VOYG in three months: buy, wait or sell?
Stop guessing. Get the call, a three-month target price, the best and worst cases, and a source for every claim.
- Buy / Wait / Sell rating
- 3-month target price
- Bear · Base · Bull
- vs. the market
What happened with VOYG today?
No read yet
Uses news and trading volume to explain the day’s move and how it relates to the market.
Stop guessing. Get the call, a three-month target price, the best and worst cases, and a source for every claim.
Voyager Technologies builds equipment and software that help customers steer missiles, gather intelligence and operate spacecraft. Defense and national-security work supplies most of its revenue. For example, it supplies solid-propulsion subsystems for Lockheed Martin’s Next Generation Interceptor program. Customers pay Voyager to develop and deliver technology and provide engineering services, either directly or through a larger contractor. The U.S. government accounts for the vast majority of revenue, making government budgets and contract awards central to the business. Government work requires relevant security clearances and approvals, while export controls restrict sales and technical services to foreign customers.
Its smaller Space Solutions business supplies space hardware and engineering services and runs missions for NASA, the U.S. Department of Defense and commercial customers. It helps customers conduct experiments and operate payloads aboard the International Space Station (ISS). Voyager also operates the Bishop Airlock, a privately owned module attached to the ISS, under contracts with NASA, the European Space Agency and commercial customers.
Voyager is separately developing Starlab, a commercial space station intended to succeed the ISS, through a majority-owned joint venture. Starlab has no customer revenue yet. Its development receives NASA grant funding, but completing the station requires substantial additional financing. Voyager plans to seek further space-agency funding, customer advance payments for station use and capital-market financing.
The risk section is the longest, dullest part of the filing. This keeps only what can really hurt you: where it hits, how hard, when it plays out.
Every company claims an edge. Each one is checked against hard numbers like margins and returns: which hold, and which line gives way first.
Voyager Technologies, Inc.’s current results hinge on U.S. defense spending, while Starlab’s long-term prospects depend on NASA funding, Airbus’s development support and a SpaceX Starship launch.
Voyager’s propulsion business depends in part on Lockheed Martin’s execution of the Next Generation Interceptor program: Voyager supplies the solid-propulsion subsystems for the interceptor Lockheed develops for the U.S. Missile Defense Agency. Progress on that program is the Lockheed news to watch for Voyager.
Kratos competes with Voyager for military and defense-industry customers buying propulsion, hypersonic, communications and national-security technologies. Watch its rocket motors and hypersonic systems rather than treating all of its drone business as a read-through for Voyager.
Northrop Grumman competes with Voyager to supply defense customers with propulsion, communications, signals intelligence and guidance systems. Its long-term development, production and support contracts with U.S. defense and intelligence customers are the relevant business to follow.
Redwire competes with Voyager for civil, defense and commercial customers buying space components, infrastructure and microgravity capabilities. Follow Redwire’s Space business, which sells spacecraft and space infrastructure, for the overlap with Voyager’s space hardware and ISS services.
Rocket Lab competes with Voyager to sell spacecraft components and mission services to government and commercial space customers. Its Space Systems business—components, spacecraft manufacturing and on-orbit operations—is the closer comparison than its rocket launches.
AeroVironment overlaps Voyager in space, cyber and mission-engineering work sold to U.S. government agencies. Watch its Space, Cyber and Directed Energy business for that overlap; most of AeroVironment’s products and services are sold under U.S. government contracts, most of which are competitively bid.
Intuitive Machines competes with Voyager to sell space hardware, propulsion technology and mission operations to civil, national-security and commercial customers. Its spacecraft-building contracts generate most near-term revenue, making mission milestones a more concrete comparison than its plans for recurring services.
York Space Systems Inc. competes with Voyager for government and defense work installing customer payloads on spacecraft, running missions and providing space engineering. Substantially all of York’s revenue comes from defense markets, so its results offer a focused view of government space spending.
Firefly Aerospace overlaps Voyager through orbital vehicles and spacecraft solutions that compete with Voyager’s in-space propulsion and mission services, plus sensor software that overlaps its defense analytics for government agencies and defense contractors. Watch Firefly’s Spacecraft Solutions business, particularly Elytra orbital vehicles and the software and sensors added through SciTec.
Northrop Grumman Corp. earningsNOC
Northrop Grumman's defense results will show whether the market for government work it competes for with Voyager is active—and whether Northrop is gaining ground in that contest.
Look at sales and order or backlog trends in Northrop Grumman's relevant defense businesses. Growth in both would indicate active government programs, but could also mean a stronger rival for Voyager; weakness in both would point to a cooler market for those programs, not prove that Voyager's own orders are falling.
Lockheed Martin Corp. earningsLMT
Lockheed Martin's report will show how its Next Generation Interceptor program is progressing; Voyager supplies solid-propulsion subsystems for the interceptor.
Watch Lockheed Martin's comments on the program's progress and related work. Continued progress would support the program path behind Voyager's subsystem supply; delays or setbacks would put that path at risk. Lockheed's report alone cannot show how much revenue Voyager will recognize.
Fed Interest Rate Decision
For Voyager, the Fed’s decision on its benchmark interest rate can affect what it pays if it borrows on its revolving facility, whose rate is based on SOFR, the Secured Overnight Financing Rate, plus a margin.
Expected4.0%Last release4.0%
If it comes in above expectations
If the decision puts rates higher than expected, any borrowing on Voyager’s revolver may become more expensive, increasing the interest cost of funding its operations or investment.
If it comes in below expectations
If the decision puts rates lower than expected, any borrowing on Voyager’s revolver may become cheaper, reducing the interest cost of funding its operations or investment.
Voyager Technologies, Inc. earningsThis company
Voyager Technologies' report will show whether growth in defense is improving its business results while Space Solutions stops losing ground.
Read sales for Defense and National Security and Space Solutions alongside each segment's Adjusted EBITDA, the company's adjusted measure of operating performance. Rising defense sales with a narrower segment loss, while Space Solutions sales stabilize or recover, would show growth is spreading and performance is improving. A wider defense-segment loss alongside further space-sales declines would show growth remains concentrated and is not yet producing stronger segment results.
Redwire Corporation earningsRDW
Redwire's Space results will show whether customers are buying space hardware, infrastructure and microgravity capabilities in areas where it competes with Voyager.
Compare sales in Redwire's Space business with its orders or backlog. Growth in both would show customer spending is active in overlapping areas, leaving demand for Voyager's Space Solutions to pursue but also a capable rival to face. Weakness in both would suggest a cooler market, not prove that Voyager's own sales are falling.