with Carl Zeiss Meditec and Hoya, two important eye-surgery rivals missing from this list.

  • Bausch + Lomb challenges Alcon across contact lenses and eye drops sold to consumers, and replacement lenses, equipment and consumables used by eye surgeons. Its Vision Care and Surgical sales are worth watching for competitive pressure across both sides of Alcon’s business.

  • Cooper Companies’ CooperVision competes with Alcon to sell contact lenses through eye-care professionals, including lenses for astigmatism and for seeing at multiple distances. Watch its silicone hydrogel lens demand and product launches, as Alcon also relies on customers moving to premium lenses and expanding its astigmatism and multifocal offerings.

  • Johnson & Johnson competes with Alcon for contact-lens wearers and surgeons choosing lenses implanted during cataract surgery. Its Tecnis premium lens family is a concrete rival to Alcon’s Acrysof family, making Tecnis news more relevant to this rivalry than Johnson & Johnson’s prescription-drug results.

  • RxSight competes directly with Alcon’s premium cataract lenses by selling eye practices an implanted lens that doctors can adjust after surgery, plus the light-treatment device used to adjust it. Watch ongoing Light Adjustable Lens sales supported by those installed devices for uptake of this alternative to Alcon’s lenses.

  • Glaukos competes with Alcon to sell eye surgeons products for minimally invasive glaucoma surgery. Watch its iStent family for this surgical rivalry; its broader glaucoma sales also include iDose TR, so that revenue line is not a pure measure of competition with Alcon’s surgery products.

  • STAAR Surgical competes for the vision-correction patients served by Alcon’s corneal laser equipment, selling implanted lenses that leave the natural lens and corneal tissue in place. Its Implantable Collamer Lens sales, which generate almost all its worldwide revenue, show demand for this alternative to laser surgery.

  • Sight Sciences competes with Alcon in glaucoma surgery and dry-eye procedures, selling OMNI and SION to surgery centers and hospital outpatient departments, and TearCare to eye-care practices. Watch its Interventional Glaucoma and Interventional Dry Eye sales separately for adoption of competing treatments in these two markets.

  • Bausch Health competes with Alcon through its approximately 88%-owned Bausch + Lomb business, which sells contact lenses and eye-care products to consumers and surgical products to eye-care providers. Watch the Bausch + Lomb segment rather than Bausch Health’s total revenue: it consolidates the same eye-health business shown separately in this list.

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  • LENSAR remains a cataract-laser competitor to Alcon after their announced merger agreement was terminated, selling its LENSAR and ALLY systems to surgeons, hospitals and surgery centers. Watch ALLY sales and installations for competition in cataract equipment, rather than treating LENSAR as an acquisition awaiting completion.

  • Alcon depends on supply from Lifecore Biomedical and financed the supplier to secure it; Lifecore makes and sterile-fills injectable drugs and medical-device products for pharmaceutical and biotechnology customers. Watch its ability to meet the Alcon supply agreement’s quality, quantity and delivery requirements, because supplier failures can disrupt Alcon’s sales and profitability.

Agenda

in 8 daysWed, Oct 28

  1. Time to be announced

    Bausch + Lomb Corporation earningsBLCO

    Bausch + Lomb’s report will show how its Vision Care and Surgical businesses are selling, giving a read on competition in markets it shares with Alcon.

  2. Time to be announced

    Glaukos Corporation earningsGKOS

    Glaukos’s report will show whether surgeons are adopting its iStent minimally invasive glaucoma surgery products, which compete with Alcon’s surgical business.

in 14 daysTue, Nov 3

  1. Time to be announced

    Lifecore Biomedical, Inc. earningsLFCR

    Lifecore’s report will show whether its production and deliveries are reliable; Alcon depends on this supplier, and a disruption could affect product sales.

in 15 daysWed, Nov 4

  1. Time to be announced

    RxSight, Inc. earningsRXST

    RxSight’s report will show whether eye practices are adopting its adjustable implanted lens, an alternative to Alcon’s premium cataract lenses.

  2. Time to be announced

    Staar Surgical Co earningsSTAA

    STAAR’s report will show demand for its implantable Collamer lenses, an alternative to the corneal laser procedures served by Alcon’s equipment.

in 16 daysThu, Nov 5

  1. Time to be announced

    Sight Sciences, Inc. earningsSGHT

    Sight Sciences’ report will show whether eye-care practices are adopting TearCare dry-eye procedures that compete for demand with Alcon’s ocular-health products.

in 21 daysTue, Nov 10

  1. Time to be announced
    Major

    Alcon Inc. earningsThis company

    Alcon’s report will show whether sales growth in Surgical and Vision Care is adding to each segment’s contribution, or whether costs and pricing pressure are absorbing the gains.

in 23 daysThu, Nov 12

  1. Time to be announced

    LENSAR, Inc. earningsLNSR

    LENSAR’s report will show whether surgeons, hospitals and surgery centers are buying and installing its cataract laser systems, which compete with Alcon’s equipment.

in 44 daysThu, Dec 3

  1. Time to be announced

    The Cooper Companies, Inc. earningsCOO

    Cooper Companies’ report will show demand for CooperVision lenses, including toric and multifocal products that compete with Alcon’s contact lenses.