Stock daily read

What happened with TNK today?

Why it moved
Explains possible causes using the day’s news and filings
Moving with the market?
Uses market moves and trading volume to assess what drove the change
What to watch next
The next thing that could change the call, and what to look for

No read yet

Uses news and trading volume to explain the day’s move and how it relates to the market.

Investment outlook

TNK in three months: buy, wait or sell?

Stop guessing. Get the call, a three-month target price, the best and worst cases, and a source for every claim.

In the report
  • Buy / Wait / Sell rating
  • 3-month target price
  • Bear · Base · Bull
  • vs. the market

Company

Company overview

Energy companies and oil traders pay Teekay Tankers Ltd. to transport crude oil and petroleum products by sea. Tanker operations provide most of its revenue, mainly through short voyage contracts priced in the spot market. For these voyages, the company pays fuel, port and vessel operating costs. Some customers instead hire a crewed vessel for a fixed period at a daily rate and pay most voyage expenses themselves.

The company also transfers oil between ships in the U.S. Gulf, allowing large tankers that cannot enter certain ports to load or discharge through smaller vessels. A smaller Australian marine-services business earns fees for operating, crewing and maintaining vessels, principally under long-term contracts with the Commonwealth of Australia.

The business depends heavily on spot freight rates, which reflect how much oil needs shipping, how far it travels and how many tankers are available. Rates can fall below vessel operating costs. A limited group of customers supplies a significant share of revenue, although no single customer dominates. Sanctions restrict which trades the company can serve, including specified shipping services for Russian oil sold above applicable price caps. Ships must also meet safety and environmental requirements to retain port access.

Read allShow less
Source: SEC filing

Red flags

Know what’s buried in TNK’s filings before you buy

The risk section is the longest, dullest part of the filing. This keeps only what can really hurt you: where it hits, how hard, when it plays out.

Sorted into
  • Happening now
  • Could go wrong
  • Built in

Moat

TNK says it has a moat. Does it hold up?

Every company claims an edge. Each one is checked against hard numbers like margins and returns: which hold, and which line gives way first.

Each edge rated
  • Strong
  • Moderate
  • Limited
  • Unproven

Related companies

  • Competition
  • Shared drivers
  • Supplier
  • Customer
  • Teekay Corporation controls Teekay Tankers through its shareholding, not a competing fleet, giving it substantial influence over management and major transactions. Its ability to pay dividends or buy back shares depends on subsidiaries earning profits and being permitted to send cash to the parent.

  • Frontline competes with Teekay Tankers for oil-company and trader cargoes, carrying crude oil and refined products with substantial Suezmax and LR2/Aframax fleets. Watch the freight rates it earns on those ships for a read on the markets that also pay Teekay Tankers.

  • Nordic American Tanker competes directly for crude-oil transport work with Teekay Tankers’ spot-employed Suezmax ships, using an all-Suezmax fleet. Its net voyage earnings per day, reported as TCE, offer a focused check on this part of Teekay Tankers’ business.

  • International Seaways competes with Teekay Tankers for customers’ crude-oil cargoes using Suezmax and Aframax ships. Watch those ships’ earnings rather than its overall results, which also reflect its larger product-tanker and very large crude-carrier businesses.

  • Okeanis Eco Tankers competes with Teekay Tankers through Suezmax ships largely hired at spot or short-term rates to carry crude oil. Watch what it earns per cargo voyage: customers pay an agreed freight amount, but Okeanis pays fuel, port and canal costs, so higher rates do not flow through untouched.

  • Tsakos Energy Navigation and Teekay Tankers both earn charter revenue transporting oil for oil companies and refiners, exposing them to the same global tanker-rate market. Its conventional-tanker charter rates are the closer comparison; shuttle tankers and liquefied-natural-gas carriers make its overall business different.

  • DHT Holdings shares Teekay Tankers’ exposure to customers paying to ship crude oil, but its exclusively very large crude-carrier fleet handles larger cargoes than Teekay Tankers’ mainly midsize ships. Its spot-market earnings show conditions for larger crude shipments, while fixed-term charters make its overall revenue a less direct comparison.

  • Scorpio Tankers overlaps with Teekay Tankers in transporting customers’ cargoes on LR2 ships, but focuses on refined petroleum products rather than crude oil. Watch its LR2 fleet capacity for the supply side of this shared market, rather than treating its whole product-tanker fleet as a direct match.

Show 3 moreShow less
  • TORM’s LR2 ships compete in the market served by Teekay Tankers’ Aframax/LR2 business, earning freight mainly at spot rates to carry refined products. Its LR2 results are the useful comparison; its wider fleet also transports gasoline, jet fuel and other products on smaller ships.

  • Hafnia shares petroleum-shipping demand and freight-market conditions with Teekay Tankers, but carries a different mix of oil products and chemicals for oil companies, traders, chemical companies and utilities. Its oil-product freight business is the closer guide to Teekay Tankers, not its chemical cargoes.

  • Ardmore Shipping shares Teekay Tankers’ sensitivity to spot tanker rates, but earns its freight from product and chemical cargoes rather than a predominantly crude-oil fleet. Watch its directly marketed spot business for conditions in petroleum-product transport, not as a like-for-like measure of crude-tanker earnings.

Agenda

in 9 daysThu, Oct 29

  1. Time to be announced

    Scorpio Tankers Inc. earningsSTNG

    Scorpio Tankers’ report will show how its LR2 capacity is changing, a check on supply pressure facing Teekay Tankers’ Aframax/LR2 ships in their shared market.

in 15 daysWed, Nov 4

  1. Time to be announced
    Major

    Teekay Tankers Ltd. earningsThis company

    Teekay Tankers’ report will show whether freight from spot voyages still covers voyage expenses and supports its mostly spot-employed tanker fleet.

in 16 daysThu, Nov 5

  1. Time to be announced

    International Seaways, Inc. earningsINSW

    International Seaways’ report will show what its Suezmax and Aframax ships earn carrying crude, a read on the cargo markets where it competes with Teekay Tankers.