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What happened with ACI today?

Why it moved
Explains possible causes using the day’s news and filings
Moving with the market?
Uses market moves and trading volume to assess what drove the change
What to watch next
The next thing that could change the call, and what to look for

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Uses news and trading volume to explain the day’s move and how it relates to the market.

Investment outlook

ACI in three months: buy, wait or sell?

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Company

Company overview

Albertsons serves shoppers across the United States through stores operating under multiple local banners. Groceries and fresh foods account for most revenue; in-store pharmacies provide another substantial source, while fuel contributes a smaller share. Customers buy national-brand and Own Brands products in stores or order online for home delivery or Drive Up & Go curbside pickup. Stores also fulfill online orders, with delivery available through Albertsons’ platform and partners including Instacart, DoorDash and Uber.

The business depends on keeping shelves stocked, especially with fresh products, and retaining enough staff to run stores and serve customers. Earnings depend on what remains after merchandise, labor and fulfillment costs, while prices must remain attractive to shoppers. Revenue comes from a broad customer base rather than a single large buyer, and Albertsons does not depend on any one supplier.

Its pharmacies need state licenses and federal drug-enforcement registration. Participation in government healthcare programs also requires enrollment and compliance; losing those approvals can prevent pharmacies from operating or serving those programs.

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Source: SEC filing

Red flags

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The risk section is the longest, dullest part of the filing. This keeps only what can really hurt you: where it hits, how hard, when it plays out.

Sorted into
  • Happening now
  • Could go wrong
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Moat

ACI says it has a moat. Does it hold up?

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Each edge rated
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Related companies

  • Competition
  • Shared drivers
  • Supplier
  • Customer
  • Kroger competes directly with Albertsons for household grocery spending: both run large U.S. supermarket networks that also sell prescriptions and fuel. Kroger's grocery pricing and loyalty offers are worth watching for pressure on Albertsons' shopping baskets.

  • Walmart competes with Albertsons for households' grocery and pharmacy purchases, using low prices, stores and online order fulfillment to win their shopping baskets.

  • Costco competes with Albertsons for household grocery spending by selling bulk-oriented groceries at low prices through membership warehouses.

  • Sprouts Farmers Market competes with Albertsons for grocery shoppers by selling fresh, natural and organic foods. Its produce-centered stores make fruit and vegetable sales a useful place to watch competition with Albertsons' fresh-food business.

  • Grocery Outlet Holding Corp. competes with Albertsons for grocery baskets by selling discounted branded foods, fresh products and everyday staples. Watch its access to discounted merchandise, which supports the prices shoppers compare with Albertsons.

  • Weis Markets competes with Albertsons for food shoppers where their regional supermarket networks overlap in the U.S. Mid-Atlantic.

  • BJ's competes with Albertsons for household grocery and fuel spending, selling food and gasoline to members who pay an annual fee. Watch its grocery price advantage: BJ's says a representative basket of manufacturer-branded groceries offers up to 25% savings versus traditional supermarkets.

  • Ingles Markets and Albertsons both earn money selling groceries to households, so grocery spending and the cost of running thin-margin supermarkets matter to both despite their different regional footprints. Ingles' supermarket margins offer a comparison for Albertsons, rather than a readout of competition in the same markets.

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  • Village Super Market competes with Albertsons for grocery shoppers through its ShopRite and Fairway supermarkets in overlapping northeastern and Mid-Atlantic U.S. markets.

  • Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage competes with Albertsons for natural and organic grocery shoppers, but its large dietary-supplement assortment makes it a less direct comparison. Its grocery sales are more relevant to Albertsons than its supplement sales.

  • Amazon competes with Albertsons for grocery purchases through Whole Foods and online shopping. Its AWS and broader retail operations make Amazon's overall earnings a less useful comparison for Albertsons than its grocery business.

Agenda

in 9 daysWed, Oct 28

  1. Time to be announced

    Sprouts Farmers Market, Inc. earningsSFM

    Sprouts Farmers Market's report will show how shoppers are responding to its produce-focused stores, a useful comparison for Albertsons' fresh-food business.

in 31 daysThu, Nov 19

  1. Time to be announced

    Walmart Inc. earningsWMT

    Walmart's report will show whether its low prices and online and in-store service keep drawing grocery spending, a direct read on the pressure Albertsons faces for household baskets.

in 45 daysThu, Dec 3

  1. Time to be announced

    The Kroger Co. earningsKR

    Kroger's report will show how sales and price offers at a direct supermarket rival are drawing grocery baskets that Albertsons also competes for.

in 79 daysWed, Jan 6

  1. Time to be announced
    Major

    Albertsons Companies, Inc. earningsThis company

    Albertsons' report will show whether grocery sales can grow while the company protects gross margin from pharmacy mix and the cost of fulfilling online orders.