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What happened with LNC today?

Why it moved
Explains possible causes using the day’s news and filings
Moving with the market?
Uses market moves and trading volume to assess what drove the change
What to watch next
The next thing that could change the call, and what to look for

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Uses news and trading volume to explain the day’s move and how it relates to the market.

Investment outlook

LNC in three months: buy, wait or sell?

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In the report
  • Buy / Wait / Sell rating
  • 3-month target price
  • Bear · Base · Bull
  • vs. the market

Company

Company overview

Lincoln National helps individuals protect their families and turn savings into retirement income, and helps employers provide employee insurance benefits. Life insurance, employer-sponsored group coverage and annuities account for most of its revenue. Individuals pay for life policies and annuity contracts; employers or employees pay group premiums, mainly for disability and life coverage. Lincoln Financial Distributors sells individual insurance and retirement products through financial intermediaries, while employee-benefit brokers distribute group coverage.

The company collects insurance premiums and deducts insurance and expense charges from certain policy accounts. Annuity fees often depend on account balances, so investment performance and customer withdrawals affect its income. For contracts backed by its insurers’ own investment portfolios, it invests the supporting funds and earns the difference between investment returns and interest credited to customers. Its smaller retirement-plan business also administers employer plans through offerings such as LINCOLN DIRECTOR and LINCOLN ALLIANCE, earning service fees and investment spreads.

Profitability depends on claims, customers keeping their contracts, and investment returns sufficient to support credited interest and guarantees. Independent distributors can sell competing products. Lincoln National itself is a holding company: it relies on funds from subsidiaries to meet corporate obligations, and insurance rules require those subsidiaries to maintain reserves and capital and limit what they can transfer to the parent.

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Source: SEC filing

Red flags

Know what’s buried in LNC’s filings before you buy

The risk section is the longest, dullest part of the filing. This keeps only what can really hurt you: where it hits, how hard, when it plays out.

Sorted into
  • Happening now
  • Could go wrong
  • Built in

Moat

LNC says it has a moat. Does it hold up?

Every company claims an edge. Each one is checked against hard numbers like margins and returns: which hold, and which line gives way first.

Each edge rated
  • Strong
  • Moderate
  • Limited
  • Unproven

Related companies

  • Competition
  • Shared drivers
  • Supplier
  • Customer
  • Brighthouse Financial competes with Lincoln National for U.S. customers buying life insurance and retirement-income contracts through independent distributors, including variable and index-linked annuities sold through Primerica. Brighthouse’s sales of those annuities are worth watching for competition in a channel Lincoln also uses.

  • Jackson Financial competes with Lincoln National for customers buying variable, registered index-linked and fixed annuities, putting it against Lincoln’s largest earnings segment. Watch Jackson’s annuity sales and the economics of promised benefits: both matter to the retirement income these insurers sell.

  • Equitable Holdings competes with Lincoln National for customers buying retirement annuities, including variable and index-linked contracts distributed through Primerica. Equitable’s retirement-product sales and net flows show how its combination of advice, asset management and distribution is attracting money against Lincoln’s offerings.

  • Corebridge Financial competes with Lincoln National for customers buying annuities and life insurance and for employer retirement plans; both also sell annuities through Primerica. Watch the gap between investment earnings and interest credited to customers: spread income supplied 60% of Corebridge’s combined spread income, fee income and underwriting margin in 2025, and Lincoln also earns this gap on fixed annuities.

  • Prudential Financial competes with Lincoln National for individuals buying annuities and life insurance and for employers buying group insurance. Its individual retirement product features and distribution changes are worth watching for pressure on Lincoln’s retirement-income offerings.

  • F&G Annuities & Life competes with Lincoln National for policyholders buying fixed-indexed and registered index-linked annuities and indexed universal life insurance. Watch F&G’s expansion through retail banks and broker-dealers, which broadens the reach of products competing with Lincoln’s.

  • Aegon’s Transamerica businesses compete with Lincoln National for U.S. customers buying annuities and life insurance and for employers buying retirement-plan services.

  • MetLife competes with Lincoln National for employers choosing group insurance and employee benefits, with coverage paid for by employers or employees. Watch MetLife’s Group Benefits results rather than its company-wide earnings when assessing competition for Lincoln’s workplace coverage.

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  • Voya Financial competes with Lincoln National for employer retirement plans and workplace benefits, earning fees for administering retirement accounts and investing money backing fixed accounts. Watch participant net deposits and the gap between portfolio returns and interest credited to clients: both feed retirement earnings at Voya and Lincoln.

  • Principal Financial Group competes with Lincoln National for employers buying defined-contribution retirement-plan services and employee insurance benefits. Watch Principal’s workplace retirement sales and service network, which reaches employers through a national sales force, local specialists and registered distributors.

  • Manulife Financial’s John Hancock businesses compete with Lincoln National for U.S. individuals buying life insurance and employers buying retirement-plan services.

  • Sun Life Financial’s U.S. group benefits business competes with Lincoln National for employers arranging disability, life and dental coverage for their employees.

  • CNO Financial Group and Lincoln National both sell life insurance and annuities to individuals, and their fixed-account earnings depend on investment returns exceeding interest credited to policyholders. Watch CNO’s annuity investment income after credited interest or index-option costs, as applicable, for a comparison with Lincoln’s fixed-annuity spread.

Agenda

in 6 daysMon, Oct 26

  1. Time to be announced

    Principal Financial Group, Inc. earningsPFG

    Principal's report will show whether its workplace retirement business is winning employer plans through the sales and service network that competes with Lincoln National's.

in 8 daysWed, Oct 28

  1. 2:00 PMET

    Fed Interest Rate Decision

    For Lincoln Financial, the Fed’s policy-rate decision signals whether borrowing costs and yields on fixed-income investments are moving up or down, affecting annuity withdrawals, investment values and the spread between investment earnings and what it credits to policyholders.

in 9 daysThu, Oct 29

  1. Time to be announced

    CNO Financial Group, Inc. earningsCNO

    CNO Financial Group's report will show what its annuities retain after investment income covers credited interest or, where relevant, index-option costs, offering a comparison for Lincoln National's fixed-annuity spread.

in 14 daysTue, Nov 3

  1. Time to be announced

    Jackson Financial Inc. earningsJXN

    Jackson Financial's report will show demand for annuities that compete with Lincoln National's and whether the promised benefits are economical to support.

in 15 daysWed, Nov 4

  1. Time to be announced

    MetLife, Inc. earningsMET

    MetLife's Group Benefits business serves the same employer market, and its report will show how workplace coverage demand and claims costs compare with Lincoln National's Group Protection business.

in 16 daysThu, Nov 5

  1. Time to be announced
    Major

    Lincoln National Corp. earningsThis company

    Lincoln National's annuity business is its largest earnings segment, and this report will show whether fees and investment spreads can sustain its profit as account outflows rise.