Stock daily read

What happened with WDAY today?

Why it moved
Explains possible causes using the day’s news and filings
Moving with the market?
Uses market moves and trading volume to assess what drove the change
What to watch next
The next thing that could change the call, and what to look for

No read yet

Uses news and trading volume to explain the day’s move and how it relates to the market.

Investment outlook

WDAY in three months: buy, wait or sell?

Stop guessing. Get the call, a three-month target price, the best and worst cases, and a source for every claim.

In the report
  • Buy / Wait / Sell rating
  • 3-month target price
  • Bear · Base · Bull
  • vs. the market

Company

Company overview

Workday helps organizations run human resources and finance operations, manage spending, and plan their business through cloud applications. Its customers range from growing businesses to large enterprises and public institutions. They pay for access to the software and customer support under multiyear subscriptions, generally billed annually in advance. Subscriptions generate most of Workday’s revenue; deployment, optimization, and training services provide a smaller share.

Subscription revenue depends on how many customers Workday serves, their employee counts, the applications they buy, and prices. Keeping customers when contracts expire and selling them additional applications are central to the business. Partners perform most customer deployments and also help generate sales. Workday relies on third-party infrastructure and technology providers, including AWS and Google Cloud, to deliver its applications.

Privacy and data-transfer rules constrain how Workday handles customer information across countries and may limit where it can offer services. Its access to some U.S. government contracts also depends on maintaining FedRAMP authorization, a security approval for cloud services.

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Source: SEC filing

Red flags

Know what’s buried in WDAY’s filings before you buy

The risk section is the longest, dullest part of the filing. This keeps only what can really hurt you: where it hits, how hard, when it plays out.

Sorted into
  • Happening now
  • Could go wrong
  • Built in

Moat

WDAY says it has a moat. Does it hold up?

Every company claims an edge. Each one is checked against hard numbers like margins and returns: which hold, and which line gives way first.

Each edge rated
  • Strong
  • Moderate
  • Limited
  • Unproven

Related companies

  • Competition
  • Shared drivers
  • Supplier
  • Customer
  • SAP vies with Workday for enterprises’ HR and finance systems and the cloud subscriptions that pay for them. Watch SAP’s pricing and product releases: Workday warns that losing a finance customer can shut it out for a long contract cycle.

  • Oracle competes with Workday for businesses paying for HR and finance applications. Its work on easier deployment, integration and AI is worth watching, since Workday says more capable or easier-to-integrate rival products can win customers.

  • Automatic Data Processing (ADP) both competes with Workday for employers’ cloud HR spending and supplies payroll capabilities through their partnership. Its Employer Services business is the part to watch for HR software demand, while the payroll partnership extends what Workday can offer customers.

  • Paylocity Holding Corporation shares Workday’s exposure to employers’ staffing and software purchases: both sell cloud HR and finance applications, with revenue tied to employee counts and the applications customers buy. Watch those two drivers at Paylocity rather than treating its growth as a direct measure of Workday’s larger-enterprise demand.

  • ServiceNow competes with parts of Workday’s HR and finance suite by selling enterprises software that coordinates work across those functions. Watch its Core Business applications and AI workflow releases, especially its ability to add capabilities without replacing customers’ existing systems.

  • Salesforce offers a read on the broad enterprise subscription market Workday serves, rather than the same product demand: businesses pay Salesforce to manage customer relationships and Workday to manage HR and finance. Watch enterprise subscription purchasing at Salesforce alongside Workday’s reports of greater deal scrutiny and longer sales cycles.

  • BlackLine, Inc. overlaps with Workday Financial Management by selling finance teams cloud software to close and consolidate accounts and collect receivables. Its financial-close and collection applications are the products to watch for competition within that part of Workday’s suite.

  • Microsoft competes with Workday for businesses’ application purchases, but those products are only one part of its business alongside cloud services, devices and games. Watch its business-application offerings rather than using Microsoft’s overall results as a gauge of demand for Workday’s HR and finance software.

Agenda

in 2 daysWed, Oct 21

  1. Time to be announced

    SAP SE earningsSAP

    SAP also sells cloud HR and finance software to enterprises, so its report will show how strongly its products and pricing compete with Workday.

in 9 daysWed, Oct 28

  1. Time to be announced

    Automatic Data Processing earningsADP

    ADP’s Employer Services business offers a read on employers’ HR-service demand, a useful reference for Workday’s subscriptions whose fees can depend on customer workforce size.

in 36 daysTue, Nov 24

  1. Time to be announced
    Major

    Workday, Inc. earningsThis company

    Workday earns most of its revenue from enterprise subscriptions, and this report will show whether contracted customer business is still supporting subscription growth.