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What happened with PFG today?

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Uses news and trading volume to explain the day’s move and how it relates to the market.

Investment outlook

PFG in three months: buy, wait or sell?

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Company

Company overview

Principal Financial Group’s largest revenue business helps U.S. employers run retirement plans and helps individuals turn savings into retirement income. Employers hire it to maintain plan records, administer accounts and provide investment services, for which it charges fixed or asset-based fees. It also accepts premiums from employers transferring pension obligations, then invests the money and guarantees payments to retirees. On guaranteed retirement contracts, it earns the difference between investment income and the interest credited to customers.

Principal Asset Management manages investments for institutions, retirement plans and individual investors, generally charging fees based on the assets it manages. The group also operates pension savings businesses in Latin America and Asia. Administering a retirement account does not necessarily mean managing its investments: most investments in its U.S. workplace retirement accounts are managed by third parties.

Insurance is another substantial revenue source. Principal sells workplace benefits, such as dental, life and disability coverage, mainly to small and midsized businesses and their employees. Employers or employees pay premiums; Principal pays covered claims and seeks to retain a margin after benefits and expenses. Its individual life insurance sales now focus on business owners, executives and key employees rather than retail consumers.

Fee income depends on the value of client assets and whether clients keep their money with Principal. Insurance and guaranteed retirement income depend on investment returns and the cost of promised benefits. The parent company relies on distributions from Principal Life, whose ability to send money upstream is limited by Iowa insurance law; distributions above statutory limits require regulatory approval.

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Source: SEC filing

Red flags

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The risk section is the longest, dullest part of the filing. This keeps only what can really hurt you: where it hits, how hard, when it plays out.

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Moat

PFG says it has a moat. Does it hold up?

Every company claims an edge. Each one is checked against hard numbers like margins and returns: which hold, and which line gives way first.

Each edge rated
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Related companies

  • Competition
  • Shared drivers
  • Supplier
  • Customer
  • Voya Financial competes with Principal for employers’ retirement-plan administration, investment management and employee benefits business. Watch Voya’s participant net deposits and retention of retirement assets: these help drive the asset- and participant-based fees in the business Principal also pursues.

  • Prudential Financial competes with Principal for institutions’ investment mandates, employers’ pension obligations and group insurance, and individuals’ retirement annuities and life insurance. Watch its pricing and execution on large deals to take over employers’ pension payments—pension risk transfers—because Principal’s premiums in this business can fluctuate with a few large transactions.

  • Lincoln National competes with Principal to administer employers’ retirement plans and sell annuities, life insurance and group protection. Its retirement-plan business focuses on employer-sponsored defined-contribution plans, making that customer base a closer comparison for Principal than Lincoln’s more limited defined-benefit and individual retirement-account business.

  • MetLife competes with Principal to provide employers with employee benefits, customers with retirement income products and institutions with investment management. MetLife now reports Investment Management as a separate segment, giving Principal investors a distinct business to compare with Principal’s asset-management operation.

  • Equitable Holdings and Principal both sell retirement and protection products and manage investments for institutions and individual investors. Watch Equitable’s retirement-product sales and net flows: its advice, asset-management and distribution businesses work together to bring money into those products.

  • Ameriprise Financial competes with Principal for clients’ investment assets and retirement savings, but centers more on financial advice for individual clients. Its managed-account fees depend on account assets, offering a comparison for Principal’s asset-based investment-management fees rather than its employer retirement-plan administration.

  • Unum Group competes with Principal for employers’ and employees’ spending on workplace disability, life, dental and supplemental insurance. Watch Unum’s policy renewals: it says customers can switch insurers rather than renew, a concrete sign of competition in the employee-benefits market Principal serves.

  • Jackson Financial competes with Principal for individuals’ variable and registered index-linked annuity purchases and institutions’ guaranteed investment contracts and funding agreements, which promise specified returns. Watch Jackson’s annuity risk management and investment income: Principal also bears risk on optional withdrawal guarantees and earns a spread between investment returns and interest credited to institutional customers.

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  • The Hartford competes with Principal for employers’ group benefits business and customers’ investment-fund assets, but its larger property-and-casualty insurance business is distinct. Compare its employee benefits and mutual-fund or exchange-traded-fund business with Principal, rather than treating its overall insurance results as a close match.

  • Aflac’s U.S. business competes with Principal for voluntary supplemental health, life, dental and vision benefits paid for by employees, while Aflac also has a substantial Japan business. Watch its U.S. voluntary-benefits business rather than Japan: Principal is increasing its focus on benefits whose funding is shifting from employers to employees.

Agenda

in 6 daysMon, Oct 26

  1. Time to be announced
    Major

    Principal Financial Group, Inc. earningsThis company

    Principal Financial Group’s report will show whether client assets support fees from retirement plans and asset management, and whether insurance revenue covers claims and operating costs.

in 8 daysWed, Oct 28

  1. 2:00 PMET

    Fed Interest Rate Decision

    For Principal, Fed rate decisions shape interest income on investments versus the interest credited to policyholders, affecting the spread it earns and the cost of guarantees.

in 13 daysMon, Nov 2

  1. Time to be announced

    VOYA FINANCIAL, INC. earningsVOYA

    Voya Financial’s report will show whether employers and participants are keeping retirement savings in plans, the same assets Principal Financial Group seeks to administer and manage.

in 14 daysTue, Nov 3

  1. Time to be announced

    Prudential Financial, Inc. earningsPRU

    Prudential Financial’s report will show whether employers are still transferring pension-payment obligations to insurers, and what deal pricing may mean for Principal Financial Group.

  2. Time to be announced

    Unum Group earningsUNM

    Unum Group’s report will show whether employers renew workplace coverage, a signal about competition for the group-insurance customers Principal Financial Group also serves.

in 17 daysFri, Nov 6

  1. 8:30 AMET pre-market

    Non Farm Payrolls (Oct)

    The monthly payrolls report tracks jobs added or lost, which can change how many employees Principal’s employer-group benefits cover and the premiums it receives.