Stock daily read

What happened with UNM today?

Why it moved
Explains possible causes using the day’s news and filings
Moving with the market?
Uses market moves and trading volume to assess what drove the change
What to watch next
The next thing that could change the call, and what to look for

No read yet

Uses news and trading volume to explain the day’s move and how it relates to the market.

Investment outlook

UNM in three months: buy, wait or sell?

Stop guessing. Get the call, a three-month target price, the best and worst cases, and a source for every claim.

In the report
  • Buy / Wait / Sell rating
  • 3-month target price
  • Bear · Base · Bull
  • vs. the market

Company

Company overview

Unum Group helps employers provide financial protection for employees and their families. Its disability insurance replaces part of an employee’s income when illness or injury prevents them from working; life insurance pays benefits after death. Unum US supplies most of the group’s premium income, with group disability and life coverage its largest lines. Colonial Life sells additional coverage to employees at work, and Unum International operates in the United Kingdom and Poland.

Employers buy group policies, while employees can choose additional insurance and pay premiums through payroll deductions. Independent brokers and agents are important to reaching these customers. Premiums provide most revenue; Unum also earns investment income from assets held to support future claims, mainly fixed-income securities. Profitability depends on premiums and investment income covering claims and expenses, on how long claims last, and on customers keeping their policies.

Unum also continues to collect premiums and pay claims on older policies it no longer actively markets, mainly long-term-care insurance. It has stopped new enrollments on existing group long-term-care policies. Raising rates on these policies requires state regulatory approval, while some individual disability policies have fixed premiums that cannot be increased.

The parent company depends on payments from its subsidiaries. Insurance regulation and subsidiary capital requirements limit how much money insurers can transfer to it.

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Source: SEC filing

Red flags

Know what’s buried in UNM’s filings before you buy

The risk section is the longest, dullest part of the filing. This keeps only what can really hurt you: where it hits, how hard, when it plays out.

Sorted into
  • Happening now
  • Could go wrong
  • Built in

Moat

UNM says it has a moat. Does it hold up?

Every company claims an edge. Each one is checked against hard numbers like margins and returns: which hold, and which line gives way first.

Each edge rated
  • Strong
  • Moderate
  • Limited
  • Unproven

Related companies

  • Competition
  • Shared drivers
  • Supplier
  • Customer

Unum’s results also depend on long-term-care reserve assumptions and investment returns, making Fortitude Re a counterparty to watch after it took on portions of Unum’s long-term-care and individual-disability liabilities.

  • The Hartford competes directly with Unum for employers buying disability and group life insurance for their employees, as well as services that manage employee leave.

  • MetLife competes with Unum for employers arranging group life, disability, dental and optional insurance benefits for their employees.

  • Aflac competes for workplace insurance purchases with Unum’s voluntary benefits and Colonial Life’s accident, cancer and critical-illness coverage; its supplemental health policies pay cash for eligible claims to help cover expenses primary insurance leaves unpaid. Watch Aflac U.S., rather than its Japan business, for the competitive read on Unum.

  • Lincoln National’s Group Protection business competes with Unum to sell employers group disability, life and supplemental workplace insurance for their employees.

  • Principal Financial sells group disability, life and dental insurance to the same employer customers that buy Unum’s workplace protection products.

  • Prudential Financial’s Group Insurance business competes with Unum for employers buying life and disability insurance for their employees.

  • Voya Financial’s Employee Benefits business competes with Unum for workplace coverage, offering group life insurance and optional accident, critical-illness and hospital-indemnity policies to employees.

  • CNO Financial Group, Inc. competes for employees’ workplace health and life insurance purchases with Unum’s voluntary benefits and Colonial Life offerings. Its Worksite sales division—not its company-wide premium total—is the relevant business to watch for that competition.

Agenda

in 6 daysMon, Oct 26

  1. Time to be announced

    The Hartford Insurance Group, Inc. earningsHIG

    The Hartford's report will show how employers are buying group disability and life coverage, and how claims costs are changing in the same market where it competes with Unum.

in 14 daysTue, Nov 3

  1. Time to be announced
    Major

    Unum Group earningsThis company

    Group disability is Unum US's largest product line, and this report will show whether premium growth is turning into profit or being absorbed by claims and expenses.

in 15 daysWed, Nov 4

  1. Time to be announced

    Aflac Inc. earningsAFL

    Aflac's U.S. report will show sales and claims in workplace supplemental health coverage, where it competes with Unum's Colonial Life for employees.