Stock daily read

What happened with SABR today?

Why it moved
Explains possible causes using the day’s news and filings
Moving with the market?
Uses market moves and trading volume to assess what drove the change
What to watch next
The next thing that could change the call, and what to look for

No read yet

Uses news and trading volume to explain the day’s move and how it relates to the market.

Investment outlook

SABR in three months: buy, wait or sell?

Stop guessing. Get the call, a three-month target price, the best and worst cases, and a source for every claim.

In the report
  • Buy / Wait / Sell rating
  • 3-month target price
  • Bear · Base · Bull
  • vs. the market

Company

Company overview

Sabre Corporation helps travel agencies and corporate travel departments find and reserve airlines’, hotels’ and car rental companies’ offerings. Its Sabre Mosaic Marketplace brings suppliers’ inventory, prices and availability into a shared booking system, known as a global distribution system, or GDS. Distribution provides most of Sabre’s revenue: suppliers generally pay a fee when buyers book through the system, while agencies may also pay for integrated software. Sabre pays agencies incentives to attract bookings.

Sabre also supplies airlines with software for reservations, commercial activities and operations. Customers pay implementation fees and ongoing subscription or usage fees, including fees tied to passengers boarded. This software business remains part of Sabre after the sale of its Hospitality Solutions business.

Revenue depends largely on transaction volumes rather than ticket or room prices. Airlines supply most revenue, with a relatively small number accounting for a substantial share. Several large travel buyers also generate a large portion of revenue through their bookings, but need not use Sabre exclusively. The business therefore depends on airlines continuing to supply content and buyers continuing to route bookings through its systems. Its handling of travelers’ personal data must also comply with privacy and data-localization requirements across jurisdictions.

Read allShow less
Source: SEC filing

Red flags

Know what’s buried in SABR’s filings before you buy

The risk section is the longest, dullest part of the filing. This keeps only what can really hurt you: where it hits, how hard, when it plays out.

Sorted into
  • Happening now
  • Could go wrong
  • Built in

Moat

SABR says it has a moat. Does it hold up?

Every company claims an edge. Each one is checked against hard numbers like margins and returns: which hold, and which line gives way first.

Each edge rated
  • Strong
  • Moderate
  • Limited
  • Unproven

Related companies

  • Competition
  • Shared drivers
  • Supplier
  • Customer

Sabre’s results hinge on airline bookings, the fees earned from distributing them and competition with major booking-system rivals Amadeus and Travelport, neither of which appears here.

  • Expedia Group uses Sabre to source flights for travelers, linking its air bookings to the transaction fees Sabre generally collects from airlines. Watch Expedia’s flight reservations rather than its lodging business for a read on this connection.

  • Southwest Airlines sells flights to corporate travelers through Sabre, linking those reservations to Sabre’s airline-paid booking fees and its heavy exposure to North American travel. Southwest’s corporate bookings are the part to watch, rather than total passenger traffic alone.

  • Copa Holdings pays Sabre fees for flight segments booked through its system, but steers ticket sales toward cheaper direct channels, putting Sabre’s booking volumes and pricing under pressure. Watch Copa’s direct-sales share and surcharges on traditional booking-system fares for signs of that shift.

  • LATAM Airlines Group supplies flights to travel agencies through Sabre’s live connection to its newer distribution platform, known as NDC, linking passenger bookings to Sabre’s transaction fees, generally paid by airlines. Watch LATAM’s agency distribution strategy alongside demand for its South American and international flights.

  • Aeroméxico licenses Sabre technology to run its airline business, making the Mexican carrier a customer of Sabre’s fee-earning software operations. Passenger volumes across its Mexican and international network are worth watching because Sabre’s software revenue includes recurring fees tied to passengers boarded.

  • Azul licenses Sabre software for its airline business, linking Sabre’s software customer base to Brazilian demand for business and leisure flights. Watch Azul’s passenger volumes: Sabre earns some recurring software fees per passenger boarded, while Azul’s passenger revenue also includes loyalty points and ancillary sales.

Agenda

tomorrowWed, Oct 21

  1. Time to be announced

    Southwest Airlines Co. earningsLUV

    Southwest's report will show corporate demand for its flights, a signal of the booking opportunities Sabre connects to in North America.

in 8 daysWed, Oct 28

  1. 2:00 PMET

    Fed Interest Rate Decision

    For Sabre, the Fed’s policy rate—the rate that guides borrowing costs—can affect what it pays on variable-rate debt and new borrowing, leaving less or more for operations and investment.

in 14 daysTue, Nov 3

  1. Time to be announced

    LATAM Airlines Group S.A. earningsLTM

    LATAM's report will show flight demand and its agency-distribution strategy, helping readers assess whether Sabre's NDC connection can keep bringing airline content and bookings to its platform.

in 15 daysWed, Nov 4

  1. Time to be announced

    Expedia Group, Inc. earningsEXPE

    Expedia's report will show demand for flight reservations at a travel buyer that uses Sabre to source air travel, a read on Sabre's booking-fee business.

in 16 daysThu, Nov 5

  1. Time to be announced
    Major

    Sabre Corporation earningsThis company

    Sabre earns fees from travel bookings and airline software, and this report will show whether more bookings and passengers are bringing in more revenue or whether agency incentives are eating into the gain.

in 29 daysWed, Nov 18

  1. Time to be announced

    Copa Holdings, S.A. earningsCPA

    Copa Holdings' report will show whether it is steering more ticket sales to direct channels, which could pressure Sabre's booking volumes and transaction fees.