Stock daily read

What happened with XPEL today?

Why it moved
Explains possible causes using the day’s news and filings
Moving with the market?
Uses market moves and trading volume to assess what drove the change
What to watch next
The next thing that could change the call, and what to look for

No read yet

Uses news and trading volume to explain the day’s move and how it relates to the market.

Investment outlook

XPEL in three months: buy, wait or sell?

Stop guessing. Get the call, a three-month target price, the best and worst cases, and a source for every claim.

In the report
  • Buy / Wait / Sell rating
  • 3-month target price
  • Bear · Base · Bull
  • vs. the market

Company

Company overview

XPEL, Inc. supplies films that protect vehicle paint and other surfaces, along with automotive window tint sold mainly under the XPEL PRIME brand. Paint and surface protection films generate most of its revenue. Its products are primarily applied to new cars, linking demand to vehicle sales and owners’ willingness to pay for accessories.

Independent aftermarket installers are its largest sales channel: they buy XPEL film and apply it to customers’ vehicles. Dealerships also buy film directly or arrange installation through outside installers. XPEL earns installation fees through its own installation centers and dealership services. It also charges customers a monthly fee for Design Access Platform (DAP), which provides software and patterns for cutting film to fit individual vehicle panels. Training and marketing support help installers sell and apply its products.

The business depends on continued purchases from installers and dealerships; most have no long-term contracts or committed purchase volumes. XPEL sources films from suppliers and contract manufacturers, so reliable outside supply matters to fulfilling orders. Chinese law also limits cash distributions from its subsidiaries there: dividends must come from accumulated after-tax profits after statutory reserve requirements and other conditions are met.

Read allShow less
Source: SEC filing

Red flags

Know what’s buried in XPEL’s filings before you buy

The risk section is the longest, dullest part of the filing. This keeps only what can really hurt you: where it hits, how hard, when it plays out.

Sorted into
  • Happening now
  • Could go wrong
  • Built in

Moat

XPEL says it has a moat. Does it hold up?

Every company claims an edge. Each one is checked against hard numbers like margins and returns: which hold, and which line gives way first.

Each edge rated
  • Strong
  • Moderate
  • Limited
  • Unproven

Related companies

  • Competition
  • Shared drivers
  • Supplier
  • Customer

XPEL’s results hinge on new-car buyers choosing paint protection and window films, especially through independent installers, rather than on the broader replacement-parts cycle.

  • Eastman Chemical Company competes directly with XPEL for automotive installers and vehicle owners buying paint protection films through its LLumar and Suntek brands. Watch those brands’ film business rather than Eastman’s overall chemical sales for signs of competitive pressure on XPEL.

  • Asbury Automotive Group, Inc. shares XPEL’s exposure to new-car sales and buyers’ spending on add-ons: Asbury sells cars to buyers through franchised dealerships, while XPEL sells films and installation services primarily for new cars through installers, dealerships and automakers. Asbury’s new-vehicle revenue is the line to watch for the car-buying demand behind XPEL’s film sales, not a direct measure of film uptake.

Agenda

in 7 daysTue, Oct 27

  1. Time to be announced

    Asbury Automotive Group, Inc. earningsABG

    Asbury Automotive Group’s new-vehicle revenue will show whether dealership car sales are supporting the new-car demand behind XPEL’s film business.

in 9 daysThu, Oct 29

  1. Time to be announced

    Eastman Chemical Company earningsEMN

    Eastman Chemical’s LLumar and Suntek paint-protection-film business will show how its brands are competing with XPEL for installers and vehicle owners.

in 15 daysWed, Nov 4

  1. Time to be announced
    Major

    XPEL, Inc. earningsThis company

    XPEL’s report will show whether buyers’ demand for protective films and installation services is supporting both its revenue and gross margin.