Stock daily read

What happened with STT today?

Why it moved
Explains possible causes using the day’s news and filings
Moving with the market?
Uses market moves and trading volume to assess what drove the change
What to watch next
The next thing that could change the call, and what to look for

No read yet

Uses news and trading volume to explain the day’s move and how it relates to the market.

Investment outlook

STT in three months: buy, wait or sell?

Stop guessing. Get the call, a three-month target price, the best and worst cases, and a source for every claim.

In the report
  • Buy / Wait / Sell rating
  • 3-month target price
  • Bear · Base · Bull
  • vs. the market

Company

Company overview

State Street helps fund managers, retirement plans and insurers safeguard investment assets, keep accounts and process transactions. Investment servicing generates most of its revenue: clients pay for custody, fund administration and related operations, alongside trading and financing services. State Street Alpha connects these operations with Charles River technology for managing portfolios, executing trades and handling investment data.

It also manages money through State Street Investment Management, offering ETFs, funds and separately managed mandates. Most assets under management are in passive strategies. This business charges fees that generally depend on the assets managed and the strategy used; servicing and management fees together provide the bulk of State Street’s fee revenue.

Client deposits also fund securities, loans and other interest-earning assets. State Street earns the difference between interest received on those assets and interest paid on its funding, making deposits and interest rates important to this part of the business.

Revenue depends on client asset values, asset mix, transaction activity and negotiated fees. Large institutional clients have considerable pricing leverage and can move assets or bring services in-house. Banking regulation restricts its permitted activities, while capital and liquidity requirements constrain how it invests its balance sheet and extends credit.

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Source: SEC filing

Red flags

Know what’s buried in STT’s filings before you buy

The risk section is the longest, dullest part of the filing. This keeps only what can really hurt you: where it hits, how hard, when it plays out.

Sorted into
  • Happening now
  • Could go wrong
  • Built in

Moat

STT says it has a moat. Does it hold up?

Every company claims an edge. Each one is checked against hard numbers like margins and returns: which hold, and which line gives way first.

Each edge rated
  • Strong
  • Moderate
  • Limited
  • Unproven

Related companies

  • Competition
  • Shared drivers
  • Supplier
  • Customer

State Street’s results hinge on institutional asset levels, servicing mandates and investment flows; privately held Vanguard is another important rival to watch in passive investment management.

  • BNY competes with State Street worldwide for clients paying to safeguard and administer assets, exchange currencies, manage collateral and invest money. Watch BNY’s assets under custody or administration for the scale of the rival facing State Street’s servicing business.

  • Northern Trust competes with State Street for institutions paying to safeguard assets, administer funds, lend securities and manage investments. Its Asset Servicing client assets are the relevant comparison, rather than assets belonging to its wealth-management clients.

  • BlackRock challenges State Street both for index and cash-management investments and for institutions buying software to manage portfolios: Aladdin competes with Charles River and Alpha. Watch its index and cash-management assets alongside Aladdin subscriptions and implementations, which show the two fronts of competition.

  • SS&C Technologies Inc competes with State Street for fund managers paying others to administer funds, run investment operations and supply portfolio-management software. Its fund-administration business serving hedge funds and private markets is a concrete area to watch for competition with State Street.

  • SEI Investments Co competes with State Street for investment managers paying to outsource operations, safeguard assets and use integrated investment technology. Watch its Investment Managers business, where it names State Street as a competitor, rather than treating all its asset-management fees as the same competitive exposure.

  • JPMorgan Chase competes with State Street for institutions paying to safeguard assets and handle securities services, and also for clients paying to have investments managed.

  • Citigroup competes worldwide with State Street for institutions paying to safeguard assets and handle the work around their securities holdings. Citi’s institutional securities-services business is the relevant rival, not its consumer banking or wealth-management operations.

  • Invesco competes with State Street for investors’ money in passive funds, ETFs and money-market products, and for institutional investment mandates. Watch assets in these products: Invesco earns relatively low fees on ETFs and money-market accounts, while State Street’s mainly passive asset base also carries lower fees than active products.

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  • U.S. Bancorp competes with State Street for institutions paying to safeguard assets and mutual funds paying for administration through its trust and fund-services operations. Its administration work for mutual and other funds is the overlap to watch, rather than its lending or payments businesses.

Agenda

tomorrowWed, Oct 21

  1. Time to be announced

    Northern Trust Corp earningsNTRS

    Northern Trust's report will show how many client assets its Asset Servicing business handles, giving a read on the scale of a direct rival to State Street's institutional custody business.

in 7 daysTue, Oct 27

  1. Time to be announced

    Invesco LTD earningsIVZ

    Invesco's report will show how much investor money is in products that overlap with State Street's passive funds, ETFs and money-market offerings, revealing how the two compete for investment dollars.

in 8 daysWed, Oct 28

  1. 2:00 PMET

    Fed Interest Rate Decision

    State Street’s interest-rate exposure matters because the Fed’s policy rate shapes what it earns on interest-earning assets versus what it pays on interest-bearing liabilities, changing net interest income.

in 87 daysFri, Jan 15

  1. Time to be announced
    Major

    State Street Corporation earningsThis company

    State Street earns fees for servicing institutional assets and managing investments, and interest income from client deposits and investments; this report shows whether both income streams are holding up.