Stock daily read

What happened with LTM today?

Why it moved
Explains possible causes using the day’s news and filings
Moving with the market?
Uses market moves and trading volume to assess what drove the change
What to watch next
The next thing that could change the call, and what to look for

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Uses news and trading volume to explain the day’s move and how it relates to the market.

Investment outlook

LTM in three months: buy, wait or sell?

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In the report
  • Buy / Wait / Sell rating
  • 3-month target price
  • Bear · Base · Bull
  • vs. the market

Company

Company overview

LATAM Airlines Group operates domestic flights in Brazil, Chile, Peru, Colombia and Ecuador, alongside regional and long-haul services. Its hubs in Santiago, Lima and São Paulo connect South America with the rest of the world. Passengers provide most of its revenue through fares and paid extras such as additional baggage, preferred seats and cabin upgrades. Brazil is its largest market by ticket and other sales location.

LATAM Cargo earns a smaller but meaningful share of revenue by transporting freight in passenger-aircraft cargo holds and dedicated freighters. Combining freight with scheduled passenger flights lets LATAM earn more from the same aircraft. Cargo demand depends partly on Latin American exporters, including producers of fresh food and flowers.

The business depends on Latin American travel demand and keeping aircraft flying enough hours to spread fleet fixed costs over more flights. Fuel price and availability also matter substantially. LATAM can serve routes only with the necessary traffic rights, government permits and airport access; international services depend on agreements between countries, while limited takeoff and landing slots can constrain service.

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Source: SEC filing

Red flags

Know what’s buried in LTM’s filings before you buy

The risk section is the longest, dullest part of the filing. This keeps only what can really hurt you: where it hits, how hard, when it plays out.

Sorted into
  • Happening now
  • Could go wrong
  • Built in

Moat

LTM says it has a moat. Does it hold up?

Every company claims an edge. Each one is checked against hard numbers like margins and returns: which hold, and which line gives way first.

Each edge rated
  • Strong
  • Moderate
  • Limited
  • Unproven

Related companies

  • Competition
  • Shared drivers
  • Supplier
  • Customer

Beyond this list, watch GOL and Avianca for competition in LATAM’s core regional markets, and Airbus, which supplies most of its aircraft.

  • Azul’s fares and seat capacity matter to LATAM’s substantial Brazilian business because both sell flights to Brazilian passengers. Watch Azul’s pricing and service frequency, supported by smaller aircraft that can serve routes LATAM’s larger planes may not serve profitably.

  • Delta and LATAM jointly set fares, plan capacity and coordinate sales for North–South American travel, so passenger demand on those routes matters to both; Delta also owns approximately 11% of LATAM. Watch Delta’s flights between North and South America for changes in the venture’s passenger offering.

  • Copa Holdings competes for LATAM’s passengers by selling journeys across the Americas that connect in Panama City rather than LATAM’s Santiago, Lima or São Paulo hubs. Watch Copa’s connecting services: most of its passengers outside those starting or ending in Panama City transfer there to another destination.

  • American Airlines Group competes with LATAM for passengers flying between North and South America across LATAM’s principal markets, and for customers shipping regional air cargo. Its freight travels in passenger-aircraft holds, so watch that cargo capacity alongside its passenger routes for competition facing LATAM’s cargo business.

  • United competes with LATAM for North America–South America passengers and for regional shipping customers using space in passenger-aircraft holds. Watch United’s passenger routes and the freight space they provide, since LATAM identifies spare cargo capacity among carriers as a source of intense regional cargo competition.

  • Aeromexico competes with LATAM for passengers traveling between Mexico and Brazil, Chile, Peru and Colombia. Watch the South American flights fed by its Mexican domestic network through Mexico City, its leading hub.

  • LATAM depends on Boeing for long-haul aircraft, so delivery or aircraft-support disruptions can limit its flying and growth; Boeing sells commercial jets to airlines. Watch delivery progress on LATAM’s 15 Boeing 787-9 aircraft scheduled to arrive by 2030.

  • LATAM’s expansion into underserved regional markets relies on aircraft supplied by Embraer, which builds planes and provides related services to airlines. Watch deliveries starting in the fourth quarter of 2026 for its 24 firmly ordered E195-E2s; another 50 are purchase options, not firm orders.

Agenda

todayTue, Oct 20

  1. Time to be announced

    United Airlines Holdings, Inc. earningsUAL

    United’s report will show passenger demand on its North–South American routes and use of cargo space in passenger aircraft, revealing how strongly it competes with LATAM Airlines for travelers and freight customers.

tomorrowWed, Oct 21

  1. 10:30 AMET

    EIA Crude Oil Stocks Change (Oct/16)

    LATAM Airlines’ passenger flights and cargo freighters burn jet fuel, a cost outside its control that accounted for 31.3% of 2025 cost of sales.

in 7 daysTue, Oct 27

  1. Time to be announced

    Boeing Company earningsBA

    Boeing’s report will show its delivery and aircraft-support progress, which matters to whether LATAM Airlines can add long-haul capacity with its 15 ordered 787-9s as planned.

in 8 daysWed, Oct 28

  1. 2:00 PMET

    Fed Interest Rate Decision

    LATAM Airlines’ US$1.4 billion of variable-rate debt makes U.S. interest-rate decisions relevant to the interest it pays and the earnings left after that cost.

in 14 daysTue, Nov 3

  1. Time to be announced
    Major

    LATAM Airlines Group S.A. earningsThis company

    LATAM Airlines earns most of its revenue from passengers, and this report will show whether the seats it adds bring in enough traffic and revenue to cover the cost of flying them.

in 21 daysTue, Nov 10

  1. Time to be announced

    Azul S.A. earningsAZUL

    Azul’s report will show how its fares and flight capacity in Brazil are changing, revealing the pressure it puts on LATAM Airlines’ fares and passenger revenue where their services compete.

  2. Time to be announced

    Embraer S.A. earningsEMBJ

    Embraer’s report will show E195-E2 production and delivery progress, which affects whether LATAM Airlines can use its 24 ordered aircraft to expand regional service.

in 84 daysTue, Jan 12

  1. Time to be announced

    Delta Air Lines, Inc. earningsDAL

    Delta’s report will show demand and capacity on North–South American routes, helping reveal whether the flights and sales it coordinates with LATAM can support fares and passenger revenue for both airlines.