Stock daily read

What happened with RHP today?

Why it moved
Explains possible causes using the day’s news and filings
Moving with the market?
Uses market moves and trading volume to assess what drove the change
What to watch next
The next thing that could change the call, and what to look for

No read yet

Uses news and trading volume to explain the day’s move and how it relates to the market.

Investment outlook

RHP in three months: buy, wait or sell?

Stop guessing. Get the call, a three-month target price, the best and worst cases, and a source for every claim.

In the report
  • Buy / Wait / Sell rating
  • 3-month target price
  • Bear · Base · Bull
  • vs. the market

Company

Company overview

Ryman Hospitality Properties owns U.S. resorts under the Gaylord Hotels and JW Marriott brands that bring guest rooms, large meeting and exhibition spaces, and dining together at one location. Meeting organizers, attendees and leisure travelers pay to use these facilities. Hospitality supplies most of the company’s revenue, with rooms and food and beverage accounting for the bulk of hotel sales.

Ryman operates as a real estate investment trust (REIT), and federal tax restrictions prevent it from managing its hotels directly. It leases the hotels to taxable subsidiaries, which pay rent based partly on hotel revenue and hire Marriott to run them. Substantially all hotel revenue depends on Marriott-managed properties. Marriott controls daily pricing, staffing and spending, while Ryman has limited approval rights. The business therefore depends heavily on group meeting demand and Marriott’s ability to attract and serve that business.

Ryman also controls Opry Entertainment Group, a smaller revenue source. Its Grand Ole Opry, Ryman Auditorium, Ole Red and Category 10 businesses earn money from country-music performances, concerts, ticketed events and visitors’ food and drink purchases.

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Source: SEC filing

Red flags

Know what’s buried in RHP’s filings before you buy

The risk section is the longest, dullest part of the filing. This keeps only what can really hurt you: where it hits, how hard, when it plays out.

Sorted into
  • Happening now
  • Could go wrong
  • Built in

Moat

RHP says it has a moat. Does it hold up?

Every company claims an edge. Each one is checked against hard numbers like margins and returns: which hold, and which line gives way first.

Each edge rated
  • Strong
  • Moderate
  • Limited
  • Unproven

Related companies

  • Competition
  • Shared drivers
  • Supplier
  • Customer
  • Park Hotels & Resorts Inc.'s large luxury and upper-upscale hotels and resorts compete with Ryman's properties for spending on group meetings and destination stays.

  • Host Hotels & Resorts, Inc.'s luxury and upper-upscale hotels compete with Ryman's resorts for guests' lodging and event spending through their meeting and banquet facilities. Watch Host's room and food-and-beverage revenues for a read on demand for upscale stays and events.

  • Ryman depends on Marriott International to run its principal hotels, paying fees tied to hotel revenue and profitability; Marriott's wider lodging business also shares Ryman's exposure to travel demand. Marriott's day-to-day operations and staffing at Ryman's Gaylord and JW Marriott resorts directly matter to the hotels Ryman owns.

  • Sunstone Hotel Investors, Inc.'s luxury and upper-upscale hotels in convention, urban and resort destinations compete directly with Ryman for lodging and meeting customers. Watch its occupancy and hotel revenue: Sunstone identifies both as vulnerable to competition for guests.

  • DiamondRock Hospitality Company's luxury and upper-upscale urban hotels and resorts compete with Ryman's destination properties for guests' premium lodging spending. Its occupancy and room rates offer a comparison for that demand, while DiamondRock, like Ryman, owns hotels run by outside managers.

  • Pebblebrook Hotel Trust's full-service upper-upscale hotels in urban, convention and resort destinations compete for the travel spending Ryman's resorts serve. Its focus on major U.S. coastal gateway markets and leisure destinations makes it a comparison for Ryman's leisure business, rather than just its large group meetings.

  • Xenia Hotels & Resorts, Inc.'s upscale hotels and resorts compete with Ryman's destination hotels for business, group and leisure guests' spending.

  • Hyatt Hotels Corporation's full-service convention hotels and resorts compete with Ryman's Gaylord and JW Marriott properties for spending on group events and destination stays.

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  • Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc.'s full-service convention hotels and resorts compete with Ryman's destination properties for meeting organizers' and lodging guests' spending.

  • Braemar Hotels & Resorts Inc.'s luxury urban hotels and resorts compete with Ryman's premium destination properties for resort and upscale lodging guests. Its luxury hotel focus makes it a comparison for the premium stays Ryman sells, rather than specifically for large group meetings.

Agenda

in 7 daysTue, Oct 27

  1. Time to be announced

    Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc. earningsHLT

    Hilton’s convention hotels and resorts compete with Ryman for group events and destination stays, and its report will show whether demand and room pricing in that market are strengthening or softening.

in 8 daysWed, Oct 28

  1. 2:00 PMET

    Fed Interest Rate Decision

    The Fed’s rate decision signals the direction of borrowing costs; higher rates can raise Ryman’s costs on variable-rate debt and leave less operating cash for its hotels, entertainment business, capital projects and dividends.

in 13 daysMon, Nov 2

  1. Time to be announced
    Major

    Ryman Hospitality Properties, Inc earningsThis company

    Group guests drive much of Ryman’s hotel business, and this report will show whether their demand is lifting hotel revenue without squeezing operating income.

  2. Time to be announced

    Marriott International earningsMAR

    Marriott runs Ryman’s principal hotels, so Marriott’s report offers a read on the operating environment for Ryman’s manager, though not on Ryman’s properties themselves.