Stock daily read

What happened with RPAY today?

Why it moved
Explains possible causes using the day’s news and filings
Moving with the market?
Uses market moves and trading volume to assess what drove the change
What to watch next
The next thing that could change the call, and what to look for

No read yet

Uses news and trading volume to explain the day’s move and how it relates to the market.

Investment outlook

RPAY in three months: buy, wait or sell?

Stop guessing. Get the call, a three-month target price, the best and worst cases, and a source for every claim.

In the report
  • Buy / Wait / Sell rating
  • 3-month target price
  • Bear · Base · Bull
  • vs. the market

Company

Company overview

Repay Holdings Corporation helps lenders, debt collectors and other businesses accept electronic payments instead of cash or checks. Most revenue comes from Consumer Payments, which lets clients collect payments from consumers and disburse funds, particularly in personal and automotive lending and receivables management. Its smaller Business Payments operation helps companies collect money from other businesses and automate payments to suppliers.

Business clients pay Repay processing fees tied mainly to the amount paid and the number of transactions. Revenue therefore depends on how much payment activity clients send through its systems. Card payments generally earn Repay more than automated bank-account transfers through ACH. Repay connects its services to clients’ loan-management, collections and other business software, and relies heavily on those software partners to reach and retain clients.

Repay also depends on outside processors, including Global Payments, and sponsor banks to authorize payments and move money. It is not a bank and cannot access payment networks directly, so sponsor banks provide its network registration and access. Because Repay is not a licensed money transmitter, banks or other financial institutions hold client funds in trust under custodial agreements.

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Source: SEC filing

Red flags

Know what’s buried in RPAY’s filings before you buy

The risk section is the longest, dullest part of the filing. This keeps only what can really hurt you: where it hits, how hard, when it plays out.

Sorted into
  • Happening now
  • Could go wrong
  • Built in

Moat

RPAY says it has a moat. Does it hold up?

Every company claims an edge. Each one is checked against hard numbers like margins and returns: which hold, and which line gives way first.

Each edge rated
  • Strong
  • Moderate
  • Limited
  • Unproven

Related companies

  • Competition
  • Shared drivers
  • Supplier
  • Customer

Repay’s mainly consumer-payments business also faces important competition from privately held PayNearMe and Payliance, which this list cannot show.

  • Paymentus competes with Repay for consumer-finance, healthcare and other billers that pay them to process electronic bill payments. Watch Paymentus’s customer wins in consumer finance and healthcare, where the two directly overlap.

  • ACI Worldwide competes with Repay to help consumer-finance, mortgage and healthcare billers collect electronic payments, selling software and services that manage those payments. Its bill-payment offerings in these markets are the part to watch for competitive pressure on Repay.

  • Global Payments both competes with Repay for merchants’ payment-processing business and supplies the processing Repay uses to get card payments approved. Repay’s providers typically charge per transaction, so Global Payments matters as both a rival for merchant fees and a supplier in Repay’s payment chain.

  • Priority Technology Holdings overlaps with Repay in helping businesses accept customer payments and automate payments to suppliers, including through software partners. Watch its Payables business, which sells accounts-payable automation to corporations and software partners—the same kind of service Repay offers business clients.

  • Fiserv competes with Repay for merchants that pay to accept customer payments and process transactions. Its merchant-processing fees and service offerings are more relevant to that rivalry than its company-wide revenue.

  • Corpay competes with Repay to help businesses automate supplier bills and pay them with virtual cards. Watch accounts-payable automation and virtual cards within Corpay’s Corporate Payments business, rather than its fuel or lodging services, for the direct overlap with Repay.

  • Shift4 Payments competes with Repay to sell merchants payment acceptance built into their business software, with overlapping opportunities in retail and hospitality. Watch Shift4’s software integrations and combined payment-and-point-of-sale offering, which compete with Repay’s approach of embedding payments in clients’ daily workflows.

  • Repay uses WEX’s bank arrangements to run card programs for clients paying suppliers, while WEX also sells competing business-to-business payment solutions. WEX and the issuing bank keep part of each transaction’s interchange fee, making WEX both a participant in Repay’s supplier-payment economics and a rival through its Corporate Payments business.

Agenda

in 8 daysWed, Oct 28

  1. Time to be announced

    WEX Inc. earningsWEX

    WEX’s report will show whether businesses keep paying suppliers by card, supporting the interchange fees WEX shares with issuing banks, even as WEX competes with Repay for business payments.

  2. 2:00 PMET

    Fed Interest Rate Decision

    The Fed’s policy-rate decision signals the direction of borrowing costs; higher rates can raise interest on Repay’s variable-rate revolving-credit borrowings, leaving less cash for operations and debt service.

in 13 daysMon, Nov 2

  1. Time to be announced

    Paymentus Holdings, Inc. earningsPAY

    Paymentus’s report will show whether consumer-finance and healthcare billers are still choosing it for electronic collections—the same customers Repay competes to serve.

in 14 daysTue, Nov 3

  1. Time to be announced

    Global Payments, Inc. earningsGPN

    Global Payments’ report will show transaction and fee trends in merchant processing; it competes with Repay for merchants and processes some card payments for Repay.

in 20 daysMon, Nov 9

  1. Time to be announced
    Major

    Repay Holdings Corporation earningsThis company

    Repay’s report will show whether transaction fees from Consumer Payments can offset weakness in Business Payments and sustain gross profit.