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What happened with RICK today?

Why it moved
Explains possible causes using the day’s news and filings
Moving with the market?
Uses market moves and trading volume to assess what drove the change
What to watch next
The next thing that could change the call, and what to look for

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Uses news and trading volume to explain the day’s move and how it relates to the market.

Investment outlook

RICK in three months: buy, wait or sell?

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In the report
  • Buy / Wait / Sell rating
  • 3-month target price
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Company

Company overview

RCI Hospitality Holdings, Inc. gets most of its revenue from adult-entertainment nightclubs in the United States, including Rick’s Cabaret and Tootsie’s Cabaret. Customers pay for admission, drinks and food, while the clubs also collect licensing and room-rental fees. Alcohol sales and service charges account for most nightclub revenue. Its smaller Bombshells Restaurant & Bar business serves customers who buy food and drinks in a restaurant and sports-bar setting.

The business depends heavily on being allowed to operate its clubs and sell alcohol. Local zoning rules, liquor licenses and restrictions on adult entertainment govern where and how the clubs can operate. Losing an alcohol permit can cut off an important source of revenue, while nightclub licensing restrictions can prevent a location from continuing to operate.

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Source: SEC filing

Red flags

Know what’s buried in RICK’s filings before you buy

The risk section is the longest, dullest part of the filing. This keeps only what can really hurt you: where it hits, how hard, when it plays out.

Sorted into
  • Happening now
  • Could go wrong
  • Built in

Moat

RICK says it has a moat. Does it hold up?

Every company claims an edge. Each one is checked against hard numbers like margins and returns: which hold, and which line gives way first.

Each edge rated
  • Strong
  • Moderate
  • Limited
  • Unproven

Related companies

  • Competition
  • Shared drivers
  • Supplier
  • Customer

RCI’s results hinge mainly on spending at its adult nightclubs and competition from locally owned adult clubs, so these restaurant-focused peers reflect only part of its business.

  • The ONE Group Hospitality, Inc.’s upscale restaurants and hospitality venues share RCI’s adult nightclubs’ dependence on customers spending spare income on a special night out rather than an everyday meal. Sales at its STK restaurants offer a window into that discretionary spending, though RCI also collects nightclub cover charges and other service fees.

  • BJ’s Restaurants, Inc. competes with RCI’s Bombshells for customers paying for meals and alcoholic drinks in a lively restaurant-bar setting, with large televisions and a full bar. Watch BJ’s restaurant remodels and expansion for changes in that competition; this overlap concerns Bombshells, not RCI’s core adult-nightclub business.

  • Flanigan's Enterprises Inc shares RCI’s exposure to customers spending on meals and alcoholic drinks at restaurants and sports bars, but its liquor stores and food-heavy restaurant sales make it a different business from nightclub-led RCI. Its restaurant bar sales are the closer comparison for RCI’s drink revenue: food accounts for approximately 79.67% of Flanigan’s total restaurant sales.

Agenda

in 8 daysWed, Oct 28

  1. 2:00 PMET

    Fed Interest Rate Decision

    The Fed’s decision tracks its benchmark borrowing rate, which can change what RCI Hospitality pays to finance its $238.2 million of debt and how affordable new borrowing is for club and restaurant investments.

in 16 daysThu, Nov 5

  1. Time to be announced

    BJ's Restaurants, Inc. earningsBJRI

    BJ’s Restaurants’ report will show whether customers are still spending at lively restaurant-bars and whether rivals like it are remodeling or expanding against Bombshells.

  2. Time to be announced

    The ONE Group Hospitality, Inc. earningsSTKS

    ONE Group’s STK sales will show whether customers are still spending on upscale nights out, a useful signal for demand at RCI Hospitality’s nightclubs.

in 28 daysTue, Nov 17

  1. 8:30 AMET pre-market

    Retail Sales MoM (Oct)

    Retail sales track how much consumers spend at retailers; stronger spending may support customers’ purchases of drinks, food, merchandise and services at RCI Hospitality’s nightclubs and Bombshells restaurants and bars, while weaker spending may weigh on them.

in 43 daysWed, Dec 2

  1. Time to be announced
    Major

    RCI Hospitality Holdings, Inc. earningsThis company

    RCI Hospitality earns from nightclub service fees and sales, and from Bombshells food and drinks; its report will show whether customer spending is translating into better operating results.